Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (92 Viewers)

better days

Well-Known Member
Did anyone see the article in a weekend newspaper that shows that the vast majority of cases are in a band across the globe with a temperature range of 5c to 12c?
Could that offer a glimmer of hope?
 

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
Do you have medical experience or expertise?

So nobody should state what the experts have said but it is OK for you to state 3 to 4 weeks?

Italy peak is now, some of the experts are saying we are 2/3 weeks behind them thats why the peak is 3 weeks away
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
"COBRA meeting is happening at 5pm so there won’t be PM press conference - but still expect to hear from Boris Johnson later on tonight"

Lockdown announcement later?
 

mr_monkey

Well-Known Member
"COBRA meeting is happening at 5pm so there won’t be PM press conference - but still expect to hear from Boris Johnson later on tonight"

Lockdown announcement later?

Sounds like it doesn't it, 2/3 weeks of pain to hopefully ride out the peak and save some lives

Just makes me sad that it has had to come to this rather than people observing the advice given at the back end of last week
 
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Astute

Well-Known Member
I'm not the one pulling figures out of their arse and presenting it as facts, that's my issue with the whole situation right now... It's not a personal attack on yourself just an observation that's all
And back to your 3 to 4 week statement.....
 

mr_monkey

Well-Known Member
But you had a go at someone else quoting other experts.

The truth is nobody knows. Especially as we have many ignoring all advice.

It wasn't ment as having a go it was a genuine interest as to where the 6 month figure came from (turns out it was out of his arse) I'm just so sick and tired of people presenting opinion as fact as it's fucking dangerous
 

Broken Hearted Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
It wasn't ment as having a go it was a genuine interest as to where the 6 month figure came from (turns out it was out of his arse) I'm just so sick and tired of people presenting opinion as fact as it's fucking dangerous
That’s ok I was just doing what the politicians and scientists are doing. Oh and I do know the difference between peak and eradication do you?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
It wasn't ment as having a go it was a genuine interest as to where the 6 month figure came from (turns out it was out of his arse) I'm just so sick and tired of people presenting opinion as fact as it's fucking dangerous
But it is all opinion. Some have a better qualified opinion than others but that is it. We don't have lots of knowledge on the subject.
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
Did anyone see the article in a weekend newspaper that shows that the vast majority of cases are in a band across the globe with a temperature range of 5c to 12c?
Could that offer a glimmer of hope?
I read another article that dismissed it as regardless of the air temperature body temperature is a constant and it’s in the body where the virus manifests not the open air.
 

mr_monkey

Well-Known Member
That’s ok I was just doing what the politicians and scientists are doing. Oh and I do know the difference between peak and eradication do you?

I only quote peak as once we get out of that the restrictions will start to get lifted (as they have in China for example) eradication will take much much longer than that, you cant surely believe that we will have these restrictions in place until eradication....
 

ccfc92

Well-Known Member
I read another article that dismissed it as regardless of the air temperature body temperature is a constant and it’s in the body where the virus manifests not the open air.

But surely if the outside temperature is above 12c, it will help kill off the virus on surfaces etc?
 

better days

Well-Known Member
Don’t know if it’s been posted before but this is a very interesting read and would suggest that social distancing is the way to go.

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=1&ved=2ahUKEwixyJTQgLHoAhUJa8AKHabSB-8QFjAAegQIBhAC&url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/&usg=AOvVaw0SB095-JWF150KLERdkmdN


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
The article seems to be describing exactly the way the UK is trying to handle it
There was an interesting article in the Sunday Times yesterday of an expat's experience in Rome as things escalated
See below
Looks like we are following the same path
Coronavirus in Italy: for once, peace reigns in anarchic Rome. We’ve learnt to love the lockdown

It was hard weaning people off their sociability, but Romans have responded to the new reality, writes the novelist Matthew Kneale
%2Fmethode%2Fsundaytimes%2Fprod%2Fweb%2Fbin%2F3de97754-6aa2-11ea-99b3-ee2141ccf633.jpg

The Pantheon has few visitors
Matthew Kneale

Sunday March 22 2020, 12.01am, The Sunday Times
Share
Save
Tuesday, March 10
I have a sensitivity, even slight paranoia, concerning plagues. Perhaps it’s because I owe my existence to one. In 1918, my grandfather, who was a theatre and opera critic in Berlin, married for the first time. He was 51 and his bride was 19 (I make no comment). Within months she was pregnant and a few months later she was dead. The Spanish flu, in mirror image to Covid-19, spared the old and was most dangerous for those in young adulthood, and especially to pregnant women. Two years later, my grandfather married again, to one of the bridesmaids of his first wedding, also 19 (again I make no comment) — my grandmother.

Any news of alarming new diseases catches my sense of danger. Many of our friends found it very amusing when, during the 2003 Sars epidemic, they saw my stock of pasta, cheese and long-life milk. They were right — Italy had only four Sars cases and no deaths. We never did drink the long-life milk.

This time, the government was absolutely right to bring in a lockdown. Something is being done, and there’s a palpable sense of relief that we know where we are. The Romans, who I’ve always viewed as being amiably anarchic, seem to be getting quite into it all, rather to my surprise.

