Evo1883
Well-Known Member
Nah can't be true , been assured they are better pressers than anybody in world football
Barnsley look terrible
Bristol city showing us a way next week , love that
Brereton DiazBlackburn started the season well, Brereton stepping up
Comment: Coventry City's modern day miracle and the messiah behind it
Modern football has taken some twists and turns. Heroes and villains are born over night but few stories eclipse that of the re-birth of Coventry City, and their modern day messiah - Mark Robins.the72.co.uk
Love the article and I've seen many like this over the last few weeks. Hard to stay under the radar for much longer. Hope the team stays humble, hungry and most importantly, together.
Barnsley are what could happen to us: have a good season but fail to get promoted and loose the manager and some players. That's one of the downsides to having a good season.
preferred their next tweet…
Shit that we've only got 1 on that list , sack the board !!
A short thread for amusement
That was one of the surrealist threads on here ever and that’s saying something.Didn't some jokers on here do this to the Cov squad a couple of years ago ? IIRC Ms. Godden and Ms. Shipperz would have scored with some of this forums members (??!!) But Mdm. Adi Viveash didn't come out of the experiment strongly
<<edit>> Found the thread....
Miss Cov 2020
Someone had to... Marissa Robins Sadie Viveash Marcia Marosi Kylie McFadzean Michelle Rose Dominique Hyam Fran-Katie Dabo Samantha McCallum Leah Kelly Jordan Shipley (formally Katie)www.skybluestalk.co.uk
Then it is down to our owner to get Robins and Viveash on top contracts asapBarnsley are what could happen to us: have a good season but fail to get promoted and loose the manager and some players. That's one of the downsides to having a good season.
The Barnsley manager was, WBA paid sizeable compensation for him.Then it is down to our owner to get Robins and Viveash on top contracts asap
Whilst it's pleasing to see Moore saving plenty it's just about the most pointless stat there is, takes no consideration of the amount of shots or their difficulty.
For example, to achieve 81.5% he could have just saved 5 out of 6 shots that trickled at 2mph from 30 yards out.
(He's actually saved 21 out of 27 shots on target but you get my point)
What you actually want is this (which he's also doing brilliantly at):
Whilst it's pleasing to see Moore saving plenty it's just about the most pointless stat there is, takes no consideration of the amount of shots or their difficulty.
For example, to achieve 81.5% he could have just saved 5 out of 6 shots that trickled at 2mph from 30 yards out.
(He's actually saved 21 out of 27 shots on target but you get my point)
What you actually want is this (which he's also doing brilliantly at):
Wow , love it it when people are brutally honestLove this
Some of those stats seem contradictory. Moore is placed highly in the Goals Prevented stat, together with Blackburn and 'Uddersfields keepers. All teams in the top 8. But in the same analysis, you have the Hull, Derby and Barnsley keepers who's teams are all in the bottom 6.
Scheduled to finish 6th on 71pts. Only a 1% chance of relegation.
Waste of money then.The Barnsley manager was, WBA paid sizeable compensation for him.
That's right, but why's that contradictory?
If you look at the Expected Goals Against (xGA), Derby & Barnsley would have been expected to concede more than they actually have (less so Hull now, that's swung a little since the data was gathered for this).
It is a little crude & there are better methods (Post Shot xG or PSxG) but it is a decent enough barometer over an extended period of time & a far better indicator than simply Clean Sheets or Save %.
Serious question. Moore’s triple save, would that have got triple xGA/whatever or would the fact it happened in quick succession have modified the stat at all? Obviously he could only have conceded one of the three shots.
WowNo, for exactly the reason you suspect, as the second & third shots come about as an outcome of the first.
In this scenario you instead calculate the chance that a goal wouldn't be scored.
Let's say as an example (I'm making these xG numbers up) the first shot (Ikpeazu?) has an xG of 0.15 then the first rebound is a really tight angle so let's say 0.10 then the 3rd is a really good look at goal (although Moore is positioned well) say 0.50.
Then we'd multiply the chance of each i.e. (1.0 - 0.15) x (1.0 - 0.10) x (1.0 - 0.50)
0.85 x 0.90 x 0.50 = 0.3825 i.e. only a 38% chance that 'Boro don't score from that sequence.
Middlesbrough's xG would then be 0.6175 or, in layman's terms, we'd expect a goal to be scored from that scenario approx 62% of the time.
Make sense?
No, for exactly the reason you suspect, as the second & third shots come about as an outcome of the first.
In this scenario you instead calculate the chance that a goal wouldn't be scored.
Let's say as an example (I'm making these xG numbers up) the first shot (Ikpeazu?) has an xG of 0.15 then the first rebound is a really tight angle so let's say 0.10 then the 3rd is a really good look at goal (although Moore is positioned well) say 0.50.
Then we'd multiply the chance of each i.e. (1.0 - 0.15) x (1.0 - 0.10) x (1.0 - 0.50)
0.85 x 0.90 x 0.50 = 0.3825 i.e. only a 38% chance that 'Boro don't score from that sequence.
Middlesbrough's xG would then be 0.6175 or, in layman's terms, we'd expect a goal to be scored from that scenario approx 62% of the time.
Make sense?
No, for exactly the reason you suspect, as the second & third shots come about as an outcome of the first.
In this scenario you instead calculate the chance that a goal wouldn't be scored.
Let's say as an example (I'm making these xG numbers up) the first shot (Ikpeazu?) has an xG of 0.15 then the first rebound is a really tight angle so let's say 0.10 then the 3rd is a really good look at goal (although Moore is positioned well) say 0.50.
Then we'd multiply the chance of each i.e. (1.0 - 0.15) x (1.0 - 0.10) x (1.0 - 0.50)
0.85 x 0.90 x 0.50 = 0.3825 i.e. only a 38% chance that 'Boro don't score from that sequence.
Middlesbrough's xG would then be 0.6175 or, in layman's terms, we'd expect a goal to be scored from that scenario approx 62% of the time.
Make sense?
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