Odds on promotion? (2 Viewers)

standupforcity · Sep 10, 2014

Popped in to my local Corals, more out of curiosity than anything, and asked for odds on City getting promoted. Has our change of circumstances made any difference, as they were only offering 7/1? Rather short I thought.

Your thoughts?!

skybluesam66 · Sep 10, 2014

about 8th favourites - what were you expecting?

fernandopartridge · Sep 10, 2014

About right really. Not really a big variance in prices in this league

Kingokings204 · Sep 10, 2014

What were Preston out of interest I think they are certain for a top 6 that's for sure. Best team in this division for me by a bit.

7/1 is far too short for us a team with no top 6 finish in 44 years is it. 7/1 is beggars belief really.

skybluesam66 · Sep 10, 2014

Kingokings204 said:
What were Preston out of interest I think they are certain for a top 6 that's for sure. Best team in this division for me by a bit.

7/1 is far too short for us a team with no top 6 finish in 44 years is it. 7/1 is beggars belief really.

we are in the 3rd division now

Kingokings204 · Sep 10, 2014

skybluesam66 said:
we are in the 3rd division now

Yes and nothing has changed. 7/1 is not a price anyone who isn't a Coventry city fan.

Gint11 · Sep 10, 2014

Realistically, going back to the Ricoh isn't going to shorten the odds. It may help win a game and it's our rightful home and the extra support will help but doesn't mean we will win the league. Results do.

Evans1883 · Sep 10, 2014

I dont think there are 7sides better than us in this division , but thats just me , as a point of where i believe we are , i think only 2-3 sides are better than us squad wise , so its how we are managed on the pitch , this team /squad should be pushing playoffs at the very least , considering we would have finished 9th last season whilst shipping more goals than a sunday league team

Otis · Sep 10, 2014

standupforcity said:
Popped in to my local Corals, more out of curiosity than anything, and asked for odds on City getting promoted. Has our change of circumstances made any difference, as they were only offering 7/1? Rather short I thought.

Your thoughts?!

Odds on? Not a cat in hell's chance of us being odds on.

stupot07 · Sep 10, 2014

We're currently joint 10th favourites for promotion on sky bet at 7/1. Bristol City are favourites at 11/8....Fleetwood are currently 11/2

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk - so please excuse any spelling or grammar errors

Macca · Sep 10, 2014

Fleetwood are in this league????

stupot07 · Sep 10, 2014

Macca said:
Fleetwood are in this league????

Yes, they got promoted last season....through the play offs I think?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk - so please excuse any spelling or grammar errors

Macca · Sep 10, 2014

Christ I genuinely thought they were non league. I have been off the ball over the last 12 months to be fair

Ian1779 · Sep 10, 2014

Fuck it I'm getting some money on that... it's in the bag.

Huckerby · Sep 10, 2014

jesus christ. hate to be negative but when did you ever think you'd see the day that Fleetwood were more fancied for promotion than us

Gazolba · Sep 11, 2014

Evans1883 said:
this team /squad should be pushing playoffs at the very least

Aren't you forgetting our goalkeeper and top scorer are loanees?

My odds: Automatic promotion 10:1, Via playoffs 15:2, Playoff failures 5:1, Relegation 5:1, Somewhere between play-offs and relegation spots even money.

Como · Sep 11, 2014

Top 3 spot should be in my mind be about 25/1.

Astute · Sep 11, 2014

This is the time of the season where you can pick up big odds. I think the odds for us are decent. Our only defeat in the league was the first game of the season. That was away to Bradford. They are in 5th. But they lost their other two games at home. Unbeaten away though. 9/1 for promotion and 33/1 to win. Chesterfield have only played 5 games and are 6th. 8/1 promotion and 25/1 to win. Poor odds are Sheff Utd. In 16th 13/2 to win and 2/1 for promotion.

Two seasons ago I got Yeovil at 80/1 for promotion. I got told on here how much of a waste of money it was when I struck the bet This season I have only done us to win at 22/1 so far. We have only played teams expected to be near the top/mid table so far and only lost once. I am expecting our odds to tumble soon. To me our 7/1 odds for promotion is big. Going to put a decent stake on this before our next game. But for this I need to go against my rules of starting stake for the season and not putting any more money into my account otherwise will use up a lot of my stake money on one bet Think £100 is about right. 40 games left. £2.50 a game stake that would give me £800 back if we got promotion. Over 1k with my other bet if we won the division. My only worry is what will happen when all the loans finish in January. Will they and their clubs be happy for them to stay for the rest of the season? Maybe why our odds are so high.

SkyBlueScottie · Sep 11, 2014

I am pretty sure our odds were altered within minutes of the Ricoh return announcement.

Astute · Sep 11, 2014

SkyBlueScottie said:
I am pretty sure our odds were altered within minutes of the Ricoh return announcement.

I got 22/1. Since then we are unbeaten with a win in the last game whilst coming home. Now we are 18/1.

Gazolba · Sep 12, 2014

Astute said:
Our only defeat in the league was the first game of the season..

We also have the lousiest goal difference of the top half teams. And the top teams at the end of the season usually have the best goal differences. It's a good indicator to go by.

Astute · Sep 12, 2014

Gazolba said:
We also have the lousiest goal difference of the top half teams. And the top teams at the end of the season usually have the best goal differences. It's a good indicator to go by.

And so is the amount of games lost.

We are on +1 goal. 5th and 6th place are on +2. 3rd place is on +3. 4th is on +4. 2nd and 7th are on +5 and Peterborough who are top are +6. So all this could change in one game.

So to games lost.

1st lost 1 game
2nd unbeaten
3rd lost 1
4th lost 1
5th lost 2
6th lost 1
7th unbeaten
8th us lost 1 which was the first game of the season.

We have also only played clubs halfway upwards in the table. We are yet to play any of the teams near the bottom of the table. The teams with the worse GD are Crawley on -7 and Scunny and Crewe on -9. They are 3 of our next 6 games Or I could add that Crewe have only played 5 games for their -9 and lost them all.

So overall I see our odds as being a little high and could be much lower after the next 6 games.

ccfcway · Sep 12, 2014

Gazolba said:
Aren't you forgetting our goalkeeper and top scorer are loanees?

My odds: Automatic promotion 10:1, Via playoffs 15:2, Playoff failures 5:1, Relegation 5:1, Somewhere between play-offs and relegation spots 5:2

i would be all over that 5/2. No way in the world any bookie would offer those odds, it would nearer 1/3

standupforcity · Sep 12, 2014

ccfcway said:
i would be all over that 5/2. No way in the world any bookie would offer those odds, it would nearer 1/3

How come so confident....what's the evidence for 1/3...?

ccfcway · Sep 12, 2014

standupforcity said:
How come so confident....what's the evidence for 1/3...?

well, we havent been in play offs once since we came into this league or been in drop zone.

also, 6 play off places, 4 drop zone and 14 mid table, so odds will be a lot shorter on that.

all in all 1/3 would be pretty short

Gazolba · Sep 13, 2014

Astute said:
We have also only played clubs halfway upwards in the table. We are yet to play any of the teams near the bottom of the table..

Traditionally we play better against the top clubs and flop against the bottom clubs. I expect that trend to continue. I still think goal difference is the best indicator. If we start getting a few 2-0 or 3-1 wins, I'll adjust my prediction but for now it has to be a mid-table finish.

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