As my son, Alexander, needed to get out of the house, we went to a bakery and cafe. It was very quiet and the cash girl had put flower pots in front of the till desk so you couldn’t stand near her when you paid, with black tape on the floor to make it even clearer. Empty cups were collected by a man wearing rubber gloves. They had an air of busy correctness, a pride, too, for doing their part against the virus.

When Alexander and I got back from our coffees, Cinzia, our portiere, gave me the latest news. She’s a very Roman presence in all the best ways: warm, extremely loud and possessed of a strong and tough sense of humour. She told me — shouting through the glass of her cubicle — that there was insanity at all the supermarkets: huge queues and people being let in two at a time. They’ll all have given each other the virus in the crowds. I’ll shop in a day or two when they’ll be quiet again.

Alexander and Tatiana, my daughter, are in pretty good spirits. Their school’s online lessons are coming together, and they can enjoy seeing their teachers look foolish as they try to cope with the tech.

Wednesday, March 11
Alexander and I took a stroll round the boundaries of our new, more limited world. Except for work, we have to stay in our postal code area, 00153 Roma. It includes Trastevere, where we live, the Aventino area and Testaccio, which has the best food market in Rome. This was very quiet today but still functioning — with new arrangements. When I started to pick some oranges, the stallholder told me, in a friendly enough way, that these could only be touched with gloves. As I had none, she chose them for me.

We can still walk up the Gianicolo hill to Villa Sciarra park and the huge fountain, where the Acqua Paola aqueduct arrives in the city, and to Porta Settimiana in the old city wall. But no further. Our Rome has shrunk. The Pantheon, Piazza Navona and the Campo de’ Fiori, which I used to stroll through almost daily, are now off limits.

%2Fmethode%2Fsundaytimes%2Fprod%2Fweb%2Fbin%2F335e7ee2-6aa2-11ea-99b3-ee2141ccf633.jpg

Very quiet but functioning: Testaccio has the city’s best food market
MATTHEW KNEALE
Even within our postal code area, going out is discouraged. I heard tonight that the police arrested 161 people today for not having a good reason to be where they were. In the past couple of days, however, our main concern has not been how to escape this narrowing world but rather how to get into it. Last Friday, when all seemed so different, my wife, Shannon, flew to Canada to visit her parents — a trip arranged months ago. Yesterday evening she rang, very upset, as she’d just heard that her flight back, booked for next Sunday, had been cancelled. Ryanair, easyJet and BA had ended all their flights to Italy and she wondered if she’d ever be able to get home. After some fretting, she bought a ticket via Frankfurt. Even then the airline staff couldn’t guarantee that the Frankfurt-Rome flight would fly. After a stressful wait in the airport, watching flight after flight cancelled, she got home early this evening.

Concerned that I should have a good meal ready for her, I went out shopping. There’s nothing like a dose of plague to change one’s sense of space. As I walked along the pavements, I found myself stepping away from people coming towards me, and they did the same. This new virus dance is more awkward in supermarkets where every inch of space is filled. In a smallish grocery shop we often go to, I found myself awkwardly stepping by someone as we were edged close together by a huge bank of Easter eggs. The queue, which is normally a tightly packed scrum, had a strangely spread-out look. Pieces of tape had been laid out on the ground marked “1 metre” to separate the queuers from one another. Staff at the tills were guarded from customers’ breath by Perspex shields.

I also visited our delicatessen, a local legend run by Roberto and his wife, Anna. They told me that, regretfully, they were going to close for at least a couple of weeks. Operating in the virus lockdown was too hard. I suspect it will be a lot longer than two weeks. What’s striking about this crisis is the speed with which things change. A week ago we were reeling from the news that our children’s school had closed. Under the latest decree, all shops must shut apart from pharmacies and supermarkets. I should have got more of Roberto’s pecorino cheese — the best in Rome — while I still had the chance.

In some way it’s all beginning to feel a little Mussolini-like. A ban on all gatherings, including dinner parties. Police checking everyone who’s outside. Arrests for those who don’t have a good reason to be where they are and don’t have the right piece of paper. I’m struck by how easily people have adapted. It’s almost as if some part of them has been ready. Of course the authorities are right to do all of this. They have little choice. Last night the numbers of new cases seemed to be slowing a little, but tonight they leapt up again by 2,000 people to more than 12,000.

Part two to follow
 

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
I read another article that dismissed it as regardless of the air temperature body temperature is a constant and it’s in the body where the virus manifests not the open air.

I wouldn't necessarily believe any of this stuff, just focus on looking after yourself & your family and doing the right thing. I also don't think people are making things up, but the virus is mutating- they are now saying that loss of sense of smell is reported in 60%+ of all positive tests- but its moving so fast, mutating & there is so much info I would be inclined to just worry about what you can control- stay safe and stay inside as much as you can.
 

