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Sisu have ACL valuation !!!!!!!! (1 Viewer)

  • Thread starter sky blue john
  • Start date May 15, 2014
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James Smith

Well-Known Member
  • May 15, 2014
  • #36
If the Higgs don't want to sell then best of luck to them, same goes for Joy and our club. And in a Coventry related twist just passed an orange Harry Shaw City Cruiser coach, looked like the ones they use(d to hire?) for the team, on Park Lane. Brought a smile to my face.
 
Last edited: May 16, 2014

Nick

Administrator
  • May 15, 2014
  • #37
martcov said:
Any commissioned valuation will go the way of the person commissioning it. I stick with my point. The Higgs share was bought for 6,5 m. That is fact. Since then it depreciates on paper at 2 per cent. Also fact. Take the paper value as the price - fair to both sides and in line with the deal that almost went through. SISU say its worth less, Higgs more, but no-one really knows. Time will tell, but it is based on a known calculation and SISU will get their outlay back whatever happens by bringing CCFC home.
Click to expand...

I don't know how much "valuations" cost, let a "neutral" party get 3 valuations and do an average. I am not saying let SISU get a value or let ACL get a value as they can be swung either way.
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • May 15, 2014
  • #38
Nick said:
I don't know how much "valuations" cost, let a "neutral" party get 3 valuations and do an average. I am not saying let SISU get a value or let ACL get a value as they can be swung either way.
Click to expand...

I suspect they cost a fortune because, in this case, there are too many variables and no direct comparisons. They will all be different and at the end of the day the parties will have to justify their actions ( buy or sell ). That's why I go for the paper value. It may turn out wrong either way, but it is based on known facts.
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • May 15, 2014
  • #39
By the way, I have flats in Germany and the tax man calculates depreciation at 2 per cent. It may be too much or too little, but it would be too complicated and expensive to constantly revalue.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • May 15, 2014
  • #40
Higgs do want to sell. But not sure if they would be happy to attempt to sell to SISU again. The last time they tried didn't exactly go to plan did it.
 

italiahorse

Well-Known Member
  • May 15, 2014
  • #41
Sisu have reduced the value by removing the club and breaking the lease.
They want to pay this value and make a profit by bringing the club back.

CCC would have assessed the value of the Stadium with a club there before stepping in to save the venue and give the club somewhere to play.

Looking back would CCC have put any money in if they could forsee that a lease would be broken? I suspect not.
 
C

Cheshire Sky Blue

New Member
  • May 15, 2014
  • #42
italiahorse said:
Sisu have reduced the value by removing the club and breaking the lease.
They want to pay this value and make a profit by bringing the club back.

CCC would have assessed the value of the Stadium with a club there before stepping in to save the venue and give the club somewhere to play.

Looking back would CCC have put any money in if they could forsee that a lease would be broken? I suspect not.
Click to expand...


Would CCC have invested in the future of CCFC if they had appreciated that the club would have been purchased by such an atrocious bunch of arseholes, probably not, but I am glad they did. Because very soon the arsholes will be gone and we will have our club back
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #43
Cheshire Sky Blue said:
Would CCC have invested in the future of CCFC if they had appreciated that the club would have been purchased by such an atrocious bunch of arseholes, probably not, but I am glad they did. Because very soon the arsholes will be gone and we will have our club back
Click to expand...

Shall we wait and see?

If they go they will have to write off a lot of money. If they run the club like they should they could turn a profit without the interest charges and get promotion. It is all down to if they finally negotiate or keep up with litigation which costs even more as well as keeps our club in Northampton.

Whilst they are still at our club they haven't made a loss. They have made lots of loans. They have only made a loss when there is no chance of getting their money back as the investment has gone wrong and they have pulled out.
 

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
  • May 16, 2014
  • #44
How do we know that the Higgs Charity want to sell? they have not said that. They said they are prepared to look at any reasonable proposal. It looks to me that things have changed for them since 2012 and they are prepared to sit and wait for the right offer, however long that takes.

As for the value of the Higgs investment depreciating by 2% per year - does it? Clearly the Trustees in their latest accounts for the Charity do not think so. They believe that the value of their investment is at least what they paid for it. Trying to link it to the lease write down is not going to work because they bought the interest in the shares of the company not the interest in the lease. There are many more factors that affect the value of the investment than an annual 2% write down of a lease. What they bought in 2003 is very different to what is in 2014. You could argue that the money invested would have earnt 2%+ per annum in interest for example but that would not be a valuation either. Tax write downs or accounting policy write downs do not give you a market valuation nor are they intended to.

