Again you aren't reading what I wrote. Both Appleton and fisher say ACL will and should sign the CVA because if they don't they will only get 0.5p in the pound. For ACL to get only 0.5p that means there has to be significantly less money in limited to give them than if they are getting 25.9p, I accept that perhaps not signing the cva would mean the loss of the compensation for breaking the lease but that doesn't even come close to explaining the 50 times drop in the amount they receive. So if there is less money in limited it follows that means the money that should have come from Otium hasn't come in and if that money hasn't come in then surely Otium have no longer purchased what they had done.
Now I accept I don't fully understand what happens with administration and CVA's (though you clearly also don't) and that is why I asked where I'm going wrong with my logic. There has to be a good reason for the drop from 25.9p to 0.5p and I only see that one option of Otiums purchase not going through.
I considered that perhaps it was something to do with the secured creditor getting all their money first but that doesn't work either because then ACL would get nothing not 0.5p and hasn't the secured creditor ARVO already written off their debt?
I understand your logic.
And while I am no CVA or insolvency expert too and mostly go with what is said by the various stakeholders and what I can find on the internet I can see only come up with this:
Signing the CVA will value the remaining of the lease at the compensation offered - £1.2m, while refusing the lease it will be valued at the total length of the lease - 40 something years or $45m.
Does that add up?
Refusal of the CVA will mean liquidation of Limited as there really are no assets in Limited ... the Golden Share has no real value, has it? ... so a liquidator will have nothing much to sell.
The liquidator would also have to look after the main creditors ... Otium, ccfc Holdings and SBS&L. This mean a potential buyer would have to at least match Otium's bid, and still there's no guarantee the bidder will be granted the Golden Share ... he may be able to play a the Ricoh, but he does not have any players, no manager, no training facilities etc. and the FL may decide (at their discretion) a new owner is unlikely to fullfil the fixtures.
Does that make sense?
Then there is the duty of the ACL directors. If they gamble and refuse the CVA and the golden share still goes to Otium and they refuse to play again at the Ricoh as a consequence of the refused CVA, then the directors have failed their duty to maximize the success of the Arena and its stakeholders.