skybluecam
Well-Known Member
| Opp | Result | xG | xGA | G | GA | Cov +/- | Opp +/- |
| Stoke | L 0-1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | -0.7 | 0.1 |
| Oxford | W 3-2 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.1 |
| Bristol | D 1-1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Norwich | L 0-1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 | 0.6 |
| Watford | D 1-1 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | -0.8 |
| Swansea | L 0-1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1 | 2 | -0.6 | 1.3 |
| Totals | 9.1 | 5.4 | 6 | 8 | -3.1 | 2.6 |
Above is a table of our results with xG for/against stats.
In 4 of our games we've generated more xG than our opponent. In 2 we have generated less.
In 4 of our games we've under scored our xG. 2 over.
We've generated 9.1 xG and scored 6. We've allowed 5.4 xGA and conceded 8.
Since Oxford we've scored 2 goals off 5.5 xG.
Without doing a proper xPts simulation, I would estimate our expected points at around 11 (W: Swansea, Norwich, Oxford. D: Watford, Bristol. L: Stoke)
Expected Tables:
| Source | Pos | xG | xGA | xGD | xPts |
| FotMob | 6th | 9.4 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 11 |
| TheFishy | 7th | 7.7 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 9.5 |
| footystats | 3rd | 8.9 | 6.8 | 2.1 | - |
| FBRef/Opta | 6th | 9.2 | 5.4 | 3.8 | - |
Gathered a few expected tables. Bear in mind only FotMob seems to be doing a proper xPts calculation.
It's also worth noting that our opponents have converted 5.4 xG into 7.5 PSxG - suggesting we're the victim of some bad luck in terms of opposition players striking better than average shots.
Obviously we've still got issues. But maybe it's not as bad as it looks. Thoughts?