Relegation Thread (1 Viewer)

Grendel · Apr 15, 2015

A draw against Crewe should see us safe

torchomatic · Apr 15, 2015

The good thing at the moment is that it's all in our own hands. It's up to us to get out of it, we don't have to (at the moment!) rely on other results. I've been confident for a while that we won't go down.

Skyblueweeman · Apr 15, 2015

LJC_CCFC said:
Yes. However given recent form and performances we would go into both games as favourites.

Means nothing mate. That's why bookies are a lot richer than you and I!

LJC_CCFC · Apr 15, 2015

Skyblueweeman said:
Means nothing mate. That's why bookies are a lot richer than you and I!

Yeah.

Just this is the reason for the confidence. TM was quoted as saying last night was the best performance since he's been here, so there is progression.

People are confident about our safety, because of the form and increase in level of performance. Plus the fact Crewe and Crawley aren't much kop.

By saying "oh well anything could happen" defeats the purpose of anyone giving their judgement/opinion on our chances of survival.

Esoterica · Apr 15, 2015

Well if Preston aren't winning on Saturday, maybe we can just knock it about for a 76'/'77 style 2-2 draw again. Good point for us and enough for Bristol to win the league!

WestEndAgro · Apr 15, 2015

We won't go down, no more points in the last three games will still see us safe, their are way too many poor sides already below us.

skybluelee · Apr 16, 2015

CCFC said:
Thing is if we lost to both Crawley and Crewe they would have a very good chance of finishing on higher than 51 points, Port Vale and Scunthorpe will finish on 51 or higher imo, agreed that Colchester won't finish higher than 51. Then you looking at just Orient an notts hoping they don't get 4 points from there final 4 games.

We only need one draw from either Crawley/Crewe match to make it safe now, the most important thing is it takes 2 points away from them.

It's possible 51 will be enough but my gut instinct says it won't be

Unlikely that we'll lose to both Crewe and Crawley. Our form is good under Mowbary. Agree that IF we did lose both it would be squeaky bum time. But we won't.

Speedies_Chips · Apr 16, 2015

Esoterica said:
Well if Preston aren't winning on Saturday, maybe we can just knock it about for a 76'/'77 style 2-2 draw again. Good point for us and enough for Bristol to win the league!

That would be good. And if Sunderland get relegated from the Prem (please!), then it will be our fault again !!!

LJC_CCFC · Apr 17, 2015

Preston currently beating Port Vale 2-1, with Richard Duffy doing us a favour by giving away a pen and getting sent off.

LJC_CCFC · Apr 17, 2015

And it's now 2-2.

Johhny Blue · Apr 17, 2015

duffer said:
I still think that we'll go to Crawley with a mathematical chance of relegation - but that it would take a remarkable set of results on the last day for it to happen, and therefore we'll end up safe.

Being Coventry we won't do this the easy way, we have to have something to worry about on the last day.

aaaah the good ol' days when every season was like that

Otis · Apr 17, 2015

Bristol now champions in all but name.

9 points clear with only Preston able to catch them and Preston are 9 points behind with 3 games left.

Preston would have to win all 3 games and Bristol lose all 3 games and there would have to be a big swing in goal difference too (Bristol +50, Preston +35).

Bristol ARE champions.

stupot07 · Apr 17, 2015

Last of the big spenders I put 50p on the draw when PNE were one nil up. £3 in the bag! I won't spend it all at once!

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk - so please excuse any spelling or grammar errors

Gazolba · Apr 17, 2015

Otis said:
Bristol now champions in all but name.

9 points clear with only Preston able to catch them and Preston are 9 points behind with 3 games left.

Preston would have to win all 3 games and Bristol lose all 3 games and there would have to be a big swing in goal difference too (Bristol +50, Preston +35).

Bristol ARE champions.

All it takes is three 5-0 defeats, starting with us on Saturday!

IrishSkyBlue · Apr 18, 2015

great point and way other results went a point do us in the next 2 games but id say weve done enough now.

Otis · Apr 18, 2015

Most definitely.

No pressure at all on us next week against Crewe and therefore we can play with a bit of freedom and flair.

