PUSB-We_are_going_up
Well-Known Member
Ive seen this on my socials is most xg scored good I cant remember?
Championship Team Stats (4 Viewers)
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Ive seen this on my socials is most xg scored good I cant remember?
Johhny Blue
Well-Known Member
Where's most penalties missed?
Jamiepwns
Well-Known Member
To put it basically:
Based on where our shots have come from, and how they were taken, you then compare this to thousands of other similar shots to work out the probability of a goal coming from it.
It doesn't mean much on its own, but as we've only scored two, it shows that some shots were fluffed or the keeper did well to save it.
Like a penalty has an xG of 0.76, but against Barnsely the keeper saved it.
Jamiepwns
Well-Known Member
Considering we've only actually scored 2, it's not great.
Frostie
Well-Known Member
Basically means we're creating good chances but obviously not taking them.
Bit dubious as to how these guys are measuring xG though. I don't know much about them & think they're new kids on the block?
All the more established, reputable stats sites have us at around 2.6.
Bit dubious as to how these guys are measuring xG though. I don't know much about them & think they're new kids on the block?
All the more established, reputable stats sites have us at around 2.6.
SkyBlueSoul
Well-Known Member
Update on this after yesterday. I’d say Ben Mayhew’s stats back up what we’ve seen so far, creating lots but not finishing enough
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PUSB-We_are_going_up
Well-Known Member
If only we took our chances, same old same oldUpdate on this after yesterday. I’d say Ben Mayhew’s stats back up what we’ve seen so far, creating lots but not finishing enough
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Is it really accurate when it expects QPR to be 16th?
Even Barnsley or Bristol City?
Evo1883
Well-Known Member
It will comeUpdate on this after yesterday. I’d say Ben Mayhew’s stats back up what we’ve seen so far, creating lots but not finishing enough
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Sky Blue Pete
Well-Known Member
It’s only based on stats which shows something but the game is about actually scoring or not conceding. We look like we belong for definite though
fernandopartridge
Well-Known Member
It demonstrates perfectly yesterday's match, QPR put one great chance and one half chance away
SlowerThanPlatt
Well-Known Member
Attackers/midfielders who are poor at finishing or just more unlucky than everyone else?
lord_garrincha
Well-Known Member
Attackers/midfielders who are poor at finishing or just more unlucky than everyone else?
Lets break down the midfielders... Who have played (no Bright):
Sheaf = Zero goals for the club. Only time he has gone close this season was a deflected shot onto the bar first day.
Hamer = Zero goals since February. We know he can do it as he scored 5 prior to that.
Kelly = Apart from his day out at Wycombe. Nothing for years.
Allen & Shipley = Have chipped in to an extent, but are not regular starters.
O'Hare = We all know he needs to improve on finishing & his final ball.
You can't just rely on strikers.
COV
Well-Known Member
O'Hare could shift this ratio on his own if he produced a finish every now and then
But I do think the strikers need to deliver more- look at how many times we hit the f**king post- all very dramatic but ultimately its a miss
lord_garrincha
Well-Known Member
Londonccfcfan
Well-Known Member
There will be games where it practically gos in off our backsides / OPPO score own goals for us. Seems Millwall bore the brunt of our unluckyness last year in both games.
The luck will turn that's football. And it will all average out over 46 games.l
The luck will turn that's football. And it will all average out over 46 games.l
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
Attackers/midfielders who are poor at finishing or just more unlucky than everyone else?
I suspect it’s the midfielders but would like to see a breakdown of xG by player in the squad.
Sky Blue Pete
Well-Known Member
Look at sheff utd!!!! Lol
Philosoraptor
Well-Known Member
Attackers/midfielders who are poor at finishing or just more unlucky than everyone else?
Or a geometrical motif that could be weaker at some points (when it does get measured in xG), but stronger in other places (when it doesn't get measured by xG).
xG doesn't measure the ebb and the flow of games.
The uniqueness of position and all that.
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SBAndy
Well-Known Member
Data taken from an app called FotMob and it doesn’t quite tally to 9.8 xG but still gives a decent reflection:
Gyokeres - 3.09 (2)
O’Hare - 1.24
McFadzean - 1.15 (1)
Waghorn - 0.70
Godden - 0.43 (1)
Maatsen - 0.43
Sheaf - 0.27
Hamer - 0.25
Allen - 0.21 (1)
Hyam - 0.11
Dabo - 0.09
Clarke-Salter - 0.08
Rose - 0.07
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
You’d really want more from Györkeres and Waghorn looking at that. So maybe it is the strikers. Even removing Györkeres penalty miss, he should have one more for the chances he gets.
COV
Well-Known Member
It is the strikers imho
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
To be fair to Györkeres (and O’Hare) they’re second in the number of shots lists for the division with 17. It doesn’t work like this but fag packet: 3.09/17 is an average of 0.18 per shot it would be lower because one of those was a pen at I think 0.76. O’Hares is even lower at 0.07 per shot. So lots of low quality chances maybe than missing a few sitters. Anecdotally that seems about right.