Broken Hearted Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
I only quote peak as once we get out of that the restrictions will start to get lifted (as they have in China for example) eradication will take much much longer than that, you cant surely believe that we will have these restrictions in place until eradication....
I don’t know but look what happened in Hong Kong it reduced then came back
 

wingy

Well-Known Member
The article seems to be describing exactly the way the UK is trying to handle it
There was an interesting article in the Sunday Times yesterday of an expat's experience in Rome as things escalated
See below
Looks like we are following the same path
Coronavirus in Italy: for once, peace reigns in anarchic Rome. We’ve learnt to love the lockdown

It was hard weaning people off their sociability, but Romans have responded to the new reality, writes the novelist Matthew Kneale
%2Fmethode%2Fsundaytimes%2Fprod%2Fweb%2Fbin%2F3de97754-6aa2-11ea-99b3-ee2141ccf633.jpg

The Pantheon has few visitors
Matthew Kneale

Sunday March 22 2020, 12.01am, The Sunday Times
Share
Save
Tuesday, March 10
I have a sensitivity, even slight paranoia, concerning plagues. Perhaps it’s because I owe my existence to one. In 1918, my grandfather, who was a theatre and opera critic in Berlin, married for the first time. He was 51 and his bride was 19 (I make no comment). Within months she was pregnant and a few months later she was dead. The Spanish flu, in mirror image to Covid-19, spared the old and was most dangerous for those in young adulthood, and especially to pregnant women. Two years later, my grandfather married again, to one of the bridesmaids of his first wedding, also 19 (again I make no comment) — my grandmother.

Any news of alarming new diseases catches my sense of danger. Many of our friends found it very amusing when, during the 2003 Sars epidemic, they saw my stock of pasta, cheese and long-life milk. They were right — Italy had only four Sars cases and no deaths. We never did drink the long-life milk.

This time, the government was absolutely right to bring in a lockdown. Something is being done, and there’s a palpable sense of relief that we know where we are. The Romans, who I’ve always viewed as being amiably anarchic, seem to be getting quite into it all, rather to my surprise.

As my son, Alexander, needed to get out of the house, we went to a bakery and cafe. It was very quiet and the cash girl had put flower pots in front of the till desk so you couldn’t stand near her when you paid, with black tape on the floor to make it even clearer. Empty cups were collected by a man wearing rubber gloves. They had an air of busy correctness, a pride, too, for doing their part against the virus.

When Alexander and I got back from our coffees, Cinzia, our portiere, gave me the latest news. She’s a very Roman presence in all the best ways: warm, extremely loud and possessed of a strong and tough sense of humour. She told me — shouting through the glass of her cubicle — that there was insanity at all the supermarkets: huge queues and people being let in two at a time. They’ll all have given each other the virus in the crowds. I’ll shop in a day or two when they’ll be quiet again.

Alexander and Tatiana, my daughter, are in pretty good spirits. Their school’s online lessons are coming together, and they can enjoy seeing their teachers look foolish as they try to cope with the tech.

Wednesday, March 11
Alexander and I took a stroll round the boundaries of our new, more limited world. Except for work, we have to stay in our postal code area, 00153 Roma. It includes Trastevere, where we live, the Aventino area and Testaccio, which has the best food market in Rome. This was very quiet today but still functioning — with new arrangements. When I started to pick some oranges, the stallholder told me, in a friendly enough way, that these could only be touched with gloves. As I had none, she chose them for me.

We can still walk up the Gianicolo hill to Villa Sciarra park and the huge fountain, where the Acqua Paola aqueduct arrives in the city, and to Porta Settimiana in the old city wall. But no further. Our Rome has shrunk. The Pantheon, Piazza Navona and the Campo de’ Fiori, which I used to stroll through almost daily, are now off limits.

%2Fmethode%2Fsundaytimes%2Fprod%2Fweb%2Fbin%2F335e7ee2-6aa2-11ea-99b3-ee2141ccf633.jpg

Very quiet but functioning: Testaccio has the city’s best food market
MATTHEW KNEALE
Even within our postal code area, going out is discouraged. I heard tonight that the police arrested 161 people today for not having a good reason to be where they were. In the past couple of days, however, our main concern has not been how to escape this narrowing world but rather how to get into it. Last Friday, when all seemed so different, my wife, Shannon, flew to Canada to visit her parents — a trip arranged months ago. Yesterday evening she rang, very upset, as she’d just heard that her flight back, booked for next Sunday, had been cancelled. Ryanair, easyJet and BA had ended all their flights to Italy and she wondered if she’d ever be able to get home. After some fretting, she bought a ticket via Frankfurt. Even then the airline staff couldn’t guarantee that the Frankfurt-Rome flight would fly. After a stressful wait in the airport, watching flight after flight cancelled, she got home early this evening.

Concerned that I should have a good meal ready for her, I went out shopping. There’s nothing like a dose of plague to change one’s sense of space. As I walked along the pavements, I found myself stepping away from people coming towards me, and they did the same. This new virus dance is more awkward in supermarkets where every inch of space is filled. In a smallish grocery shop we often go to, I found myself awkwardly stepping by someone as we were edged close together by a huge bank of Easter eggs. The queue, which is normally a tightly packed scrum, had a strangely spread-out look. Pieces of tape had been laid out on the ground marked “1 metre” to separate the queuers from one another. Staff at the tills were guarded from customers’ breath by Perspex shields.

