Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
In all seriousness if you can’t understand the information and insight xG provides I’m gonna assume you are slightly slow.
Does it give us 3 points when we should have won but lost?Does the fact that the xG stats instantly give you a better sense of what kind of game it was and who really deserved to win not mean anything to you at all?
This doesn't mean xG hasnt been looked at, at Lichess, and someone has tried to quatify it.
Edit: If anyone doesn't know Lichess, in my opinion, it is the gold standard.
In all seriousness if you cant tell how a team is playing by yourself better start watching tiddly winks.In all seriousness if you can’t understand the information and insight xG provides I’m gonna assume you are slightly slow.
Unfortunately people will criticise what they can’t understandI can’t for the life of me understand why people actively dislike advanced stats like xg.
At this point I automatically assume it’s an intelligence issue.
CorrectI can’t for the life of me understand why people actively dislike advanced stats like xg.
At this point I automatically assume it’s an intelligence issue.
Of course sometimes statistics are used and embraced by people who don't understand statistics, and that can create a false inmpression disguised as FACTCorrect
Not being funny but no-one knows how a game will go before it starts and everyone knows how it went afterwards. Stats are just fluff.
Every single one of you is a stats fanny.
Irony is that Saddlebrains positively sucks the bell end off a form table.
Y’all look at the league table, look at the score, look at the number of yellow cards, the number of goals for and against and the number of points.
Before and after every single game.
XG is no different. A lot of folks have made a great deal of money utilising it.
So don’t slag it off because you don’t understand or are too ignorant to try.
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Get your up and the prediction for the next game please.Let's get this afternoon's game out of the way first, scckmee
Edit:- I hope you know Scala
Does the fact that the xG stats instantly give you a better sense of what kind of game it was and who really deserved to win not mean anything to you at all?
I won’t argue with your weeks of football experienceStupidest comment I’ve read on this forum in ages. The team that scores more goals deserves to win. End of.
Fucking mental , imagine bumming thatView attachment 33489
A linear regression on the current championship standings vs current xG has an R squared value of 0.73. So 73% of the variation in league positions can be explained by the xG measure, which means statistically theres a strong correlation between a team’s xG and league position.
Y = 38.635 - 0.741 X
…so, in other words, the expected improvement in league position for each additional expected goal is approximately 0.741.
Thanks for coming
Ofcourse but thats not the only way football coaches and managers use data these days ..it's not 1985Stupidest comment I’ve read on this forum in ages. The team that scores more goals deserves to win. End of.
Not according to sporting life
Fair enough let's use this .. sheaf won't have had a high probability of scoring from where he did , great goal which I imagine keeps our XG slightly lower than it could be ..Not according to sporting life
Sheffield Wed vs Coventry - Stats - Football - Sporting Life
Get the form, statistics, line ups and live commentary for Sheffield Wed vs Coventrywww.sportinglife.com
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The league table is always the best barometer of where teams are.The whole point of xG is to be utilised over a period of time, the longer the better really to analyse. Single game xG & single chance xG will always be massively flawed.
i.e. one team having a penalty or very high probability chance but little else vs an opponent having lots of lower probability chances. Also, biggest factor would be game state, i.e. a team taking an early lead & then sitting back will usually result in the opponent amassing more chances, even if not particularly good ones. Again though, over a long enough period of time there is obvious merit to them & we can start to see trends emerging.
Incorrect.The league table is always the best barometer of where trams are.
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I find a timetable betterThe league table is always the best barometer of where teams are.
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Well they are on face value , but again we will use Preston early season .. their management team were surely concerned that their luck might run out after creating next to nothing but winning matches , eventually it did run out and they're dropping slowly but surelyThe league table is always the best barometer of where teams are.
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The league table is always the best barometer of where trams are.
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Absolute shithouse team. We have to beat them at home surely.Well they are on face value , but again we will use Preston early season .. their management team were surely concerned that their luck might run out after creating next to nothing but winning matches , eventually it did run out and they're dropping slowly but surely
Whilst we missed some chances early on, we were gifting at least 1 clear cut chance to the opposition every game which was often a better quality chance than the ones we created. So we had xG based on lots of low quality chances, where opposition had lower xG but based on 2-3 really high quality must score chances.Obviously. If you’re a football manager and you set up your tactics, you need to use lots of data to establish if performance is where it needs to be.
We were underperforming on xG earlier in the season which would’ve suggested our tactics didn’t require any root and branch changes. So MR could crack on and tweak personnel and formation changes to get us to where we are today.
Which, funnily enough, is in line with our xG performance.
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