So... Saturday's fixtures (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Otis
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Gibbo
Well-Known Member
If you look at all March's fixtures it could be well toward the end of the month before we are safely in the play-offs. Exeter have Chesterfield at home above, and in March our rivals have a good number of similarly quite easy games. Exeter have a generally easy run. The one to watch, coming the other way may be Notts County.
Otis
Well-Known Member
Been proven lately though that there are no easy fixtures. Lots of slip ups on Saturday.
I_Saw_Shaw_Score
Well-Known Member
I’d be surprised if anymore than half the games are on......
Otis
Well-Known Member
Fair point, though Saturday is supposed to be warmer. Not much, but into plus figures.
Gibbo
Well-Known Member
"no easy fixtures" = cliche, you can do better than that. if you were an exeter fan you would expect to beat Chesterfield, even though they are showing signs of resistance.
Merely if you go thro the games and apply a reasonable logic knowing that correct / incorrect are likely to balance out, bearing in mind only Swindon have played more games, then actually the odds are that it will be the end of the month before we are securely in the Play offs. These are the better teams in the League so likely to win their games, mainly have a significant points advantage, and curiously have few games against one another. Therefore, allowing for a draw against Luton at home it will be tough to be safely in the Play offs. We only need to be 7th, but it would be better for our collective nerves if we were higher
Merely if you go thro the games and apply a reasonable logic knowing that correct / incorrect are likely to balance out, bearing in mind only Swindon have played more games, then actually the odds are that it will be the end of the month before we are securely in the Play offs. These are the better teams in the League so likely to win their games, mainly have a significant points advantage, and curiously have few games against one another. Therefore, allowing for a draw against Luton at home it will be tough to be safely in the Play offs. We only need to be 7th, but it would be better for our collective nerves if we were higher
lifeskyblue
Well-Known Member
Not worried about any other fixtures. It’s about us! You can over worry about what will happen elsewhere. There will be the odd surprise/slip up that isn’t forseen. Win most of our games and we will end up in the play offs.
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ccfcricoh
Well-Known Member
This.... i think we need 7 points from next 3 games which won't be easy but if we do that - we will be closer to playoffs than we are at the minute regardless of other fixtures really!
Gibbo
Well-Known Member
No the other fixtures matter a lot unless you are run away leaders. We are in a highly competitive situation with 6 chasing 4 places.
We are still not playing very well, - check the mismatch between what is being said during games on here, and the player ratings should we win.We are more than 3 points behind all bar Swindon. This is not a relegation fight when the expectation is your rivals will lose. We need at least others to have a dip in form, as there is little evidence that we can convincingly beat teams therefore are more prone to losing points to the odd goal. It is just stats in the end not wish fulfillment
We are still not playing very well, - check the mismatch between what is being said during games on here, and the player ratings should we win.We are more than 3 points behind all bar Swindon. This is not a relegation fight when the expectation is your rivals will lose. We need at least others to have a dip in form, as there is little evidence that we can convincingly beat teams therefore are more prone to losing points to the odd goal. It is just stats in the end not wish fulfillment
Earlsdon-Loyal-Blue
Well-Known Member
And Mansfield. Losing their manager at this stage Will unsettle them
Mucca Mad Boys
Well-Known Member
Agreed. The best thing to do is to take it game by game. Knowing our form this season, I can honestly see us drawing to Barnet then beating Luton. That’d be so typical.
Otis
Well-Known Member
Yeah and I do think the no easy games tag is valid, especially at this time of the season. So often you get the teams near and around the bottom whose form can suddenly improve as the season draws to an end.
Going to be a lot of teams now fighting for pride, position and players wanting to be retained into next season.
I do think it holds some relevance.
Barnet beat both Notts County and the at the time, high flying Colchester lately and look at Morecambe away at Wycombe.
Mild-Mannered Janitor
Kindest Bloke on CCFC / Maker of CCFC Dreams
Cliché - One game at a time, concentrate on winning our own games and not worry about the others.
All look winnable for those around us this weekend, we must remember still many more weekends to go, the last 2 games have showed us how some had written the season off when we were losing at Mansfield, now, its all "automatic" and playoffs.
Each of those top 7 are going to lose games, it is how we capitalise on that and whether we are good enough to do so, we have continually showed this year that we have the propensity to F it all up against the bottom 6, I'm more worried for our form than the other teams.
All look winnable for those around us this weekend, we must remember still many more weekends to go, the last 2 games have showed us how some had written the season off when we were losing at Mansfield, now, its all "automatic" and playoffs.
Each of those top 7 are going to lose games, it is how we capitalise on that and whether we are good enough to do so, we have continually showed this year that we have the propensity to F it all up against the bottom 6, I'm more worried for our form than the other teams.
Liquid Gold
Well-Known Member
1-0 down at Mansfield I thought it was season over but to have got back to a draw and won last night we've given ourselves a chance again. I'll echo what others have said though with 7 points from the next 3 games needed to put a proper squeeze on third. Obviously we want the lower teams to beat our rivals but at the moment we need to focus on our own game.