I also visited our delicatessen, a local legend run by Roberto and his wife, Anna. They told me that, regretfully, they were going to close for at least a couple of weeks. Operating in the virus lockdown was too hard. I suspect it will be a lot longer than two weeks. What’s striking about this crisis is the speed with which things change. A week ago we were reeling from the news that our children’s school had closed. Under the latest decree, all shops must shut apart from pharmacies and supermarkets. I should have got more of Roberto’s pecorino cheese — the best in Rome — while I still had the chance.

In some way it’s all beginning to feel a little Mussolini-like. A ban on all gatherings, including dinner parties. Police checking everyone who’s outside. Arrests for those who don’t have a good reason to be where they are and don’t have the right piece of paper. I’m struck by how easily people have adapted. It’s almost as if some part of them has been ready. Of course the authorities are right to do all of this. They have little choice. Last night the numbers of new cases seemed to be slowing a little, but tonight they leapt up again by 2,000 people to more than 12,000.

Part two to follow
12000?
 

Tommo1993

Well-Known Member
Looks like the update won’t happen at all today then. I shall head out soon to get my last McDonald’s for who knows how long.
 

better days

Well-Known Member
Part two
Thursday, March 12
As it was a beautiful morning today, I decided I would take my chances and try to escape from our lockdown area. The Roman authorities have listed four reasons for which you can venture out: going to work, buying necessities, attending to your health and going home. Dog walking and a little exercise in the open air — at the regulation one metre distance from anyone else — are also permitted.

Work seemed my best chance. I printed out and filled in my autocertificazione — self-certification form — stating I was an author who needed to go around Rome for research. It’s true, after all. For good measure I took a copy of the Italian translation of my last book, to show I was indeed an author. As back up I took a shopping bag to wave about and show my need to stock up with necessities.

I needn’t have worried. When I reached the frontier of 00153 Roma — the Ponte Sisto bridge over the Tiber — there were no officials demanding to see my documents. In fact nobody checked anything during the whole morning. Once, when I was taking a photograph of an especially striking empty scene, a police car drew up beside me, only for the policewoman inside to lean out of the car window with her phone and take a picture of the same spot. We exchanged grave looks and agreed that the situation in Rome was “incredible”.

The kinds of people likely to get into trouble with the police, I imagine, are still behaving as if the virus isn’t around: sitting about in groups, trying to enjoy themselves. If you go around alone, keep walking and look serious you’ll probably be left alone. At least for now.

To my delight, Roberto’s and Anna’s delicatessen hadn’t closed after all. It seems not only supermarkets are permitted to stay open, but any shop that sells food. I stocked up on parmesan and pecorino. Tech shops were open, so people could repair their phones and computers and won’t become even more cut off from the world.



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Rome’s population of eccentrics has become much more visible


Still, it was a shocking Rome I found myself in. Most shops were shuttered. More disturbing were the closed restaurants and cafes. Coffee bars are closer to the heart of Italian life than anything else, and it’s hard to go more than 100 yards down Rome streets without passing one. It felt very alien walking and walking without the chance to stop for a quick stand-up coffee. The city was so empty. Not wholly deserted, but emptier than I have ever seen it.

Who was still to be seen? Dog walkers. The occasional workman, doing repairs. A few people like me, trying to get some photos. Police and the little clusters of soldiers guarding tourist sights. Though these now looked rather redundant. Any fanatic going on the rampage these days would struggle to find victims.

Beggars were wholly absent. Only a few days ago the city was crowded with them, as it generally is. Not for the first time I found myself thinking back to the Mussolini era. When he took power, beggars and vagrants were among the first to be driven from the streets, so they couldn’t spoil the image of the new, modern fascist Italy. Today I imagine, and hope, the reason for their disappearance is more mundane. There’s nobody to beg from.

All the while the weather was painfully beautiful, and trees had the first green fuzz of spring. Once or twice I caught myself thinking thoughts that I’d normally have at this season — wouldn’t it be good to get away for a day or two, and go and see friends? What should we do this summer? But it’s not that kind of year. Better to take on the fascinating strangeness of what’s happening and hope it won’t be as bad as people fear. And keep washing your hands.


 

wingy

Well-Known Member
I only quote peak as once we get out of that the restrictions will start to get lifted (as they have in China for example) eradication will take much much longer than that, you cant surely believe that we will have these restrictions in place until eradication....
They may do on and off for those at risk .
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
But surely if the outside temperature is above 12c, it will help kill off the virus on surfaces etc?
Not sure that stands up either given a ski resort in Austria has been identified as the entry point of the virus into Europe so cold doesn’t seem to be killing it and hot countries in the middle of their summer (in the 30’s in Saudi Arabia at the moment) are having issues with it. Even many areas of Spain were enjoying a heatwave until very recently with Costa Blanca especially seeing temperatures in the mid 20’s for a good few weeks.
 

better days

Well-Known Member
Part three
Friday, March 13
It’s getting closer. Yesterday our cleaner Ermie told us that a friend of hers, also a cleaner, works for somebody who has come down with the virus. We didn’t think to ask how good a friend this friend was, nor when Ermie had last seen her, or whether the friend had cleaned the patient’s home lately. We might give Ermie a quick ring before she’s due to come next week.

Then yesterday afternoon Shannon saw an ambulance draw up outside an apartment block just up the road. A medic got out and began pulling on the familiar plastic suit. For the first time this is something that’s happening around us rather than something we only read about in La Repubblica.

