Prediction League 2016/2017

Discussion in 'Coventry City General Chat' started by Nick, Aug 1, 2016.

  1. Tonylinc

    Tonylinc Well-Known Member

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    Why does the live scores not show the current points gained any more?
     
  2. Gazolba

    Gazolba Well-Known Member

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    Tried a new strategy this week. There seemed to have been a lot of draws lately, so I forecast every game a draw. So there was only one draw. Grrrrr.
     
  3. dutchman

    dutchman Well-Known Member

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  4. Astute

    Astute Well-Known Member

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    Only 10 points less than me ;)

    Looks like most had a bad day. Nearly made up for my poor start to the season and the games I missed.
     
  5. dutchman

    dutchman Well-Known Member

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    Thought I'd missed the kick-off this afternoon then realised it's tomorrow! :D
     
  6. dutchman

    dutchman Well-Known Member

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    Can't enter any predictions for matches on 2nd January as the games are shown as having been played on 31st December. :(
     
  7. Nick

    Nick Administrator

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    Strange, Ill try and force it to update and if not try and hack the date for the 2nd.
     
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  8. dutchman

    dutchman Well-Known Member

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  9. Astute

    Astute Well-Known Member

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    Leave it as it is Nick. I already have mine in ;)
     
  10. Nick

    Nick Administrator

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    Just forced it to change the date, is that any better?

    Hopefully it will auto update :)
     
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  11. dutchman

    dutchman Well-Known Member

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    Yep, seems to be working now Nick. Thanks [​IMG]
     
  12. Gazolba

    Gazolba Well-Known Member

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    I currently have the greatest number of 3-pointers, the lowest number of 1-pointers and the highest number of 0 pointers. I'm not sure what this means. It seems my tactics are flawed as I am 12th in the ranking.
     
  13. King of the Lesbians

    King of the Lesbians Well-Known Member

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    Matchday 26 is a bit of a fucking car crash!
     
  14. Nick

    Nick Administrator

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    Chuck the scores in and it should work eventually :)
     
  15. dutchman

    dutchman Well-Known Member

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    I think he means half the games have been cancelled Nick, not that the Prediction League doesn't work? ;)
     
  16. Nick

    Nick Administrator

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    Oh :) you will still need to predict them now as it's not clever enough to move them to New dates :(
     
  17. Gazolba

    Gazolba Well-Known Member

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    I just enter my predictions several weeks ahead. You can always edit them later if you want. Just remember to click SAVE after every change otherwise it throws all your changes away!
     
  18. Astute

    Astute Well-Known Member

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    I prefer to miss the occasional games to give everyone a chance ;)
     
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  19. MusicDating

    MusicDating Euro 2016 Prediction League Champion!!

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    Erm yer, that's the same reason I missed an entire set of fixtures over Christmas :oops:
     
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  20. Astute

    Astute Well-Known Member

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    Silly me. I thought it was the alcohol :smuggrin:
     
  21. Gazolba

    Gazolba Well-Known Member

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    Well I went over my predictions for today's games last night since I had made them pretty hastily a few weeks ago. Spent a lot of time examining the league stats, current form etc.
    I changed three of my earlier predictions based on this careful analysis. The result? Every one of my earlier predictions was right and I changed them all to be wrong. Even had CCFC to lose but had changed it to a draw. Grrrr.
     
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  22. cov_george

    cov_george Member

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    Had a good night on the predictions, 17 points possibly my highest score in one match day
     
  23. dutchman

    dutchman Well-Known Member

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    Scored 15 points myself but didn't rise a single place as everyone above me did too.
     
  24. King of the Lesbians

    King of the Lesbians Well-Known Member

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    Had to do 4 lots of predictions before I went on holiday.
    Seems I totally fucked it up!
     
  25. King of the Lesbians

    King of the Lesbians Well-Known Member

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    MK Dons away to Port Vale & Charlton.
    Tough to predict especially as Port Vale are also away at Wallsall!
     
  26. Gazolba

    Gazolba Well-Known Member

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    I did some calculations and I strongly suspect that Houchens Head who is currently top is forecasting every game 2-1. I calculated the number of points you would have if you did that and it is exactly what he has (407). His 3-pointer count is also 59 - exactly the number of 2-1 wins.
    I'm not saying this is cheating, since its within the rules, but it is hardly in the spirit of trying to forecast each game.
    I guess it proves that no-one can out forecast blindly predicting the most common result for every game.
    You probably need to adjust the points awarded for various results to counteract this flaw.
     
  27. Astute

    Astute Well-Known Member

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    Sour grapes before the end of the season?

    Are you going to pull up those that do a draw in most games? They get minimum 2 points each result. Or how do you get a lack of 1 points and plenty of 2 points.

    If you think that 2-1 happens a lot get down the bookies. You will clean up if it happens.

    Mellow out. It is supposed to be a bit of fun.
     
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  28. MusicDating

    MusicDating Euro 2016 Prediction League Champion!!

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    TBF I don't think I've predicted a 2 goal victory for anyone all season! My tactics are vaguely based on stats without being arsed to actually look into it. I only got a few points today and HH pulled away, so he's defo doing something right and fair play to him!
     
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  29. cov_george

    cov_george Member

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    Guess, guess & guess again is the way for me as I can't be bothered to look at form etc..
     
  30. Astute

    Astute Well-Known Member

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    I have gone one goal lots of times and they have won clearly. I have gone 4 goals and they have lost :D
     
  31. Terry Gibson's perm

    Terry Gibson's perm Well-Known Member

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    I just put down the result I think will happen, I will have no idea next year I couldn't even name half a dozen teams in division four
     
  32. dutchman

    dutchman Well-Known Member

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    I reckon Houch sold his soul to the devil in return for the correct results?
     
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  33. Gazolba

    Gazolba Well-Known Member

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    No. Merely pointing out he predicted a 2-1 result for every single game. I'm glad you think that's 'a bit of fun'.
    If everyone predicts a 2-1 result for every game in the prediction league next season, everyone will come out equal.
    It does not require any thought or talent, just make your predictions on the first day and forget about it for the rest of the season.

    Your proposed technique of forecasting 1-1 for every game would fall short. There have been 70 1-1 draws giving you 210 points, 43 0-0, 21 2-2 and 9 3-3. Adding all the 2-pointers would give you an additional 146 points making 356. But forecasting every game 2-1 gives 407 points because you get a large number of 2 and 1-pointers for all the other home wins.
     
    Last edited: Apr 10, 2017
  34. Astute

    Astute Well-Known Member

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    So everyone would know the team that would win 2-1 each game?

    I would take a guess that 1-0 or 2-0 happens about the same. And you have the games where you would get more goals than that like top against bottom.
     
  35. Nick

    Nick Administrator

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    I didn't know it was so competitive!
     
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