Predictions mean fuck all, The original predictions for the UK death rate was around 500,000. That was later downgraded to 20,000. And according to today’s press, it’s been downgraded again to 5700, The only truth is, that Everyman and his dog has a different prediction, and governments tend to act on “worse case scenarios” for fear of facing a political backlash led by the press.
(No doubt the BBC would relish any chance to stick the knife into Boris)
The Brexit fiasco and the prediction of immediate collapse should show everyone that so called experts know very little.
Personally, I haven't got a clue how many might die, and while every death is tragic, I feel the impact will be far less than the “experts” predict. (Time will tell)
If the death rate is less than seasonal flu, then should we have lock down every winter? Or will history show that we have over reacted. And how long will the public tolerate lockdown? So far people have tolerated it well, but it’s only week 1. Also the long term effects on the economy, interest rates, job losses, family life, etc will be massive, Tax rises of some extent will be forthcoming,
and we may find the austerity measures of resent years will look like a walk in the park with what is to come.
It will certainly be interesting to see how this plays out.
I can’t help wondering if all those who are praising Boris and his chancellor now, for their decisive action, will be quite as understandable when the treasury wants its cash back.