With so few people out, eccentrics are very visible. Rome has always had a good number of these. When we first moved here, I’d sometimes see a man who liked to walk around with an enormous cockatoo. Another would cycle fast down main roads with a white cat clinging onto his shoulder (it seemed to quite like it). If you walk around Testaccio you may pass a woman who takes her pig for walks on a lead. And now, at the moment the coronavirus has arrived, a new eccentric has turned up: a man who walks about Trastevere bare-legged, wearing what look like animal skins. He has a pouch around his waist in which two very small dogs sometimes sit. I managed to get a photo of him making a call from a phonebox (in itself pretty eccentric these days). Today has been a quiet day. Our flat has felt a little like a radio studio, with Alexander and Tatiana taking part in school lessons on their computers while Shannon recorded lessons for her university. And the day ended well. Recently there has been a social media campaign encouraging all Italians to show they are not cast down by the virus, by going to their windows and singing something, or playing an instrument. At six this evening — the designated hour — we all duly stepped out onto the balcony and I began loudly singing something that seemed Italian and operatic, remembering none of the words. Neighbours appeared at their windows, and some sang the Italian national anthem — to which they did know the words. We waved to each other, exchanged a little news and all wished each other well. I’ve never been so proud to be an honorary Italian. Everyone has been calm, efficient and quietly getting on with things.

I do feel much more optimistic. I’m sure the infection numbers will grow worse for another week or so, and will look very scary. But there was a fantastic piece of news last night. In the small towns of the north, where this epidemic first broke out, and where a lockdown was first enforced, there are now no new cases. The lockdown has worked. And it will work here — it’ll just take time.

If you have to be locked down, there are worse places. A few months back Alexander found a company that delivers haute cuisine pastas. This morning we received ravioli with red chocolate and parmesan, ravioli with parmesan and cream (it’s great) and ravioli with buffalo ricotta and cedro (an obscure citrus fruit).

Saturday, March 14
A very quiet day. The lockdown was squeezed a little tighter. All parks were closed to prevent people from congregating together. No local transport will operate after 9pm. I went for a healthy walk within the bounds of our zone. Residential streets were almost wholly deserted, with occasional dog walkers, a rare car creeping by, or an ambulance rushing past. A friend, Liana, was a little worried that walking about the near empty city she might be mugged. I thought she’d be quite safe if she coughed at her attacker.

Monday, March 16
It’s hard not get a little fretful. Yesterday I woke up with a slightly sore throat, which greatly alarmed me, until I found it quickly vanished with some hot tea. When I heard Shannon coughing and coughing I feared the worst, but it turned out she’d just watched a video on her phone that had made her laugh so much that she choked.

Yesterday was Sunday, and to my surprise it really felt like a Sunday. Once again the weather was beautiful and I went for a walk in the late afternoon. It was only when a small jet flew overhead that I realised I didn’t hear aircraft any more. Our part of Rome isn’t under a flight path but you usually hear them in the distance. There are definitely compensations for this limited existence. Spring birdsong has never sounded clearer. Nor have church bells.



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Residential streets are almost wholly deserted


The Romans are finding ways to deal with the strange silence and separation. Walking down one of Trastevere’s narrow streets I heard loud classical music up ahead, and saw people standing in a suitably dispersed group. Somebody in an apartment with a powerful hi-fi system was blasting out the opening to a famous operatic aria. If I were a better man I’d know which it was. We all listened, entranced. When the aria finished everyone cheered. I felt the day had gained a little extra warmth.

We have a group of good friends who, in normal times, meet regularly for a drink. Last night we tried to stage an online equivalent, connecting on the Zoom video conferencing app and chatting with a glass of wine each. One friend, Barbie, who is a journalist and so has justification to get around, has been in the centre of town at night and told us that it’s very eerie now, with no floodlighting, so the great monuments loom out of the darkness.

We happen to know an epidemiologist who works for the Italian health system and he says forecasts indicate the peak of the outbreak will be reached next weekend. Let’s hope so. I suspect the trickiest time will be when the numbers are well down again and people begin to feel more relaxed.
Cases at that time
 

mr_monkey

Well-Known Member
They may do on and off for those at risk .

That's my point (not eloquently put :) ) I'm very very lucky in that I'm not in an at risk group but logic would dictate that if we carry on as we are, the restrictions would be lifted within 12 weeks for the people who are not classed as at risk, hence why talking about 6 months time annoyed me so much as it's just not logically correct based on the facts, I think the isolation is getting to me ;)
 

Johhny Blue

Well-Known Member
The article seems to be describing exactly the way the UK is trying to handle it
There was an interesting article in the Sunday Times yesterday of an expat's experience in Rome as things escalated
See below
Looks like we are following the same path
Coronavirus in Italy: for once, peace reigns in anarchic Rome. We’ve learnt to love the lockdown

It was hard weaning people off their sociability, but Romans have responded to the new reality, writes the novelist Matthew Kneale
%2Fmethode%2Fsundaytimes%2Fprod%2Fweb%2Fbin%2F3de97754-6aa2-11ea-99b3-ee2141ccf633.jpg

The Pantheon has few visitors
Matthew Kneale

Sunday March 22 2020, 12.01am, The Sunday Times
Share
Save
Tuesday, March 10
I have a sensitivity, even slight paranoia, concerning plagues. Perhaps it’s because I owe my existence to one. In 1918, my grandfather, who was a theatre and opera critic in Berlin, married for the first time. He was 51 and his bride was 19 (I make no comment). Within months she was pregnant and a few months later she was dead. The Spanish flu, in mirror image to Covid-19, spared the old and was most dangerous for those in young adulthood, and especially to pregnant women. Two years later, my grandfather married again, to one of the bridesmaids of his first wedding, also 19 (again I make no comment) — my grandmother.

