Opta Modelling (1 Viewer)

Nick · Feb 19, 2021

Just saw this based on form and OPTA Modelling on the Derby game and it has us, Brum and Wycombe to go down.

Earlsdon_Skyblue1 · Feb 19, 2021

That is the three I would go for to be honest.

Nick · Feb 19, 2021

AFCCOVENTRY · Feb 19, 2021

Sounds about right. Rotherham survive by 1 point.

procdoc · Feb 19, 2021

Nice to see the glass is half full here lol

AFCCOVENTRY · Feb 19, 2021

procdoc said:
Nice to see the glass is half full here lol

Well the modelling is based on many things and on current form and the others who have games in hand on us, that’s how it pans out.

Of course it’s bull shit though and anything can happen.

clint van damme · Feb 19, 2021

may as well not play any more games

Deleted member 2477 · Feb 19, 2021

procdoc said:
Nice to see the glass is half full here lol

Not surprised looking at who is on it

Londonccfcfan · Feb 19, 2021

Nick said:
Just saw this based on form and OPTA Modelling on the Derby game and it has us, Brum and Wycombe to go down.

That Opts modelling means sweet FA.

Lol at Bristol city getting 61 points.

Sheffield Wednesday getting 56 points? That woukd mean 28 points from 17 games whoch would be top 8 form.They getting their 6 deducted points back?

Thank God they don't use this system for deciding a curtailed season.

Londonccfcfan · Feb 19, 2021

procdoc said:
Nice to see the glass is half full here lol

I think you mean half empty. But I get ya.

procdoc · Feb 19, 2021

Londonccfcfan said:
I think you mean half empty. But I get ya.

Yeah I was being sarcastic mate haha

procdoc · Feb 19, 2021

All I will say is, if our possession stats mean nothing (which they don’t really), which many posters are very keen to point out, then these stats also mean nothing

clint van damme · Feb 19, 2021

I'd love to see their working out.
Why do Huddersfield who are on a dreadful run suddenly start picking up points?
They lost at home to Wycombe.
How come Bristol City pick up another 22 points given their current form. It is, to use a technical term, absolute bollocks.

Magwitch · Feb 19, 2021

On recent form I can see why us and Brum ars favourites but it’s down circumstance, hopefully we will be up to full strength come March and have finished with all the serious challengers apart from Bournemouth and Robins pulls his finger out and gets his team right.

clint van damme · Feb 19, 2021

Magwitch said:
On recent form I can see why us and Brum ars favourites but it’s down circumstance, hopefully we will be up to full strength come March and have finished with all the serious challengers apart from Bournemouth and Robins pulls his finger out and gets his team right.

on recent form Huddersfield are worse than us, they don't have the hardest run in admittedly, but that means if they do pick up points they'll be taking them from teams around us.

Otis · Feb 19, 2021

Londonccfcfan said:
That Opts modelling means sweet FA.

Lol at Bristol city getting 61 points.

Sheffield Wednesday getting 56 points? That woukd mean 28 points from 17 games whoch would be top 8 form.They getting their 6 deducted points back?

Thank God they don't use this system for deciding a curtailed season.

The Wednesday thing is nonsense. As is a lot of that table.

Frostie · Feb 19, 2021

procdoc said:
All I will say is, if our possession stats mean nothing (which they don’t really), which many posters are very keen to point out, then these stats also mean nothing

It's not even stats, stats are factual data based on what has actually already happened, this is using a system to try & predict the future & in the most unpredictable league in the world too. They're never anywhere near accurate.

robbiekeane · Feb 19, 2021

Love an underdog

Evo1883 · Feb 19, 2021

Nick said:
Just saw this based on form and OPTA Modelling on the Derby game and it has us, Brum and Wycombe to go down.

Obviously the modelling has factored in our injuries which have directly influenced recent results and also factored in players due back?

Thought not

ccfcmad1 · Feb 19, 2021

Would not read much into these prediction tables there exactly that, one thing for sure though its going to be tight we will either stay up by a few points or go down by a few.

jordan210 · Feb 19, 2021

I often look here. it had us promoted last year. Based on all manor of things

Championship Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's Championship predictions

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

cc84cov · Feb 19, 2021

Hardly rocket science a team who leaks awful goals and can’t score

cc84cov · Feb 19, 2021

I’ve got us finishing on 46

possibly be enough ?

ccfcchris · Feb 19, 2021

Nick said:
Just saw this based on form and OPTA Modelling on the Derby game and it has us, Brum and Wycombe to go down.

Draw comfort from the fact it doesn't work like that. A prime example is to try a few weeks betting on teams based on form and past results and see how much money you lose.

cc84cov · Feb 19, 2021

Barnsley stayed up on 49 last season

MusicDating · Feb 19, 2021

jordan210 said:
I often look here. it had us promoted last year. Based on all manor of things

Championship Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's Championship predictions

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

The relegation percentages on there are broadly in line with the bookies odds.

Liquid Gold · Feb 19, 2021

If we go down by one point after sitting on so many draws I will lose my fucking shit.

Alkhen · Feb 19, 2021

Can't see Rotherham keeping their form up. Every team have good runs. We were miles better than them when we played.

So much of the season to play. It's gonna get brutal on here for the rest of February, rotten run of near impossible fixtures. But we did enough it in the reverse run earlier in the season and really kicked on in the easier fixtures after.

CanadianCCFC · Feb 20, 2021

Very generous to Sheffield Wednesday no way they do that well

CanadianCCFC · Feb 20, 2021

skybluesam66 · Feb 20, 2021

2.5/1 about 3 games ago we were 8/1

Ccfcisparks · Feb 20, 2021

skybluesam66 said:
2.5/1 about 3 games ago we were 8/1

No it was about 6 games ago actually. Before the Forest defeat at least.

Sky Blue Pete · Feb 20, 2021

18 points from 16 games is pretty realistic
for us isn’t it? Think 50 points will be the marker too

Agree points are decided on the pitch not modelling

Londonccfcfan · Feb 20, 2021

Sky Blue Pete said:
18 points from 16 games is pretty realistic
for us isn’t it? Think 50 points will be the marker too

Agree points are decided on the pitch not modelling

Assuming we get nothing from Brentford and Swansea. Being realistic.

14 games remaining were gonna need:

5 wins
4 draws
5 defeats.

Will be a tough task.

That should be more than enough.

But again it may only be 4 wins required if we beat the teams around us.

Rotherham
Derby
Huddersfield

These are proper 6 pointers.

Confident we will stay up. I'm hoping this season it may be 48/49 points to stay up.

For it to be lower we need the teams like Preston, Bristol, Millwall and QPR to be beating the likes of Rotherham, Wednesday and Birmingham.

Rugby Sky Blue · Feb 20, 2021

I seen this last night before the Watford vs Darby game. I dont think it means too much it is based just on current form but form can change.

Opta Modelling (1 Viewer)

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