74pts - 20wins 14 Draws (4 Viewers)

[FRY-CCFC]

103 - Champions 2014
102
101 - Champions 2012
100
99 - Champions 2015
98
97 - Predicted Champions 2016
96
95 - Champions 2011
94 - Promotion 2014
93 - Promotion 2012
92 - Promotion 2011 Predicted Promotion 2016
91 - Promotion 2016
90
89
88
87
86
85
84 - Champions 2013
83 - Promotion 2013
82
81
80
79
78
77
76
75
74 - Play-Offs 2013, 2014, Predicted Play-Offs 2016
73 - Play-Offs 2012
72
71 - Play-Offs 2011
70
69 - Play-Offs 2016

51 - Burton(24)
50 - Gillingham(25)
48 - Walsall(24)
47 - Coventry(25)
41 - Wigan(24)
40 - Peterborough(25)
37 - Southend(24)
36 - Sheff Utd(24)
34 - Rochdale(24), Millwall(25)

Forthcoming Fixtures:

1st Burton(24) - 51 points. Coventry(A), Shrewsbury(H), Peterborough(A), Rochdale(A), Bradford(H)
2nd Gillingham(25) - 50 points. Wigan(A), Doncaster(A), Peterborough(H), Blackpool(A), Swindon(H)
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3rd Walsall(24) - 48 points. Coventry(A), Bury(A), Blackpool(H), Fleetwood(A), Doncaster(A)
4th Coventry(25) - 47 points. Walsall(H), Burton(H), Southend(A), Scunthorpe(H), Port Vale(A)
5th Wigan(24) - 41 points. Gillingham(H), Sheff Utd(H), Chesterfield(H), Crewe(A), Port Vale(H)
6th Peterborough(25) - 40 points. Southend(H), Gillingham(A), Burton(H), Oldham(H), Chesterfield(A)
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7th Southend(24) - 37 points. Swindon(A), Peterborough(A), Coventry(H), Shrewsbury(A), Colchester(H)
8th Sheff Utd(24) - 36 points. Wigan(A), Colchester(A), Swindon(H), Blackpool(A), Bury(A)
9th Rochdale(24) - 34 points. Chesterfield(H), Fleetwood(H), Barnsley(A), Burton(H), Crewe(A)
10th Millwall(24) - 34 points. Oldham(A), Port Vale(H), Chesterfield(A), Crewe(H), Walsall(A)

Stolen from another forum

 

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[chiefdave]

So two games past halfway another 27 points should mean play offs.

That's surely the minimum now. We've got 47 points from 25 games (1.88 points per game) so 27 from 21 (1.29 peg) shouldn't be an issue even if we have a drop in form.

45 from 21 (2.14 peg) for automatic is certainly not out of reach either. That's only a couple of extra wins above form so far this season.

 

[CCFC_Charlie]

Was having a look at the home and away tables yesterday and was quite surprised that we're 4th in the away table. We can win this league, but it's not gonna be easy.

 

[Otis]

If it's to be 92 to be promoted that is 45 more points needed from 21 games.

Possibly scenarios:

12 wins and 9 draws, no defeats. That's a very, very tough ask.

13 wins, 6 draws, no defeats. Ditto.

14 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats. That is more doable. We do draw a lot of games though don't we.

15 wins, 6 defeats. Can't see us losing 6 more games over the rest of the season.


Would say the 14 wins would be our best chance. Can we do that? Be nice to see the comparison of those clubs who were promoted on those totals, to see what points tally they were on after 25 games.

 

[Otis]

Just looked at the 2010/11 season and after 25 games, Brighton, who were top, had 49 points. Southampton had 41 points. They were the two teams promoted. Brighton finished on 95 and Southampton on 92.

We are therefore almost on par with Brighton (just 2 points behind) and we are 6 points ahead of where Southampton were at the same stage.

That makes me feel better (if of course this season pans out in a similar fashion).

 

[italiahorse]

To be honest I think we can step it up.
We haven't to be honest played consistently well in a lot of games.
We need to get a couple of players in the window and go for it.

 

[Otis]

If it's to be 92 to be promoted that is 45 more points needed from 21 games.

Possibly scenarios:

12 wins and 9 draws, no defeats. That's a very, very tough ask.

