Poll the general election (5 Viewers)

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Predict the Result

  • Tory majority more than 20

    Votes: 22 37.9%

  • Tory majority less than 20

    Votes: 12 20.7%

  • Labour majority more than 20

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Labour majority less than 20

    Votes: 2 3.4%

  • Hung parliament

    Votes: 21 36.2%

  • Jo Swinson stuns the world and is PM

    Votes: 1 1.7%
  • Total voters
    58
  • Poll closed .
Grendel

Grendel

Well-Known Member
So dullest campaign in history lurches to a close - what’s the result
 
chiefdave

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
Good chance this poll will be more accurate than Survation who today have Labour storming to victory in Scotland and the Conservatives taking London!
 
Ian1779

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
Other random predictions:

Swinson will lose her seat to the SNP.
Northampton will turn red.
Tories and Labour will be pretty much wiped out in Scotland.
 
Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
What if you think the Tory majority will be exactly 20?

I also predict:
Cov S to go Tory,
Cov NW to be quite close but stay Labour
Swinson to lose her seat
I'm also going to go with Alexander having an uncomfortable few hours before the count but to win with a relatively slim majority
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
What if you think the Tory majority will be exactly 20?

I also predict:
Cov S to go Tory,
Cov NW to be quite close but stay Labour
Swinson to lose her seat
I'm also going to go with Alexander having an uncomfortable few hours before the count but to win with a relatively slim majority
Click to expand...

Taking 2015 as an example, a 6.5% Tory lead got a majority of 5. The average polling would suggest a double digit lead this time so I'd expect over 20 but not much more. Porky gets the job done while seemingly making a gaffe every time he appears
 
W

westcountry_skyblue

Guest
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Taking 2015 as an example, a 6.5% Tory lead got a majority of 5. The average polling would suggest a double digit lead this time so I'd expect over 20 but not much more. Porky gets the job done while seemingly making a gaffe every time he appears
Click to expand...
If the Tories got a majority,Would you expect Corbyn and co to resign,What are labour voters thoughts on this?
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
westcountry_skyblue said:
If the Tories got a majority,Would you expect Corbyn and co to resign,What are labour voters thoughts on this?
Click to expand...

He should have resigned months ago. Assuming Labour end up between 200-250 seats and the Tories return a majority there is no way he can keep his position. McDonnell has tacitly acknowledged this I think? The 2017 manifesto was the sweet spot and if that is restored with someone like Starmer or even McDonnell (though think he's too close to Corbyn for the public) it would win a lot of votes back particularly with Brexit resolved.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Otis said:
I would want Corbyn to resign. This is an election where Labour should be making significant gains after 10 years of Conservative government.

Whether anyone likes him or not he will have failed.
Click to expand...

If it weren't for Brexit those gains would have been made. But Johnson knew it would be an easy win to get the lowest common denominator on side and Corbyn couldn't soundbite his position.
 
Grendel

Grendel

Well-Known Member
fernandopartridge said:
Tory majority of less than 10 seats. At least one of the front bench to lose a seat.
Click to expand...

Probably where I think it will happen

There will be a lot of stories now in the press about the gap closing to get the Tory vote out

I think the real projections of victory by 50 seats can’t happen given they will lose Scotland entirely

The real number to get a majority is around 320 - I think they will get up to about 325

Secretly I suspect they’d like to be 1 or 2 short rather than 1 or 2 over as the coalition labour would form will implode

The NHS story makes no difference
 
Terry Gibson's perm

Terry Gibson's perm

Well-Known Member
I have gone for a hung parliament.

If Jeremy can’t beat Alexander Johnson then his time is up and they need to a younger and more electable person in my opinion it’s Andy Burnham’s time and probably should be now.
 
skybluetony176

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
Having watched all the debates the only leader who’s impressed me is Adam Price, Johnathan Bartley probably second most. Boris is the most shocking by far, he can’t deviate from script.
 
Otis

Otis

Well-Known Member
skybluetony176 said:
Having watched all the debates the only leader who’s impressed me is Adam Price, Johnathan Bartley probably second most. Boris is the most shocking by far, he can’t deviate from script.
Click to expand...
Yes, I have been impressed by the very same two. Straight talking, to the point, no bullshit.
 
M

Monners

Well-Known Member
Ian1779 said:
Other random predictions:

Swinson will lose her seat to the SNP.
Northampton will turn red.
Tories and Labour will be pretty much wiped out in Scotland.
Click to expand...
Northampton South is likely. I think Northampton North will stay blue though (unfortunately - Ellis is useless)
 
M

Monners

Well-Known Member
Ian1779 said:
I have a feeling about North....
Click to expand...
It will be close for sure, but he will hang on. A lot of people don't like Keeble from her time as an MP under Blair. Also, the focus from the tories has been on the negative national campaign - get Brexit....zzzzzz

Neither of the respective Tory candidates have turned up for any of the local hustings - pretty disgraceful really
 
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