Round 4 : who do you want ? (1 Viewer)

Nick said:

Not if they charge the same!-

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I don't know what you mean really, not sure how much they charged for Friday's game but here are their official ticket prices for the FA cup. http://www.manutd.com/pix/Emails/Files/2017/MEM081Prem-FACup-Pricing.pdf
Even at £10 per ticket they would pull in £740,000 gross

mrtrench said:

No, he's wrong.

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It's all about odds. Over time it will even out

if things even out over time, we are due 7 top 6 finishes in succession

Usually when we win the cup we beat Bolton, Man U, Stoke, Leeds, Sheffield Wednesday and Spurs.

Bolton are out so I suppose Huddersfield as replacements.

But Man U at Old Trafford next please, secure the budget for the promotion push.

steve82 said:

Your correct on one thing the law of averages point is to being drawn away however Peterborough are a side to avoid and have goals a plenty in them and disposed of villa at villa.

There are still plenty other L2 sides and L1 clubs below Peterborough in the league still in the cup.

Newport, Notts county, Yeovil. Carlise Mansfield and Stevenage have replays to get through too so are still in the hat. With MK Dons, Rochdale and Fleetwood who are narrowly in the hat too.

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In which case I would take any of those. Or even Posh as the Villa result was as statistically unlikely as us winning. A pointless thrashing away to a Prem club away is to be avoided, regardless of the pay day. A run to the 5th Round would be dandy for morale and a little money. For everyone concerned. Winning is contagious

It will probably be Rochdale away.

Gibbo said:

It's all about odds. Over time it will even out

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you're just as likely to be away 10 times out of 10 as you are to have 5 home and 5 away draws.

It won't be Arsenal, just about to crash out at Forest

Gibbo said:

It's all about odds. Over time it will even out

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That's true. It is all about odds and over time it is likely (but not certain) to even out. However that doesn't alter the probability of a home tie in the next round.

Man United away just to make money and for MR to stuff it up his old team.But we will probably get Newport away and get knocked out.

coop said:

Man United away just to make money and for MR to stuff it up his old team.But we will probably get Newport away and get knocked out.

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Man City away so I. can tick them off my list.

Any home tie, and keep the prices the same as the Stoke game so we don’t the trolls attending

Any team except a Championship side, which isn't that winnable or prestigious. Yeovil at home ideally.

Grendel said:

It will probably be Rochdale away.

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Or Rochale for those who remember our last fa cup visit.

steve82 said:

Or Rochale for those who remember our last fa cup visit.

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But what a chip shop?

Derby paid £45 a ticket and were allocated 5400 for man Utd. There were concessions on price available.

Steve.B50 said:

But what a chip shop?

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I'm gonna be honest you've lost me here... been trying to think but nothing.

mrtrench said:

That's true. It is all about odds and over time it is likely (but not certain) to even out. However that doesn't alter the probability of a home tie in the next round.

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Yep, its 50/50 or the laws of mathematics are in jeopardy.

Alan Dugdales Moustache said:

I don't think CCFC would see much of whatever we make, for obvious reasons.

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I get what you are saying, this is MR's post-match transcript, according to the Telegraph. "It's a really proud day" - Mark Robins' post-match transcript

“I think if we can get another good draw away from home then that helps financially because it gets more interest in it, more supporters will show interest and it’s huge for the transfer market.
“For me to be able to compete in the transfer market is vital. I get that revenue and to get that the grounds need to be bigger. We’ve got to do that for the supporters.

So if we draw a big club such as Man U away, and we don't see any benefit of extra funds transfer-wise, then I guess MR could walk away as he seems confident he will get any funds generated from the cup run. I can't see him saying that unless it was properly agreed.

steve82 post: 1456859 said:

I'm gonna be honest you've lost me here... been trying to think but nothing.

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I think he was referring to the chip shop opposite the entrance to the away end, it is very good!!

Was just thinking that Birmingham at home would tick all the right boxes.

Winnable
Would generate a lot of interest
And would produce a very healthy attendance.

clint van damme said:

you're just as likely to be away 10 times out of 10 as you are to have 5 home and 5 away draws.

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actually you are not

10 out of 10 = one in 1024 chance
5 home and 5 away = just over one in 4 chance

ovduk78 said:

I think he was referring to the chip shop opposite the entrance to the away end, it is very good!!

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Assumed it was something along them lines but wasn't sure if I was not recalling a bit of CCFC history there.

clint van damme said:

you're just as likely to be away 10 times out of 10 as you are to have 5 home and 5 away draws.

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Not true....... many more combinations of five home and five away draws, whereas only 1 possibility in ...lots! of 10 home, or 10 away.

Sorry to be a saddo on the subject - someone who's an expert on probability can give a fuller explanation! (Thanks SB Sam !!)

Never mind what I would like.
Guess who my Forest supporting Nottingham grandsons want?

Otis said:

Was just thinking that Birmingham at home would tick all the right boxes.

Winnable
Would generate a lot of interest
And would produce a very healthy attendance.

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They got 7000 at home???

Otis said:

Was just thinking that Birmingham at home would tick all the right boxes.

Winnable
Would generate a lot of interest
And would produce a very healthy attendance.

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Could we afford the police bill, though ?!?

Sky Blue Harry H said:

Not true....... many more combinations of five home and five away draws, whereas only 1 possibility in ...lots! of 10 home, or 10 away.

Sorry to be a saddo on the subject - someone who's an expert on probability can give a fuller explanation! (Thanks SB Sam !!)

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any combination from 10 draws, whether 10 homes, 10 aways, 5 homes 5 aways, 4 homes 6 aways has exactly the same mathematical chance of being drawn though I may be wrong @mrtrench will be able to confirm!

steve cooper said:

Man United away. They got a crowd of almost 74000 against Derby on friday. 45% of that would be very nice. (plus the winner's prize money)

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Man Utd have something like 55K season ticket holders and its a condition of having a season ticket that you have to buy a ticket for home cup games so that would be a lovely pay day.

Don't really 'want' them but as I predicted Forest (A) for the 3rd Rd, I'l stick with that for the 4th Rd.

Yeovil away probably

tigersb said:

Yeovil away probably

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I think you'll find that's 'possibly' not 'probably'. Then again, you could be right and I wrong. Probably. Trenchie, over to you.

Spurs at Wembley

clint van damme said:

any combination from 10 draws, whether 10 homes, 10 aways, 5 homes 5 aways, 4 homes 6 aways has exactly the same mathematical chance of being drawn though I may be wrong @mrtrench will be able to confirm!

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No, for ten of one sort it has to be AAAAAAAAAA whereas a mix could be for example AHAHAHAHAH or HAHAHAHAHA or HHAAHHAAHA or AAAHHHAAHH or all kinds of sequences. So there’s more possible mixes than straights meaning a straight is less likely to occur.