Any news of alarming new diseases catches my sense of danger. Many of our friends found it very amusing when, during the 2003 Sars epidemic, they saw my stock of pasta, cheese and long-life milk. They were right — Italy had only four Sars cases and no deaths. We never did drink the long-life milk.

This time, the government was absolutely right to bring in a lockdown. Something is being done, and there’s a palpable sense of relief that we know where we are. The Romans, who I’ve always viewed as being amiably anarchic, seem to be getting quite into it all, rather to my surprise.

As my son, Alexander, needed to get out of the house, we went to a bakery and cafe. It was very quiet and the cash girl had put flower pots in front of the till desk so you couldn’t stand near her when you paid, with black tape on the floor to make it even clearer. Empty cups were collected by a man wearing rubber gloves. They had an air of busy correctness, a pride, too, for doing their part against the virus.

When Alexander and I got back from our coffees, Cinzia, our portiere, gave me the latest news. She’s a very Roman presence in all the best ways: warm, extremely loud and possessed of a strong and tough sense of humour. She told me — shouting through the glass of her cubicle — that there was insanity at all the supermarkets: huge queues and people being let in two at a time. They’ll all have given each other the virus in the crowds. I’ll shop in a day or two when they’ll be quiet again.

Alexander and Tatiana, my daughter, are in pretty good spirits. Their school’s online lessons are coming together, and they can enjoy seeing their teachers look foolish as they try to cope with the tech.

Wednesday, March 11
Alexander and I took a stroll round the boundaries of our new, more limited world. Except for work, we have to stay in our postal code area, 00153 Roma. It includes Trastevere, where we live, the Aventino area and Testaccio, which has the best food market in Rome. This was very quiet today but still functioning — with new arrangements. When I started to pick some oranges, the stallholder told me, in a friendly enough way, that these could only be touched with gloves. As I had none, she chose them for me.

We can still walk up the Gianicolo hill to Villa Sciarra park and the huge fountain, where the Acqua Paola aqueduct arrives in the city, and to Porta Settimiana in the old city wall. But no further. Our Rome has shrunk. The Pantheon, Piazza Navona and the Campo de’ Fiori, which I used to stroll through almost daily, are now off limits.

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Very quiet but functioning: Testaccio has the city’s best food market
MATTHEW KNEALE
Even within our postal code area, going out is discouraged. I heard tonight that the police arrested 161 people today for not having a good reason to be where they were. In the past couple of days, however, our main concern has not been how to escape this narrowing world but rather how to get into it. Last Friday, when all seemed so different, my wife, Shannon, flew to Canada to visit her parents — a trip arranged months ago. Yesterday evening she rang, very upset, as she’d just heard that her flight back, booked for next Sunday, had been cancelled. Ryanair, easyJet and BA had ended all their flights to Italy and she wondered if she’d ever be able to get home. After some fretting, she bought a ticket via Frankfurt. Even then the airline staff couldn’t guarantee that the Frankfurt-Rome flight would fly. After a stressful wait in the airport, watching flight after flight cancelled, she got home early this evening.

Concerned that I should have a good meal ready for her, I went out shopping. There’s nothing like a dose of plague to change one’s sense of space. As I walked along the pavements, I found myself stepping away from people coming towards me, and they did the same. This new virus dance is more awkward in supermarkets where every inch of space is filled. In a smallish grocery shop we often go to, I found myself awkwardly stepping by someone as we were edged close together by a huge bank of Easter eggs. The queue, which is normally a tightly packed scrum, had a strangely spread-out look. Pieces of tape had been laid out on the ground marked “1 metre” to separate the queuers from one another. Staff at the tills were guarded from customers’ breath by Perspex shields.

I also visited our delicatessen, a local legend run by Roberto and his wife, Anna. They told me that, regretfully, they were going to close for at least a couple of weeks. Operating in the virus lockdown was too hard. I suspect it will be a lot longer than two weeks. What’s striking about this crisis is the speed with which things change. A week ago we were reeling from the news that our children’s school had closed. Under the latest decree, all shops must shut apart from pharmacies and supermarkets. I should have got more of Roberto’s pecorino cheese — the best in Rome — while I still had the chance.

In some way it’s all beginning to feel a little Mussolini-like. A ban on all gatherings, including dinner parties. Police checking everyone who’s outside. Arrests for those who don’t have a good reason to be where they are and don’t have the right piece of paper. I’m struck by how easily people have adapted. It’s almost as if some part of them has been ready. Of course the authorities are right to do all of this. They have little choice. Last night the numbers of new cases seemed to be slowing a little, but tonight they leapt up again by 2,000 people to more than 12,000.