Gazolba · Apr 18, 2015

While not mathematically safe, I believe we will stay up now. Now the big question is who will manage us next season and what will the team look like. I think the team will look entirely different next season - and maybe not in a good way.

hill83 · Apr 18, 2015

Otis said:
Most definitely.

No pressure at all on us next week against Crewe and therefore we can play with a bit of freedom and flair.

"Flair" ha ha! Highlight of the day.

Otis · Apr 18, 2015

hill83 said:
"Flair" ha ha! Highlight of the day.

It will be just like watching Brazil, trust me.

SkyBlue_Bear83 · Apr 18, 2015

Otis said:
Most definitely.

No pressure at all on us next week against Crewe and therefore we can play with a bit of freedom and flair.

Wouldn't say no pressure, we're in a position now where a draw is a good result for us as it means Crewe can't finish ahead of us.

I think if Notts County and Leyton Orient lose Tuesday I will be declaring us safe, if one of them wins we probably need a point from Crewe match to confirm it.

Otis · Apr 18, 2015

CCFC said:
Wouldn't say no pressure, we're in a position now where a draw is a good result for us as it means Crewe can't finish ahead of us.

I think if Notts County and Leyton Orient lose Tuesday I will be declaring us safe, if one of them wins we probably need a point from Crewe match to confirm it.

They could of course pick up points, but I am certainly not expecting it, with County v Preston and Orient away at Rochdale. You also have to wonder just how much that 6-1 defeat may have taken out of Orient.

SkyBlue_Bear83 · Apr 18, 2015

Otis said:
They could of course pick up points, but I am certainly not expecting it, with County v Preston and Orient away at Rochdale. You also have to wonder just how much that 6-1 defeat may have taken out of Orient.

I'm not expecting it either, but it could happen. If they lose I'll be declaring safety.

Otis · Apr 18, 2015

CCFC said:
I'm not expecting it either, but it could happen. If they lose I'll be declaring safety.

If Orient manage to get the points they need out of Rochdale away and then Sheff Utd at home, and Swindon away, then I take my hat off to them and they deserve to stay up.

Houdi · Apr 18, 2015

Otis said:
It will be just like watching Brazil, trust me.

Yep like the one Germany put 7 past in the World Cup.

Otis · Apr 18, 2015

Houdi said:
Yep like the one Germany put 7 past in the World Cup.

I was thinking more of Alan, when he played for us.

Lethargic and overblown.

speedie87 · Apr 19, 2015

I am the only person who thinks if we lost the last 2 matches we'd go down?

Grendel · Apr 19, 2015

speedie87 said:
I am the only person who thinks if we lost the last 2 matches we'd go down?

Yes probably.

speedie87 · Apr 19, 2015

Port vale and scunthorpe would just need a point from 2 &3 games respectively.

Crawley just have to beat us.
Crewe beat us and and draw their other game.

And leyton orient or notts county win 2 from 4

I'm hoping we'll get at least another point but if we didn't not sure we've got enough already.

MusicDating · Apr 19, 2015

We're 40/1 with Skybet to get relegated.

Johnnythespider · Apr 19, 2015

speedie87 said:
Port vale and scunthorpe would just need a point from 2 &3 games respectively.

Crawley just have to beat us.
Crewe beat us and and draw their other game.

And leyton orient or notts county win 2 from 4

I'm hoping we'll get at least another point but if we didn't not sure we've got enough already.

Orient and County only have 3 games left

speedie87 · Apr 19, 2015

Your right I was looking at a dodgy league table! Panic over!

LJC_CCFC · Apr 19, 2015

52 - NO TEAM RELEGATED WITH THIS TOTAL Predicted Safety 2015 Coventry City(44), Scunthorpe United(43)
51 - Safety 2010, 2013 Port Vale(44)
50 - Safety 2012, 2014 Crawley Town(44)
49 - Crewe Alexandra(44)
48 - Safety 2011
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
47 - Leyton Orient(43), Notts County(43)
46 -
45 - Colchester United(43)
44 -
43 -
43 -
42 -
41 -
40 - Yeovil Town, RELEGATED(44)

Forthcoming fixtures:

16th Coventry(44) - 52 points. Crewe(H), Crawley(A)
17th Scunthorpe(43) - 52 points. Bradford(H), Gillingham(H), Doncaster(A)
18th Port Vale(44) - 51 points. Yeovil(A), Fleetwood(H)
19th Crawley(44) - 50 points. Peterborough(A), Coventry(H)
20th Crewe(44) - 49 points. Coventry(A), Bradford(H)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
21st Leyton Orient(43) - 47 points. Rochdale(A), Sheff U(H), Swindon(A)
22nd Notts County(43) - 47 points. Preston(H), Doncaster(H), Gillingham(A)
23rd Colchester(43) - 45 points. Fleetwood(A), Swindon(H), Preston(H)
24th Yeovil(44) - 39 points. Port Vale(H), MK Dons(A)

Otis · Apr 19, 2015

LJC_CCFC said:
52 - NO TEAM RELEGATED WITH THIS TOTAL Predicted Safety 2015 Coventry City(44), Scunthorpe United(43)
51 - Safety 2010, 2013 Port Vale(44)
50 - Safety 2012, 2014 Crawley Town(44)
49 - Crewe Alexandra(44)
48 - Safety 2011
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
47 - Leyton Orient(43), Notts County(43)
46 -
45 - Colchester United(43)
44 -
43 -
43 -
42 -
41 -
40 - Yeovil Town, RELEGATED(44)

Forthcoming fixtures:

16th Coventry(44) - 52 points. Crewe(H), Crawley(A)
17th Scunthorpe(43) - 52 points. Bradford(H), Gillingham(H), Doncaster(A)
18th Port Vale(44) - 51 points. Yeovil(A), Fleetwood(H)
19th Crawley(44) - 50 points. Peterborough(A), Coventry(H)
20th Crewe(44) - 49 points. Coventry(A), Bradford(H)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
21st Leyton Orient(43) - 47 points. Rochdale(A), Sheff U(H), Swindon(A)
22nd Notts County(43) - 47 points. Preston(H), Doncaster(H), Gillingham(A)
23rd Colchester(43) - 45 points. Fleetwood(A), Swindon(H), Preston(H)
24th Yeovil(44) - 39 points. Port Vale(H), MK Dons(A)

Why on earth didn't you post this before, you plum!!!

Would have stopped every argument dead in its tracks.

LJC_CCFC · Apr 19, 2015

Otis said:
Why on earth didn't you post this before, you plum!!!

Would have stopped every argument dead in its tracks.

The assumption that everyone would agree on us being safe, was evidently mis-judged.

Deleted member 4439 · Apr 19, 2015

LJC_CCFC said:
52 - NO TEAM RELEGATED WITH THIS TOTAL Predicted Safety 2015 Coventry City(44), Scunthorpe United(43)
51 - Safety 2010, 2013 Port Vale(44)
50 - Safety 2012, 2014 Crawley Town(44)
49 - Crewe Alexandra(44)
48 - Safety 2011
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
47 - Leyton Orient(43), Notts County(43)
46 -
45 - Colchester United(43)
44 -
43 -
43 -
42 -
41 -
40 - Yeovil Town, RELEGATED(44)

Forthcoming fixtures:

16th Coventry(44) - 52 points. Crewe(H), Crawley(A)
17th Scunthorpe(43) - 52 points. Bradford(H), Gillingham(H), Doncaster(A)
18th Port Vale(44) - 51 points. Yeovil(A), Fleetwood(H)
19th Crawley(44) - 50 points. Peterborough(A), Coventry(H)
20th Crewe(44) - 49 points. Coventry(A), Bradford(H)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
21st Leyton Orient(43) - 47 points. Rochdale(A), Sheff U(H), Swindon(A)
22nd Notts County(43) - 47 points. Preston(H), Doncaster(H), Gillingham(A)
23rd Colchester(43) - 45 points. Fleetwood(A), Swindon(H), Preston(H)
24th Yeovil(44) - 39 points. Port Vale(H), MK Dons(A)

The only really undecided factor in the promotion stakes is the third place for auto promotion (and which affects just the one game, Notts vs Preston). The rest of the teams not in the relegation zone have nothing to play for. I think it could be therefore argued that we have the most difficult run-in.

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