13 wins, 6 draws, no defeats. Ditto.

14 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats. That is more doable. We do draw a lot of games though don't we.

15 wins, 6 defeats. Can't see us losing 6 more games over the rest of the season.


Would say the 14 wins would be our best chance. Can we do that? Be nice to see the comparison of those clubs who were promoted on those totals, to see what points tally they were on after 25 games.

Here's our remaining fixtures. Can we get 14 wins out of these?

Coventry v Walsall Sat 9 Jan 15:00

Coventry v Burton Sat 16 Jan 15:00

Southend v Coventry Sat 23 Jan 15:00

Coventry v Scunthorpe Sat 30 Jan 15:00

Port Vale v Coventry Sat 6 Feb 15:00

Coventry v Bury Sat 13 Feb 15:00

Shrewsbury v Coventry Sat 20 Feb 15:00

Coventry v Fleetwood Sat 27 Feb 15:00

Barnsley v Coventry Tue 1 Mar 19:45

Coventry v Rochdale Sat 5 Mar 15:00

Blackpool v Coventry Sat 12 Mar 15:00

Coventry v Swindon Sat 19 Mar 15:00

Peterboro v Coventry Fri 25 Mar 15:00

Coventry v Colchester Tue 29 Mar 19:45

Gillingham v Coventry Sat 2 Apr 15:00

Wigan v Coventry Sat 9 Apr 15:00

Coventry v Millwall Sat 16 Apr 15:00

Coventry v Bradford Tue 19 Apr 19:45

Doncaster v Coventry Sat 23 Apr 15:00

Coventry v Sheff Utd Sat 30 Apr 15:00

Oldham v Coventry Sun 8 May 12:30


Have to say I am struggling to find 14 wins there. I get to 11 or 12 and that's about it.

 

[Otis]

If you look at the 2013 season, where it was a very low total and Doncaster finished top on 84 points, after 25 games they had 47 points, exactly the same as us.

84 points would be such a more achievable target for us. That would mean we would need just 37 points to achieve that and that would be 11 wins and 4 draws out of 21 games, or 10 wins and 7 draws and 4 defeats.

I wonder if it will be so low this time round.

 

[st john]

92 is the prediction but I think it might be less than that this year as there are a number of strong teams. In 2013 Bournemouth went up with 83 and in 2010 Leeds went up with 86 (auto promotion).

Edit - Just saw Otis's post saying much the same thing

 

[Otis]

92 is the prediction but I think it might be less than that this year as there are a number of strong teams. In 2013 Bournemouth went up with 83 and in 2010 Leeds went up with 86 (auto promotion).

Edit - Just saw Otis's post saying much the same thing

Think it will be one of the lower totals. Usually there is one team dominating (Fulham, Charlton, Wolves, Bristol City etc.), but this season there hasn't been. No-one is going to get 100 points I'm sure and probably not even come close to it.

Would assume the winning tally will be somewhere between 84-92 points and probably less than 90 in reality. Don't have to win the league either, 2nd place will do just fine.

 

[Londonccfcfan]

our last 7 games of the season. From 2nd April.

Can they get anymore difficult than this?. ideally wanna be playing teams having nothing to play for.

Gillingham (A)
Wigan (A)
Millwall (H)
Bradford (H)
Doncaster (A)
Sheffield United (A)
Oldham (A)

That's a tough run in as the above 6 will be in play off mix and Oldham fighting to stay up possibly.

this is where the league will won or lost. We don't fear anyone but ideally need to be in the top 2 positions going into these games.

 

[Londonccfcfan]

our last 7 games of the season. From 2nd April.

Can they get anymore difficult than this?. ideally wanna be playing teams having nothing to play for.

Gillingham (A)
Wigan (A)
Millwall (H)
Bradford (H)
Doncaster (A)
Sheffield United (H)
Oldham (A)

That's a tough run in as the above 6 will be in play off mix and Oldham fighting to stay up possibly.

this is where the league will won or lost. We don't fear anyone but ideally need to be in the top 2 positions going into these games.

 

[Liquid Gold]

Feb and March has to be the time that we go for it, if we can go on a similar run to that in November and wipe teams away and get a good few wins on the bounce it should put us in a strong position. From scunthorpe to Swindon all are very winnable games and we are going to have to have points on the board as I would be anxious going into April with those games needing to make up points.