It isn't the difficulty in valuing the arena that is a problem for SISU, it is neither of the stakeholders have said that the Ricoh lease, freehold or shares in ACL is for sale in the first place in which case no formal valuation by ACL, CCC or Charity is necessary. Talks of valuations, averaging independent valuations, valuing this or that etc are largely irrelevant. The only way that changes is if someone comes along with an offer to buy the Freehold or an interest in ACL that comes close or exceeds expectations of ACL, CCC or Charity. Even then it is going to be about much more than a price in £ sterling
 
Last edited: May 16, 2014
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 16, 2014
  • #45
oldskyblue58 said:
It isn't the difficulty in valuing the arena that is a problem the problem for SISU but it is neither of the stakeholders have said that the Ricoh lease, freehold or shares in ACL is for sale in the first place in which case no formal valuation by ACL, CCC or Charity is necessary.
Click to expand...

In which case, it's hardly surprising that they'd look elsewhere for a home.
 

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
  • May 16, 2014
  • #46
or they could actually make a meaningful offer ....... everything has its price ..... to see if they would sell
 
Last edited: May 16, 2014
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 16, 2014
  • #47
oldskyblue58 said:
or they could actually make a meaningful offer ....... everything has its price .....
Click to expand...

If there's no desire to sell, is there actually a point?

To buy vastly over the odds would be madness wouldn't it... be it a football club, football stadium, or football stadium management company.

Or... they could all sit down and talk with no agenda, stop the shilly-shallying, appeals to public opinion... and actually show a football club matters by actions, not words.
 

olderskyblue

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #48
Deleted member 5849 said:
If there's no desire to sell, is there actually a point?

To buy vastly over the odds would be madness wouldn't it... be it a football club, football stadium, or football stadium management company.

Or... they could all sit down and talk with no agenda, stop the shilly-shallying, appeals to public opinion... and actually show a football club matters by actions, not words.
Click to expand...

Wouldn't making an offer be a prelude to those talks? And maybe there would be a specific agenda then.

We all know if they did make an offer, it definitely would not be "vastly over the odds". Not sure where you got that thought from NW..
 

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
  • May 16, 2014
  • #49
Not how it would work though is it ....

They haven't put it on the market that doesn't mean they wouldn't sell it for the right deal/price

As I understand it if someone was to put in an offer on a reasonable basis that came close to expectations because of the nature of the two bodies involved they would be duty bound to consider it. At which point they would proceed to valuations which would prevent under and over payments on worth

But yes sitting down and talking constructively about the needs of the football club would certainly be a step forward I agree......
 
Last edited: May 16, 2014
J

Jack Griffin

Guest
  • May 16, 2014
  • #50
Deleted member 5849 said:
If there's no desire to sell, is there actually a point?

To buy vastly over the odds would be madness wouldn't it... be it a football club, football stadium, or football stadium management company.

Or... they could all sit down and talk with no agenda, stop the shilly-shallying, appeals to public opinion... and actually show a football club matters by actions, not words.
Click to expand...

To make the club homeless is the real madness.
 

duffer

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #51
I'm still at a bit confused here as to why people like Nick seem to think the Higgs charity should be obliged to sell their shares for a loss.

There still seems to be the argument that they bought the share in expectation of realising a substantial profit, and therefore the downside is that they might need to take a hit. However as has always been evident, the only reason Higgs bought the share was to rescue the club. There's no evidence that they were ever looking to make a profit - and indeed it can be seen that they were prepared to sell for a loss, to SISU (but SISU obviously wanted buy now, pay-later terms without sufficient security).

Personally I think that all the talk about a 'fair price' is specious. It's entirely inappropriate, to my mind, to expect or pressure Higgs to sell for less than they've put in, unless they choose to do so. If SISU can't come close to a value that Higgs want for their share, then what right do we or they have to complain. If Higgs hadn't stepped in when the club was going to the wall they wouldn't be part of all of this mess now.

To suggest a charity to hand over their share for less than they want, to an organisation that can apparently find millions to buy a new stadium (and pay very large salaries to boot) seems utterly wrong to me. Presuming that Higgs aren't trying to make a huge profit out of the club, a fair price is one that Higgs are prepared to sell for. All this talk about valuations is bogus, imho, and seems to be driven (unsurprisingly) from just one side.
 
Last edited: May 16, 2014

Nick

Administrator
  • May 16, 2014
  • #52
duffer said:
I'm still at a bit confused here as to why people like Nick seem to think the Higgs charity should be obliged to sell their shares for a loss.

