Ring Of Steel
Well-Known Member
My head hurts with all these detailed mathematical analyses of the rest of the season, I might start studying applied statistics to get me over the line with it all
The Final Run In (6 Viewers)
- Thread starter stupot07
- Start date
SkyBlueDom26
Well-Known Member
Philosoraptor
Well-Known Member
Just take one game at a time. Everything else which goes on in the league is academic.
In the same way the graph type thing shows Coventry's path throughout the season, it's not rocket science to do the same with every other team in the mix as well.
Just very time consuming.
To quote a phrase. There are a lot of known unknowns.
It's way too early yet to begin looking at everyone else, and you can only affect the games which you play in.
It's good fun though.
In the same way the graph type thing shows Coventry's path throughout the season, it's not rocket science to do the same with every other team in the mix as well.
Just very time consuming.
To quote a phrase. There are a lot of known unknowns.
It's way too early yet to begin looking at everyone else, and you can only affect the games which you play in.
It's good fun though.
Philosoraptor
Well-Known Member
i would add that if we are looking to be champions then we do need to build a points cushion on second place but that goes without saying.
Everyone is going to slip up.
Last years winners won on 1720 ish rating points. We are around there at the moment. Second was around 1700 rating points.
Everyone is going to slip up.
Last years winners won on 1720 ish rating points. We are around there at the moment. Second was around 1700 rating points.
Speedies_Chips
Well-Known Member
ourIt's in are,
steve cooper
Well-Known Member
One good thing is we don't play anyone who needs the points to stay up, except possibly (though unlikely) Wimbledon on the last day. Other than that, the lowest teams we play are Shrewsbury and Blackpool, both currently 15 points clear of the drop zone. It's looking like mid 30's will be enough to avoid relegation.
stupot07
Well-Known Member
steve cooper
Well-Known Member
Everything that is in our favour helps though.
SkyBlueSoul
Well-Known Member
Not really stats but feel this belongs here. Someone simulated the run-in 25 million times and it looks glorious
Philosoraptor
Well-Known Member
I don't show this stuff usually but here is tomorrow's predictions.
You need to add home advantage into the equation by yourself.
Don't bet you house on it.
You need to add home advantage into the equation by yourself.
Don't bet you house on it.
CanadianCCFC
Well-Known Member
We have a lot of red
Otis
Well-Known Member
Sometimes though, at the death, the toughest games can be against those fighting relegation.
Londonccfcfan
Well-Known Member
BornSlippySkyBlue
Well-Known Member
It also says we have a 78% chance of promotion. We can argue the toss about the validity of statistical models like this, but that figure certainly suggests we aren’t being over optimistic with our talk of titles and promotions.
Strange feeling!
the rumpo kid
Well-Known Member
And that means what exactly?
Only as good as the data input.
Must be pretty decent!!
Sky Blue Pete
Well-Known Member
And will change after tonight’s game
Ring Of Steel
Well-Known Member
I’m not bad with a spreadsheet, I’m gonna rustle one up today with so many colours and calculations it’ll have everyone talking for weeks.
Philosoraptor
Well-Known Member
You'll find this stuff, which in my opinion, whatever that's worth, is at the cutting edge in a particular area of sports stats from the net, then post it on a fan site and stand well back.
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skybluesam66
Well-Known Member
I think what the poster was saying, is that such a chart without a key to the colours is meaninglessYou find the latest thing, which in my opinion, whatever that's worth, is at the cutting edge in a particular area of sports stats from the net, then post it on a fan site and stand well back.
so may be at the cutting edge, but presentation is at primary school
the rumpo kid
Well-Known Member
It's just colours next to games with no explanation?You find the latest thing, which in my opinion, whatever that's worth, is at the cutting edge in a particular area of sports stats from the net, then post it on a fan site and stand well back.
Philosoraptor
Well-Known Member
Have fun..
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
Is...is that good?
Philosoraptor
Well-Known Member
robbiethemole
Well-Known Member
where's the bloke with the line graph showing our upward trajectory and stuff???
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
Good is very subjective
Tease. Tell us the relevance of blue and orange.
Liquid Gold
Well-Known Member
A few weeks ago we said 83 would probably do it this year but I'm starting to feel like that won't be enough. A few teams are really kicking into gear now, us included.
stupot07
Well-Known Member
I think autos are going to be about 88-90 points now. Literally us, rotherham and sunderland have been going at it toe-to-toe, matching each other for point for point over the last 12 games.
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Philosoraptor
Well-Known Member
They're just rough markers.
Have noticed Fleetwood name is wrong. Ooh dear.. changed it.
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Skyblueweeman
Well-Known Member
The thing is with this league, it's close because anyone can beat anyone. I like to see this table laid out with the other teams and their run ins and whilst I think ours looks like one of the toughest run ins, there's going to be unexpected results along the way.
People saying how good Sunderland are...the lost to Pompey at the start of the month and apparently it should've been 4-0 (as opposed to 2-0). Pompey, despite being fairly lofty in the table, are playing some poor football but are grinding out results. The two most consistent teams are us and Rotherham...tonight is such a massive game. But as for the rest of the run in, I'm not bothering myself about what the others do.
It's in our hands...I think we can do this!!!
People saying how good Sunderland are...the lost to Pompey at the start of the month and apparently it should've been 4-0 (as opposed to 2-0). Pompey, despite being fairly lofty in the table, are playing some poor football but are grinding out results. The two most consistent teams are us and Rotherham...tonight is such a massive game. But as for the rest of the run in, I'm not bothering myself about what the others do.
It's in our hands...I think we can do this!!!
covcity4life
Well-Known Member
Agree bit form changes. Ours included
If we can get 7 or 8 wins it may ebd up being ebough og subderland or rotheram pick up a few draws instead of wins down the stretch
Sky Blue Pete
Well-Known Member
For Sunderland to get 88 points they need to win 10 and draw 1 of their last 12 games.
Rotherham need to with 9 and draw 1 of 12 games
We need to win 9 and draw 1 of 13 games
if we all do that we deserve to go up automatically.
If Sunderland lose tonight they have to go unbeaten to the end of the season
skybluesam66
Well-Known Member
League One - Table calculator
one for you all to try
I had us 2nd on 85 points
you have to go back to previous weeks, to find the games that were initially postponed
one for you all to try
I had us 2nd on 85 points
you have to go back to previous weeks, to find the games that were initially postponed
Can you expand some of these as they go out focus on phone screens.