Part two to follow

Great Information. Stupid selfish decision by your wife to take the trip. We have Canadians spread around the world that left as late as Mar 12th and are now whining that "Someone" should pay to get them home.
 

wingy

Well-Known Member
That's my point (not eloquently put :) ) I'm very very lucky in that I'm not in an at risk group but logic would dictate that if we carry on as we are, the restrictions would be lifted within 12 weeks for the people who are not classed as at risk, hence why talking about 6 months time annoyed me so much as it's just not logically correct based on the facts, I think the isolation is getting to me ;)
Yep ,
But I think Broken Hearted may be in that other category, not absolutely certain.
 

NortonSkyBlue

Well-Known Member
Not sure that stands up either given a ski resort in Austria has been identified as the entry point of the virus into Europe so cold doesn’t seem to be killing it and hot countries in the middle of their summer (in the 30’s in Saudi Arabia at the moment) are having issues with it. Even many areas of Spain were enjoying a heatwave until very recently with Costa Blanca especially seeing temperatures in the mid 20’s for a good few weeks.
As I am in Saudi Arabia i can offer some first hand experience. Firstly social distancing is the norm here al the time and there is a country wide curfew from 7pm to 6am and a lockdown of all non essential industries. There are 561 reported cases which a daily increase of 10% it seems.
All malls are closed, all schools are closed and as the weather nudges up to thirty the hope is that isolation and temperature will slow down the rate.
There is no panic, the food shops are well stocked. It seems much better organized than Europe.
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
Someone (schmeee, I think?) posted some tweets earlier by Ian Dunt on why Johnson is attracting criticism. He's written a short article to back it up now and goes along with what many of us in here have said.

The main takeaway being he's just not cut out for the job. That he's good value on HIGNFY, but not much use during a global crisis.


You get what you pay for. We elected an after dinner speaker for prime minister. And that was what we got.

But when you buy cheap, the real cost always reveals itself. There's a proper crisis now, the kind with a severe toll in human life, social change and emotional demand. And we've got Boris Johnson as prime minister.

He seemed frankly quite bored at Thursday's covid press conference. "I don't propose to spend a very long time at this particular one," he told reporters. "I don't want to weary you with these occasions." But that's not what he meant. What he meant was that he couldn't be bothered. He was tired of them.

It's just not very jolly and upbeat. It doesn't play to his strengths. He can't make a gag, or get away with pretending things will be simple, because the bleak and terrible reality of what is happening is apparent to everyone. He can't use it for personal advantage.

So instead, in his boredom, and in his assumption that people would feel the same way, he started to introduce arbitrary timetables. This should all be over with in 12 weeks, he decided. "I'm absolutely confident that we can send coronavirus packing," he said.

Except that's not right. The Imperial report showed this is going to be with us for a very long time, until we find a vaccine, which will probably be at least 18 months. There will be times that the anti-covid measures are relaxed, but when they are, the cases will creep up again, and they will have to be re-introduced. We will, in all likelihood, go through blocks of isolation, then have short periods of relaxation of the rules, then isolate again. This is long term.

No-one likes the idea of that. It is almost beyond comprehension. After what for most of us has been just a week or so at home, it's already starting to grate. It's particularly difficult for those with young children, and those who struggle with anxiety when deprived of social contact.

And it's going to get worse. Looking at our relative progress next to countries like Italy and France, we seem to be on the same course as them. We will probably also see the police cars with loudspeakers telling us to stay in our homes. Things will get scary.

You can understand that people will need some reassurance that there is a light at the end of the tunnel. But fake timetables are a fake certainty. They are the 'Get Brexit Done' of covid. They will dispel public trust in government messages once people realise they are not true.

They are also potentially a public health problem. One of the greatest dangers is that we face a second pulverising wave of infections once the controls are relaxed. And that is much more likely if you have a prime minister suggesting to everyone that "we'll get this thing done" in a few weeks.

It could have been worse. Johnson shares qualities with Donald Trump, but he is not quite Britain's Trump. He has not renamed coronavirus the "Chinese" virus and explicitly tried to manipulate it to a racist narrative.

But it could have also been very much better. France has not exactly covered itself in glory in its handling of covid before this week. But even there, Emmanuel Macron's speech to the nation stood in contrast to Johnson's efforts. "We are at war," he said. "The enemy is there - invisible, elusive - and it is advancing." There was clarity in the severity of the situation.

There was also help, in the form of waived social-security payments, utility bills and rent, alongside loans, job protection and unemployment pay. "No business, no matter what its size, will risk failure," he said. "No Frenchwoman or Frenchman will be left without resources." Britain had to wait considerably longer for similar measures.

He was able to end with "vive la republique, vive la France". Even now, embroiled as he's been in national disputes, the French president still has access to a reserve of national solidarity.

But most of all there was a sense of professionalism, of focus. Macron is not perfect, In many senses he is a disappointment. But he is at least someone who is capable of seriousness. And that makes it easier, in times of crisis and severe uncertainty, to follow a message and to have some degree of confidence in what is taking place in government.