There still seems to be the argument that they bought the share in expectation of realising a substantial profit, and therefore the downside is that they might need to take a hit. However as has always been evident, the only reason Higgs bought the share was to rescue the club. There's no evidence that they were ever looking to make a profit - and indeed it can be seen that they were prepared to sell for a loss, to SISU (but SISU obviously wanted buy now, pay-later terms without sufficient security).

Personally I think that all the talk about a 'fair price' is specious. It's entirely inappropriate, to my mind, to expect or pressure Higgs to sell for less than they've put in, unless they choose to do so. If SISU can't come close to a value that Higgs want for their share, then what right do we or they have to complain. If Higgs hadn't stepped in when the club was going to the wall they wouldn't be part of all of this mess now.

To suggest a charity to hand over their share for less than they want, to an organisation that can apparently find millions to buy a new stadium (and pay very large salaries to boot) seems utterly wrong to me. Presuming that Higgs aren't trying to make a huge profit out of the club, a fair price is one that Higgs are prepared to sell for. All this talk about valuations is bogus, imho, and seems to be driven (unsurprisingly) from just one side.
Click to expand...

Again, I'm not saying anybody should be forced to do anything
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #53
Nick said:
Again, I'm not saying anybody should be forced to do anything
Click to expand...

So why the valuation? What will we do with it once we have it?
 

Nick

Administrator
  • May 16, 2014
  • #54
shmmeee said:
So why the valuation? What will we do with it once we have it?
Click to expand...

Basis for bidding then isn't it? Plus we can see who is trying to rip off who...
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #55
Nick said:
Basis for bidding then isn't it? Plus we can see who is trying to rip off who...
Click to expand...

Ah, so you would "expect" but not "force" Higgs to go along with the valuation, as otherwise they'd be "ripping us off", yes?
 

sky blue john

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #56
Nick said:
Basis for bidding then isn't it? Plus we can see who is trying to rip off who...
Click to expand...

So do you believe the charity tried to rip off Sisu ?
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #57
Osb or anybody else.

How was the value of the original CCFC share in ACL arrived at?

Why was it £6m? How could shares in a new company that hadn't traded be valued as such?

What did CCFC do with the £6m?

Why did the charity undertake such a risky purchase?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #58
duffer said:
I'm still at a bit confused here as to why people like Nick seem to think the Higgs charity should be obliged to sell their shares for a loss.

There still seems to be the argument that they bought the share in expectation of realising a substantial profit, and therefore the downside is that they might need to take a hit. However as has always been evident, the only reason Higgs bought the share was to rescue the club. There's no evidence that they were ever looking to make a profit - and indeed it can be seen that they were prepared to sell for a loss, to SISU (but SISU obviously wanted buy now, pay-later terms without sufficient security).

Personally I think that all the talk about a 'fair price' is specious. It's entirely inappropriate, to my mind, to expect or pressure Higgs to sell for less than they've put in, unless they choose to do so. If SISU can't come close to a value that Higgs want for their share, then what right do we or they have to complain. If Higgs hadn't stepped in when the club was going to the wall they wouldn't be part of all of this mess now.

To suggest a charity to hand over their share for less than they want, to an organisation that can apparently find millions to buy a new stadium (and pay very large salaries to boot) seems utterly wrong to me. Presuming that Higgs aren't trying to make a huge profit out of the club, a fair price is one that Higgs are prepared to sell for. All this talk about valuations is bogus, imho, and seems to be driven (unsurprisingly) from just one side.
Click to expand...

Another wonderfully informative post - with no reference to the football club whatsoever.

What exactly is your agenda?
 

sky blue john

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #59
Grendel said:
Another wonderfully informative post - with no reference to the football club whatsoever.

What exactly is your agenda?
Click to expand...

Lol !!!
Coming from the most anti CCFC member on this forum !
 

lewys33

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #60
Grendel said:
Another wonderfully informative post - with no reference to the football club whatsoever.

What exactly is your agenda?
Click to expand...

Troll example number 1. Give it a rest mate, most of your posts are CCC/ACL related so lets not start the "no reference to the club" bullshit. Maybe try putting some points across that argue against the statement duffer made rather than snide comments and questioning someone's agenda!
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #61
oldskyblue58 said:
How do we know that the Higgs Charity want to sell? they have not said that. They said they are prepared to look at any reasonable proposal. It looks to me that things have changed for them since 2012 and they are prepared to sit and wait for the right offer, however long that takes.