I do think that the total wont be as high as predicted this year, Walsall, Burton and Gills being the pacesetters, they are the teams you'd expect to drop off as the season goes on due to the fatigue of a smaller squad and a lower budget. The managerial change has to have an effect at some point too.

The teams I thought would be near the top at the begging of the season (Wigan, Peterborough, Millwall, Bradford & Sheffield United) are still the teams I'm looking out for. To be above them all at this stage of the season is a massive achievement and with playoffs looking probable without a drastic collapse its good to know we at least have a good chance this season.

 

[Philosoraptor]

Working on something at the moment, hopefully I'll put it up over the next few days (work permitting). Could be a winner

 

[BackRoomRummermill]

Here's our remaining fixtures. Can we get 14 wins out of these?

Coventry v Walsall Sat 9 Jan 15:00 W

Coventry v Burton Sat 16 Jan 15:00 W

Southend v Coventry Sat 23 Jan 15:00 L

Coventry v Scunthorpe Sat 30 Jan 15:00 W

Port Vale v Coventry Sat 6 Feb 15:00 D

Coventry v Bury Sat 13 Feb 15:00 W

Shrewsbury v Coventry Sat 20 Feb 15:00 W

Coventry v Fleetwood Sat 27 Feb 15:00 W

Barnsley v Coventry Tue 1 Mar 19:45 D

Coventry v Rochdale Sat 5 Mar 15:00 D

Blackpool v Coventry Sat 12 Mar 15:00 D

Coventry v Swindon Sat 19 Mar 15:00 D

Peterboro v Coventry Fri 25 Mar 15:00 L

Coventry v Colchester Tue 29 Mar 19:45 W

Gillingham v Coventry Sat 2 Apr 15:00 D

Wigan v Coventry Sat 9 Apr 15:00 L

Coventry v Millwall Sat 16 Apr 15:00 D

Coventry v Bradford Tue 19 Apr 19:45 W

Doncaster v Coventry Sat 23 Apr 15:00 W

Coventry v Sheff Utd Sat 30 Apr 15:00 D

Oldham v Coventry Sun 8 May 12:30 D


Have to say I am struggling to find 14 wins there. I get to 11 or 12 and that's about it.

 

[BackRoomRummermill]

Look at my predictions next to the game I see us getting 36 more points

 

[Otis]

Look at my predictions next to the game I see us getting 36 more points

You only have 9 wins there. That's 9 wins out of 21 games. That will be a rather poor end to the season for sure. I would be really, really disappointed with just 9 wins from our remaining games.

 

[BackRoomRummermill]

It wont matter, the other teams at the top will stall as well, the lower half of the league as it stands will have an improved 2nd half season making it tight. 83 points will get us promoted.

 

[Otis]

It wont matter, the other teams at the top will stall as well, the lower half of the league as it stands will have an improved 2nd half season making it tight. 83 points will get us promoted.

I think we can win 11 out of 21 for sure. That would give us 80 points, plus whatever draws we can get.

 

[Specs WT-R75]

Here's our remaining fixtures. Can we get 14 wins out of these?

W Coventry v Walsall Sat 9 Jan 15:00

D Coventry v Burton Sat 16 Jan 15:00

D Southend v Coventry Sat 23 Jan 15:00

W Coventry v Scunthorpe Sat 30 Jan 15:00

L Port Vale v Coventry Sat 6 Feb 15:00

W Coventry v Bury Sat 13 Feb 15:00

W Shrewsbury v Coventry Sat 20 Feb 15:00

W Coventry v Fleetwood Sat 27 Feb 15:00

D Barnsley v Coventry Tue 1 Mar 19:45

W Coventry v Rochdale Sat 5 Mar 15:00

D Blackpool v Coventry Sat 12 Mar 15:00

W Coventry v Swindon Sat 19 Mar 15:00

L Peterboro v Coventry Fri 25 Mar 15:00

W Coventry v Colchester Tue 29 Mar 19:45

L Gillingham v Coventry Sat 2 Apr 15:00

L Wigan v Coventry Sat 9 Apr 15:00

W Coventry v Millwall Sat 16 Apr 15:00

W Coventry v Bradford Tue 19 Apr 19:45

D Doncaster v Coventry Sat 23 Apr 15:00

D Coventry v Sheff Utd Sat 30 Apr 15:00

W Oldham v Coventry Sun 8 May 12:30


Have to say I am struggling to find 14 wins there. I get to 11 or 12 and that's about it.

