OSB what do you expect our administrative costs to be at a guess for this upcoming season and against that, how much do you expect the club's turnover to absorb such overheads given the increase in commercial revenue earned from the move back to the Ricoh/CBS?
I presume we'll still operate at a loss (unless we receive a significant surplus from a player sale), it'd just be interesting to see as a benchmark how much commercial revenue will need to be accrued each season (supplemented by broadcasting revenue/solidarity payments) to at the very least ensure we aren't making substantial losses whilst in the Championship and how realistic it would be to sustain that.
Pure guesswork for coming season 2021/22 but
Turnover
Match day income (if opened up ) say 4m
Central distributions £7m
Commercial income etc £3m
Total in region of £14m ?
Player sales - who knows ? Transfer market will not be easy and i don't see MR wanting to lose his star players, if there is a potential income of £14m does he have to? There are not many players in the squad of great value. Of course CCFC might benefit from events elsewhere.
Will admin costs rise accordingly certainly.
Wages - more expensive players, championship loading, staying in, championship bonuses etc (2020 = £6.5m ) you would have to expect close to £10m ?
Some saving on the lease costs (£250k)
Direct costs perhaps increase because paying full season of stewarding and contribution to pitch etc say £2m
other overheads say £2m
interest charges 2.3m (could be more if SISU had to source more finance last season)
Will we make a loss - i would think so and it will only be because SISU do not actually receive the interest that it will be manageable.
However the key thing is not the profit but the cashflow. There are players to replace, capital expenditure on things like Ryton & club shop, i assume we start repaying the EFL loan which is due over 3 years (£1m pa). All of which is on top of the normal operating cashflows
I cant help thinking that people expecting major signings are missing what they are being told by the club and the financial statements already filed. The playing budget is still going to be very tight and i do not see SISU being anything other than a bank of last resort for operating cashflow (as they have been for several years now).
If there is a cashflow surplus at end of 2021/22 season will SISU extract some of it by repaying interest and/or capital?
Thats my take on it - but all complete guesswork