As for the value of the Higgs investment depreciating by 2% per year - does it? Clearly the Trustees in their latest accounts for the Charity do not think so. They believe that the value of their investment is at least what they paid for it. Trying to link it to the lease write down is not going to work because they bought the interest in the shares of the company not the interest in the lease. There are many more factors that affect the value of the investment than an annual 2% write down of a lease. What they bought in 2003 is very different to what is in 2014. You could argue that the money invested would have earnt 2%+ per annum in interest for example but that would not be a valuation either. Tax write downs or accounting policy write downs do not give you a market valuation nor are they intended to.

It isn't the difficulty in valuing the arena that is a problem for SISU, it is neither of the stakeholders have said that the Ricoh lease, freehold or shares in ACL is for sale in the first place in which case no formal valuation by ACL, CCC or Charity is necessary. Talks of valuations, averaging independent valuations, valuing this or that etc are largely irrelevant. The only way that changes is if someone comes along with an offer to buy the Freehold or an interest in ACL that comes close or exceeds expectations of ACL, CCC or Charity. Even then it is going to be about much more than a price in £ sterling
Click to expand...

I realise that taking the lease value minus 2 per cent depreciation per annum on the lease cannot portray the real value. The real value changes constantly e.g. with more income from the olympics, less when the anchor tennant goes. As I unterstand it, the stadium management company can only exsist because of the 50 year lease.

Higgs set a value on that when they purchased it. That was also a "guesstimate". There are no direct comparisons.

Assuming Higgs want out - they have said so ( get out of jail card ), the only measure in black and white, is what they paid for it. They claim it hasn't gone down in value according to their books. That is also a "guesstimate" not based on fact - more wishful thinking.

My point is you have to start somewhere and the calculation with 2 per cent comes near to what Higgs were willing to accept. In other words, could be justified, say, to the charities commission.

SISU think it's too much. You think too little. Unless the parties can agree to take some form of guesstimate based on the little information on value that we have, we will never get anywhere. In the end it comes down what it is worth to the parties involved and not an open market monetary value.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #62
Are some people blind to the truth?

The last attempt Higgs made to sell to SISU was for 5.5m. They paid 6.5m. Profiteering? It was SISU that wanted to pay over 10 years that ruined the deal. They wouldn't offer any guarantee of payment. What does this suggest?

Then SISU tried to make out that ACL was worthless. We know this wasn't true. IT was for if everything went wrong for ACL. But that was the only bit mentioned by Deering in court. She said Joy was willing to pay 2m for something worthless as Higgs are a charity. What a joke. Even the judge pulled her up on it. So what has it cost our club and SISU for trying to get the Higgs share for 3.5m less than they agreed?

SISU lost at least 2m last season by taking us to Northampton. It also lost us the home advantage in our home games. If we stay in Northampton next season there will be another minimum extra 2m lost, That is nearly the cost of the 50% share in ACL and nothing to show for it. The 50% share in ACL would have given them a good bargaining tool. They would all have been around the table. But the SISU quest to get everything as cheaply as they can is not getting them what they want, but it is putting much more debt onto our club. And the more debt that is accrued means the higher the interest payments need to be. You can also add on how much they have paid in legal fees. So how much has making a derisory offer to Higgs and not negotiating when told no chance cost our club and SISU?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #63
Astute said:
Are some people blind to the truth?

The last attempt Higgs made to sell to SISU was for 5.5m. They paid 6.5m. Profiteering? It was SISU that wanted to pay over 10 years that ruined the deal. They wouldn't offer any guarantee of payment. What does this suggest?

Then SISU tried to make out that ACL was worthless. We know this wasn't true. IT was for if everything went wrong for ACL. But that was the only bit mentioned by Deering in court. She said Joy was willing to pay 2m for something worthless as Higgs are a charity. What a joke. Even the judge pulled her up on it. So what has it cost our club and SISU for trying to get the Higgs share for 3.5m less than they agreed?

SISU lost at least 2m last season by taking us to Northampton. It also lost us the home advantage in our home games. If we stay in Northampton next season there will be another minimum extra 2m lost, That is nearly the cost of the 50% share in ACL and nothing to show for it. The 50% share in ACL would have given them a good bargaining tool. They would all have been around the table. But the SISU quest to get everything as cheaply as they can is not getting them what they want, but it is putting much more debt onto our club. And the more debt that is accrued means the higher the interest payments need to be. You can also add on how much they have paid in legal fees. So how much has making a derisory offer to Higgs and not negotiating when told no chance cost our club and SISU?
Click to expand...

Didnt we have the highest home points tally for 5 season?

Those pesky stats eh?
 

duffer

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #64
Nick said:
Basis for bidding then isn't it? Plus we can see who is trying to rip off who...
Click to expand...

You're implying here that the charity are ripping SISU off if they want to get somewhere close to what they put in, I think.

