Just a few thoughts
The bid was £7m + I assume that is the cash up front and there are add ons. Trouble is i think the starting point is what it takes to settle out ARVO & SISU Master fund. Those two entities are owed £8.9m as at 31/05/2018 plus interest £7m. Not saying all the interest is covered by a deal but the capital has to be. Nor am i saying any purchaser takes responsibility for the Otium debts, but the "assets" acquired have to realise at least the outstanding capital on the loans to enable what would be left of Otium to settle them.
If SISU decide to sell, and there is no evidence to suggest they want to, then the actual worth of the Club is irrelevant because what they seek is akin to a ransom payment. There are people talking of £20m as the club value, I dont see it personally, however they are probably in the right ball park for what SISU want out of it to go.
The assets. Ryton, Frankly irrelevant what the investment value is if you are buying it to continue as a training ground. Now SISU could retain the training ground to realise that investment value but they will need to provide an alternative which would not have an investment value. Either way figures of 6m or 7m for training facilities to be acquired are way above what the true value to a football club is. The valuation placed on Ryton in the Otium accounts was 350k before depreciation
The bid would be to acquire the assets less football creditors of Otium i believe. What Sisu invested in SBS&L is irrelevant and you would not acquire the loan debts. So what are we looking at
- the golden share, not actually saleable but it is the right to play in EFL so effectively the goodwill of Otium.
- trademark & intellectual property
- Ryton
- fixtures & fittings Equipment etc in the accounts at under £60k book value
- player & management contracts. Yes it would include junior players (you could value by using the agreed FA compensation calculation). The value is an opinion not a calculation so room to bargain, but you would factor in length of contract left etc. You might not want to take on all contracts (are player contracts covered by TUPE? or would EFL insist you do?)
- adds ons from previous player transactions (apparently some were going to be given to SISU). Until it happens there is no value
against that you have the following
- football creditors (player wages, other clubs,EFL etc)
- liability under players contracts
- Junior players? - if it were me i would be discounting the value of the junior players because of the number that never make it, that never go to other clubs, simply drop from the professional game
This is what SISU bought in 2013 from the CCFC Ltd administrator for 1.5m (Ryton was an asset of CCFC H so not sold by administrator)
- Goodwill £1
- Business intellectual property £1
- FL and FA shares £2
- Benefit of any continuing player contracts £466,742
- Equipment £1
- IT System £5000
- The debts and the benefit of all guarantees, indemnities and security rights in respect of them including rates rebate £1,000,000 (apparently Rates rebate £400k +)
- The benefit of all and any actual, potential or contingent rights, claims and causes of actions £1
- The benefit of any licences (excluding property licences) £1
- The business records £1
- All other property rights and assets owned £28,254
Ok some of the players were registered in CCFC H so the player values are likely a fair bit higher. It isnt an accurate comparison - a "distressed company", assets already moved to CCFC H Ltd etc
Proof of funds. I am guessing there is some semantics going on. Hoffman says he can provide proof of funds if SISU want to talk (but not until then) SISU say there was no proof of funds in the offer letter. Both correct and both playing with words.
Bid was never going to succeed, but they have tried. Is there anyone else in the market for an asset poor, loss making football club? The alternative if no one tries is that we accept SISU Capital isnt it
Personally I would take all offers off the table. The interest from Hoffman in a sense provides a safety net for SISU if they did need to cut and run. Clearly at the moment Seppala feels confident - so my concern is why?