Otis
Well-Known Member
Although it's down at the wrong end of the table, Barnet v Port Vale could be a massive game in the scheme of things.
Port Vale are 6 points ahead of Barnet, so this is a real 6 pointer. Barnet win and they are hot on their heels. Vale win and Barnet could possibly be cut adrift.
Might make a significant difference when we come to play them a week on Saturday. Could be demoralised, could be buoyant.
Port Vale are 6 points ahead of Barnet, so this is a real 6 pointer. Barnet win and they are hot on their heels. Vale win and Barnet could possibly be cut adrift.
Might make a significant difference when we come to play them a week on Saturday. Could be demoralised, could be buoyant.
Earlsdon_Skyblue1
Well-Known Member
Look at Luton, I had no idea how much they had been dragged back into it. Game on!
Mucca Mad Boys
Well-Known Member
I do think if we remain unbeaten (or win 3/4) for these next 4 games, I’m backing us to really push for 3rd. The good news is: they are all winnable games, however, Luton and Lincoln should be difficult games. Knowing us, we’ll beat those two and lose to Crewe and Barnet...
Esoterica
Well-Known Member
As predicted in Jan!
Their dip in form coincided with Hylton's injury - the consistency in their goal scoring dried up when he got injured. Unfortunately he just made his first sub appearance on Saturday so will be just about ready to start again against us! I'd expect their performances to start picking up again with his return.
Liquid Gold
Well-Known Member
As long as we beat them I'd be happy for them to win the rest of their games and take points from teams we might have a chance of catching up with.
ccfcricoh
Well-Known Member
Looking at the teams above us...
Wycombe lost their last 2
Notts C haven't been consistent for a while
Mansfield will feel like our game was a loss and just lost manager
Swindon also struggling to put any sort of form together recently
All to play for but looong way to go and we're hardly in form either!
Wycombe lost their last 2
Notts C haven't been consistent for a while
Mansfield will feel like our game was a loss and just lost manager
Swindon also struggling to put any sort of form together recently
All to play for but looong way to go and we're hardly in form either!
Captain Dart
Well-Known Member
They're still 6 pts clear of the nearest challenger for autos with a game in hand and only 12 games left for them & Accrington to overtake them. Wish we had such serious problems.
Esoterica
Well-Known Member
This end of the season does funny things to teams though and at the start of Jan that was 11 points clear of the playoffs. They also have a big 3 games for them coming up. Cambridge away, who are very good at home, then Accrington at home, and us away. If they lose a couple of those, particularly us and Accrington, then things are going to get tasty. That said though I think Hylton's return will steady the ship for them in the end.
Mucca Mad Boys
Well-Known Member
Their game in hand is against us, we’ll be hoping to win that one - we’ve got 3 home games on the bounce and really need to aiming for 7pts from then.
Johhny Blue
Well-Known Member
It's simple. We have 12 games left. Win 4 draw 4 should be doable and see us in the playoffs.
If we split the division into thirds we play only 2 games against the top 3rd and 5 against each of the middle and bottom thirds.
In comparison Accrington play 6 against the top and 3 each against middle and bottom. That's a tough run in. The rest are;
Luton 4,4&4
Wycombe 2,4&5
Notts C. 5,4&2 (another tough one)
Mansfield 3,4&5
Exeter 2,7&4
Swindon 2,6&3
We CAN do this
If we split the division into thirds we play only 2 games against the top 3rd and 5 against each of the middle and bottom thirds.
In comparison Accrington play 6 against the top and 3 each against middle and bottom. That's a tough run in. The rest are;
Luton 4,4&4
Wycombe 2,4&5
Notts C. 5,4&2 (another tough one)
Mansfield 3,4&5
Exeter 2,7&4
Swindon 2,6&3
We CAN do this
Londonccfcfan
Well-Known Member
Really tough away games for teams above us ...Wycombe , Accrington, Mansfield , Notts and Lincoln who play us.
If we win could be a very good weekend. We need to win and also need some results to go our way.
Otis
Well-Known Member
Would be bloody lovely to be back in the top 7 after the falling away and points difference as was just a week or so ago.
Londonccfcfan
Well-Known Member
Swindon are at home to Yeovil though. You’d expect them to win that. But they may be managerless.
Gibbo
Well-Known Member
This is the most optimistic spin you can put on it. You could just as easily argue the opposite for each - Wycombe and Notts C bound to recover after a wobble etc etc
As there are 6 teams chasing 4 places the odds are at least 3 of the five other than ourselves will maintain some kind of form. They can't all collapse - or its unlikely. iirc some of the wobblers now have easier games.
Funny how we regard every other team to have "no easy games", but expect City to blitz Barnet for instance. If there is a case for saying "no easy games" it is based on how shite this league is and so how random results can be
Johhny Blue
Well-Known Member
It's weeks away. Surely you can get fired by then?
Adge
Well-Known Member
Well come to think of it I can feel myself being not to well that weekend!
Otis
Well-Known Member
I personally think Barnet will be a very tough game. I certainly haven't written them off. Could well prove to be the toughest out of the 3 matches we have coming up.