I'd suggest the true rip-off is SISU expecting/demanding to get hold of it for way less than that - especially on the back of a valuation done at the point they've taken the club away from the ground.

Surely the value of the share is what the Higgs put on it. If SISU don't want to pay that much, for whatever reason, then that's up to them - it's not exactly a rip off to expect to recover most of what you put in to bail out the club, is it?
 

Rusty Trombone

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #65
Astute said:
Then SISU tried to make out that ACL was worthless. We know this wasn't true. IT was for if everything went wrong for ACL. But that was the only bit mentioned by Deering in court. She said Joy was willing to pay 2m for something worthless as Higgs are a charity. What a joke. Even the judge pulled her up on it. So what has it cost our club and SISU for trying to get the Higgs share for 3.5m less than they agreed?
QUOTE]

The £2m donation is becoming an urban myth. It was to be a £5.5m donation.


8 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: Sorry, you're suggesting she thought

9 the company was worth nothing, but still would pay

10 5.5 million for it?

11 A. She recognised that they were a charity, yes.

12 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: You're not a charity, are you?

13 A. No.

14 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: Why would she pay 5.5 million for

15 something worth nothing?

16 A. I don't know. I don't make the final decision. I can

17 only --

18 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: Okay.
Click to expand...
 

sky blue john

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #66
Grendel said:
Didnt we have the highest home points tally for 5 season?

Those pesky stats eh?
Click to expand...

It maybe home to you but for the majority of CCFC fans sixfields will never be home !!!
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #67
Grendel said:
Didnt we have the highest home points tally for 5 season?

Those pesky stats eh?
Click to expand...

Sounds like you agree with the rest of it then Grendel. Just shows how poor they have been when not negotiating.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #68
Rusty Trombone said:
Astute said:
Then SISU tried to make out that ACL was worthless. We know this wasn't true. IT was for if everything went wrong for ACL. But that was the only bit mentioned by Deering in court. She said Joy was willing to pay 2m for something worthless as Higgs are a charity. What a joke. Even the judge pulled her up on it. So what has it cost our club and SISU for trying to get the Higgs share for 3.5m less than they agreed?
QUOTE]

The £2m donation is becoming an urban myth. It was to be a £5.5m donation.


8 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: Sorry, you're suggesting she thought

9 the company was worth nothing, but still would pay

10 5.5 million for it?

11 A. She recognised that they were a charity, yes.

12 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: You're not a charity, are you?

13 A. No.

14 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: Why would she pay 5.5 million for

15 something worth nothing?

16 A. I don't know. I don't make the final decision. I can

17 only --

18 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: Okay.
Click to expand...

What did the council say about the valuation of the Higgs share?
Click to expand...
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #69
Rusty Trombone said:
Astute said:
Then SISU tried to make out that ACL was worthless. We know this wasn't true. IT was for if everything went wrong for ACL. But that was the only bit mentioned by Deering in court. She said Joy was willing to pay 2m for something worthless as Higgs are a charity. What a joke. Even the judge pulled her up on it. So what has it cost our club and SISU for trying to get the Higgs share for 3.5m less than they agreed?
QUOTE]

The £2m donation is becoming an urban myth. It was to be a £5.5m donation.


8 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: Sorry, you're suggesting she thought

9 the company was worth nothing, but still would pay

10 5.5 million for it?

11 A. She recognised that they were a charity, yes.

12 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: You're not a charity, are you?

13 A. No.

14 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: Why would she pay 5.5 million for

15 something worth nothing?

16 A. I don't know. I don't make the final decision. I can

17 only --

18 MR JUSTICE LEGGATT: Okay.
Click to expand...

No it wasn't. The 5.5m offer was for the so called road map idea. 5.5m was offered, but like I said offered over 10 years. Later on in the year 2m was offered. The reason was that ACL was worthless.
Click to expand...
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • May 16, 2014
  • #70
fernandopartridge said:
How was the value of the original CCFC share in ACL arrived at?

Why was it £6m? How could shares in a new company that hadn't traded be valued as such?

What did CCFC do with the £6m?

Why did the charity undertake such a risky purchase?
Click to expand...

If you're talking about the sale price of the clubs share to Higgs I believe the figure was basically the amount the club had put into the Ricoh project.

As for what we did with the money I think we spent it on the wages of 'big name' signings like Ward.

From the charities perspective it has always been my impression that it was in essence a short term loan with the share in ACL as security to get the club out of a cashflow situation. Hence the option being in place for the club to buy back the share. Obviously the club never exercised that option and Higgs have got stuck dealing with this whole mess.
 
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