I’m amazed how dire Long-Bailey is - she makes Duncan-Smith and his leadership look Churchillian - I don’t understand how you win this long drawn out thing it seems very complex but no one surely will seriously consider her
It’s been changed to try and get more Corbynite people onto the ballot, but basically there’s two nomination stages then a final ballot.
First you need 5% of the MPs/MEPs to nominate you, about 22 at the moment. Phillips, Starmer, Nandy, RLB and Thornberry managed that.
Then (this is the new bit) you need either a certain percentage of affiliates group like unions and socialist societies (based on size of membership so Unite means more than the Musicians Union or whatever) OR a certain percentage of CLPs to nominate you. This is the stage we are currently in. RLB will get Momentumite CLPs and left wing unions like Unite and Food Workers begins her for that. Phillips realises she was too right wing for the unions and too disliked by members and dropped out. Currently Starmer and Nandy are through on affiliate nominations alone, RLB will probably make it too, question marks over Thornberry.
Then it’s a vote by members with alternative vote so members rank their options, if no one gets over 50% they are eliminated and their second options redistributed. Repeat until someone’s over 50%.
Polling is suggesting it’s Starmer by a mile. RLB got lots of Momentumite first preferences but you need the soft left like Corbyn had and they don’t seem to be taking to her. As you say she’s pretty unimpressive and the wider field is more palatable to the soft left than it was when Corbyn won.