Points Needed - 1.92 pts per game to get to 75pts 2.3 to get to 80 points (1 Viewer)

shoesmith81 · Feb 16, 2013

Ok so after 33 games we have 50 points.

Only 13 games to go now!

So to get to the 75 point mark which is normally enough we need 25 points which equates to 1.92 points per game.

That would mean roughly 8 wins 1 draw and 4 losses.

To be extra safe to get to 80 points we would need to average 2.3 points per game.

That would mean roughly 10 wins and 3 losses.

I think we should ignore other teams and just concentrate on getting to our average points needed.

Do you think we will make the top 6?

Bennosdancingfeet · Feb 16, 2013

Tight but very achievable

Gint11 · Feb 16, 2013

Its achievable but we need to do something we havent done in years and thats maintain form. I am optimistic.

ccfcway · Feb 16, 2013

TBF, Carsley has a 100% record as manager, so if he continues that, very good chance we are going up automatically !

skybluelee · Feb 16, 2013

Continue as we have been for the last four mths and we will finish on 78 odd points. Only off the field matters will derail us.

Despite all the negativity flying around we have 13 pts from last 6 league games.

stupot07 · Feb 16, 2013

skybluelee said:
Continue as we have been for the last four mths and we will finish on 78 odd points. Only off the field matters will derail us.

Despite all the negativity flying around we have 13 pts from last 6 league games.

We also have 13 points from our last 8 league games...

covcity4life · Feb 16, 2013

8 wins needed from 13

Gonna be tough

stupot07 · Feb 16, 2013

covcity4life said:
8 wins needed from 13

Gonna be tough

Yep definitely with our dire home form. If we continue you as we have this season that's likely to be 2 wins and 2 draws from our remaining 7 home games.

covcity4life · Feb 16, 2013

stupot07 said:
Yep definitely with our dire home form. If we continue you as we have this season that's likely to be 2 wins and 2 draws from our remaining 7 home games.

Yeh needs to change , starting this sat vs crewe

skybluelee · Feb 16, 2013

stupot07 said:
We also have 13 points from our last 8 league games...

And 39 from our last 19...

Mr pot · Feb 16, 2013

At least we ain't getting relegated

skybluelee · Feb 16, 2013

stupot07 said:
Yep definitely with our dire home form. If we continue you as we have this season that's likely to be 2 wins and 2 draws from our remaining 7 home games.

But carry on the away form and we would win 5 of the 6.

SkyBlue_Bear83 · Feb 16, 2013

Will have to wait to see how the playing side is going to be effected by the disruption but I think we can definitely get 75 points. That may not be enough though, you could be looking at 77-78 for a play off place this season with possibly as low as 83-85 for second place. It is that tight at the moment, that everyone in the top 7 currently can realistically finish any position 1-7th. Likely the gap may grow going into the last bit of the season but at the moment only 4 point separate the top 7, Bournemouth could go 6th/7th from 1st if games in hand go against them

stupot07 · Feb 16, 2013

skybluelee said:
And 39 from our last 19...

47 out of our last 30

stupot07 · Feb 16, 2013

skybluelee said:
But carry on the away form and we would win 5 of the 6.

I agree- but can we put together another 6 game winning run?

stupot07 · Feb 16, 2013

covcity4life said:
Yeh needs to change , starting this sat vs crewe

Yep, every games a must win now - no good winning away then following it up with a losing at home.

Colonel Mustard · Feb 16, 2013

CCFC said:
Will have to wait to see how the playing side is going to be effected by the disruption but I think we can definitely get 75 points. That may not be enough though, you could be looking at 77-78 for a play off place this season with possibly as low as 83-85 for second place.

I think that is about right.

Taking a quick look through the seasons where 6th spot had a high points total (78+), there's a rough pattern of those teams having early-mid 50s points by this stage in the season. Swindon currently have 55 points. I suspect the required points total will be closer to 80 this year.

skybluelee · Feb 16, 2013

stupot07 said:
Yep, every games a must win now - no good winning away then following it up with a losing at home.

How can you say every game is a must win? Nonsense!

skybluelee · Feb 16, 2013

stupot07 said:
47 out of our last 30

You forgot today's result. ;-)

shropshirecov · Feb 16, 2013

The top two and 3rd and 4th play each other next weekend.

steveo1987 · Feb 16, 2013

shropshirecov said:
The top two and 3rd and 4th play each other next weekend.

We have a run of games coming up,Hartlepool,Scunny,Colchester,Portsmouth.those games will be the ones that shape our season

ccfcway · Feb 16, 2013

steveo1987 said:
We have a run of games coming up,Hartlepool,Scunny,Colchester,Portsmouth.those games will be the ones that shape our season

Welcome to CCFC

Giving Portsmouth their 1st win since 2009

SkyBlue_Bear83 · Feb 16, 2013

stupot07 said:
47 out of our last 30

47 out of our last 25 also

covcity4life · Feb 16, 2013

steveo1987 said:
We have a run of games coming up,Hartlepool,Scunny,Colchester,Portsmouth.those games will be the ones that shape our season

Crew and bout moth first rho. Think we need 4pta from those 2 and then the 4 u mentioned we need at least 3 wins

SkyBlueBlood · Feb 16, 2013

Its achievable as long as our owners don't land us with a 10 point deduction!

SkyBlue_Bear83 · Feb 16, 2013

covcity4life said:
Crew and bout moth first rho. Think we need 4pta from those 2 and then the 4 u mentioned we need at least 3 wins

ForgotSwindon also, next game after Bournemouth

covcity4life · Feb 16, 2013

Ya ur right...could be over by time that run comes about

We need 5-6 pts out of next 3 league games IMO. Beat crew and keep bourn and Swindon close

Then try to win 4 on trot Lil

A win over Swindon would be massive tho

stupot07 · Feb 16, 2013

CCFC said:
47 out of our last 25 also

Yep - my point exactly.

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