11 wins, 6 draws. 86 points. This will put us in the mix. To be in the mix we need teams like Millwall, Wigan, Sheffield taking points from the top 4 teams to bring the required points down.

 

[st john]

Looking it from another perspective, to achieve 90 points, Wigan have to take 49 points from 22 games (2.23 points per game), Peterborough 50 points from 21 games (2.38 points per game), Southend 53 points from 22 (2.41 points per game), and Sheff U. 54 points from 22 (2.45 points per game). IMO that puts them out of range of auto unless at least 3 of the top 4 seriously underperform, which I agree could happen. But until it does that leads me to a logical conclusion that the 2 auto places will almost certainly come from the top 4. We play all the teams above us, and obviously those games are fairly critical but I still believe at least 1 of those above us will run into a bad patch.

 

[BackRoomRummermill]

Expect them to fall away a little the current top 2

MY BIG CONCERN IS WIGAN ( yes in capitals ) they are lurking like an odds on favourite in a horserace

 

[higgs]

Wigan 7/1 to win title should we have a few bob on that?

 

[Otis]

Grendel said Wigan would walk this league before the season started, so maybe you should get your money on.

 

[st john]

Expect them to fall away a little the current top 2

MY BIG CONCERN IS WIGAN ( yes in capitals ) they are lurking like an odds on favourite in a horserace

But based on the last 6 games they have taken 8 points. That's 1 less point than us over the same period.

 

[BackRoomRummermill]

Yes and still Wigan lurk, it will be a race between us and them for top.

 

[Otis]

Yeah and we've been on a BAD run!

Sent from my Hudl 2 using Tapatalk

 

[st john]

Yes and still Wigan lurk, it will be a race between us and them for top.

Well if they can do it from 6 points behind us, so can we, as you say

 

[skybluesam66]

i think its down to 2 from 4 now
if we say 90 points for promotion, then average points needed below (and what that equates to over a full season to see how hard it is for teams below us)



burton need 1.77 per game (82 points over 46 games)
gillingham 1.90 (88)
walsall 1.91 (88)
cov 2.05 (94)
wigan 2.23 (102)
Peterboro 2.38 (109)

Rest 2.4 + (110+)

after the next 2 games our changes will be much clearer - 4-6 points, and we are right in there
anything less than 3 and we can focus on the playoffs

 

[fernandopartridge]

i think its down to 2 from 4 now
if we say 90 points for promotion, then average points needed below (and what that equates to over a full season to see how hard it is for teams below us)



burton need 1.77 per game (82 points over 46 games)
gillingham 1.90 (88)
walsall 1.91 (88)
cov 2.05 (94)
wigan 2.23 (102)
Peterboro 2.38 (109)

Rest 2.4 + (110+)

after the next 2 games our changes will be much clearer - 4-6 points, and we are right in there
anything less than 3 and we can focus on the playoffs

Are you seriously suggesting that we give up automatic promotion hopes with 19 games remaining?

 

[Otis]

Are you seriously suggesting that we give up automatic promotion hopes with 19 games remaining?

Both Walsall's and Burton's next games areagainst us, so even if we draw both we will still be in the same distance behind both clubs.

If we lost both we would lose ground, but it still wouldn't be over fpr sure. Too many matches remaining. You go on a run of 4 ir 5 wins on the the trot and you'll be right back up there again.

 

[covcity4life]

if we draw both its as you were otis. with still plenty of time to go to pick up 3 wins on trot whilst likes of burton lose a few

edit-your not saying any different,sorry!

 

[Philosoraptor]

Should be back up with this over the next few days. PC gave up the ghost so I am now all Apple. Just need to get use to the new Mac and trackpad

 

[wingy]

Should be back up with this over the next few days. PC gave up the ghost so I am now all Apple. Just need to get use to the new Mac and trackpad

Ah just out of curiosity this didn't happen about ten games ago did it?

 

[Philosoraptor]

Been battling with a clapped out PC and settling into a new job. Life is getting sweet now, so I thought I would buy myself some new toys.