We do not have that luxury. And that is not a coincidence. It is not bad luck. It is because of our choices. We elected a prime minister who does not speak in plain terms, but in winks and innuendo. A prime minister who is incapable of telling the truth. We elected a prime minister who is slow to assess political situations in any manner that does not reflect his own capacity for personal advantage. And we elected one who dealt in easy tribalism and traded in culture war to achieve victory.

So that's what we've got. The chat show guest. The after-dinner speaker. The cynical tribalist. The nation is on the operating table and he comes in at midnight, in black tie with the shirt untucked, half cut, and absentmindedly grabs a scalpel.

There's no getting rid of him in the short term. The most we can pray for is that he shows the foresight and responsibility - or perhaps the sense of political calculation - of perhaps forming a government of national unity, or a wise-heads council of former prime ministers, to oversee this thing. But that too is highly unlikely. We've got what we've got. And now we're going to have to live with it, at the worst possible time.
 

better days

Well-Known Member
4th and final part (too big to load as a single piece and behind a pay wall)
Wednesday, March 18
One of Cinzia’s duties as portiere is to clean the lifts and the stairways. To show she’s done this she leaves everyone’s doormats propped against their doors — which reveals who’s around and who is elsewhere, as those who are at home put them back down again. A flat a couple of floors below us has been empty for years. Now I’ve noticed a number of doors with mats propped against them. Quite a few Romans have places in the country to retreat to.

On the other side of our small landing lives an actor. When I talked to him in the lift a couple of weeks ago, he was scornful of the virus, a lot of fuss over nothing. He now seems to have changed his mind. For several days we noticed a bag of rubbish outside his door. At first, we assumed he’d left Rome and had forgotten to take it down to the bins on his way out, but then we heard the faint sounds of someone moving about inside. It seems he’s locked himself in for the duration. We took the rubbish down for him as it had begun to smell.

Our group of friends had another Zoom get-together last night. The excuse was to celebrate St Patrick’s Day and though only one of us was wearing green (a fetching wig) we all had our beer glasses ready. Once again, our journalist friend Barbie had the latest news. The authorities have been using mobile signals to track people’s movements and it seems close to half of all Italians are still gadding about, moving outside their locality. People are still gathering in parks to chat, and there was dark talk of how in Naples you can still find places open for a cocktail and aperitivo snack. I suppose none of this should come as a surprise. It won’t be easy to wean Italians from their sociability. It’s the quality that makes their world so likeable. But they do need to take a break from it right now.

Yet there has been a little good news. The haute cuisine pasta company, Secondi, is now offering free delivery, to show solidarity with Romans during the crisis. We’ll certainly be taking them up on that. Food definitely seems more important than ever when one is stuck indoors. Accordingly, I thought I’d end this entry with a pasta recipe. I found it in a recipe book but it has additional suggestions by our portiere, Cinzia, who often tells me what she’s planning to cook for her family. The recipe book claimed it was a Genoese dish, but then the father of one of Alexander’s school friends, who’s from Naples, told us with some feeling that it was Neapolitan. It’s easy but requires slow cooking, which has the advantage of filling the house with wonderful smells.

Ingredients (for 4 people):

2kg red onions
400g pork loin (if you like your meat you can put in a kilo)
500g pasta (a big tube-like rigatoni works well)
50g juniper berries
1 cube meat stock
1 glass of dry white wine
Parsley
Olive oil and butter

Method:

Chop the onion into rough-sliced rings. Melt 100g of butter in a large cooking pot (a heavy enamelled one works well), throw in the pork and sear it on all sides. Add 2 tablespoons of oil, throw in the onion, a little water, the stock cube and the juniper berries.

Cook on the hob on a very low heat for at least 2½ hours. Check regularly that the onions aren’t burning. If it grows too dry, add a little water.

When cooked, the meat should be very soft. Slice it into small pieces and add salt and pepper to taste. While the pasta cooks, add the white wine to the meat and boil down until it’s not too liquid. Add parsley to garnish, and serve. It goes well with parmesan.

Thursday, March 19
Every day, something new. This morning I walked over to our local market only to find the stalls had vanished. When I asked somebody in the piazza, they pointed to a piece of paper taped to the door of one of the storerooms, which listed phone numbers for all the stallholders. Just now I tried the number for the people we go to, Bruno and his family, and it worked. I didn’t get through to Bruno himself, but I imagine to his supplier, who took my order, and we’ll have our delivery of pears, tarocco oranges, clementines, datterini tomatoes and pomegranates on Saturday morning.

Yesterday I washed all the glass and canned and plastic covered items I’d brought back from the supermarket. And this morning — and I acknowledge this really is a sign of Covid-19 madness — I washed all my loose change with detergent. But then I’d say half the battle these days is to keep one’s peace of mind, so why not?

Matthew Kneale is the author of Rome: A History in Seven Sackings (Atlantic Books)
 

wingy

Well-Known Member
I wouldn't necessarily believe any of this stuff, just focus on looking after yourself & your family and doing the right thing. I also don't think people are making things up, but the virus is mutating- they are now saying that loss of sense of smell is reported in 60%+ of all positive tests- but its moving so fast, mutating & there is so much info I would be inclined to just worry about what you can control- stay safe and stay inside as much as you can.
Smell and taste according to ENT story yesterday where two professionals became infected

May have always been the case but they applied more focus?
 

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