JulianDarbyFTW
Well-Known Member
I'd just like to keep a healthy gap between us and 3rd from bottom for the season. A ten-ish point gap would be nice for a few months.
Points performance vs last season (5 Viewers)
- Thread starter SeaSeeEffCee
- Start date
BackRoomRummermill
Well-Known Member
If you look at the date of when I wrote it then you will know the answer
PUSB-We_are_going_up
Well-Known Member
Do you have a predicted final points from the worm?
Sky Blue Pete
Well-Known Member
edgy
Well-Known Member
I'm not savvy enough in Excel for that!
Average PPG is 1.8. 1.8 x 46 = 82.8 which in turn = promotion.
JulianDarbyFTW
Well-Known Member
I think it was our lord and saviour Aidy Boothroyd who said 1.6 points per game gets you in the playoffs, and 2 points per game the autos.
PUSB-We_are_going_up
Well-Known Member
This is a sexy graph (projection of 91 points and progression)
lord_garrincha
Well-Known Member
Oh bugger! League 1 it is for next season!
Sky Blue Harry H
Well-Known Member
We didn't play Posh last season (but we'll hopefully beat them!). Cardiff - I'm hoping the extra day's rest plus running at their back 4 might help get something. Millwall - you'd have to fancy us, unless we get a really weak ref, Luton will be difficult - they are decent (Blues freak result aside)
Marty
Well-Known Member
Any chance you could add our league one winning season. Think that would be an interesting comparison too.
skybluesam66
Well-Known Member
now targetting 99 points at current rate
Taking home and away separately would be 92
Probably the difference between 1st and 2nd
I notice we are 40/1 for the title and 33/1 for relegation - almost equal chance per the bookies
Taking home and away separately would be 92
Probably the difference between 1st and 2nd
I notice we are 40/1 for the title and 33/1 for relegation - almost equal chance per the bookies
skybluesam66
Well-Known Member
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based on preseason odds, 6 of our 7 games this season have been against teams how were tipped to be top half
All except Blackpool
edgy
Well-Known Member
I'll see what I can do. Don't want it becoming too busy.
CovBrummie94
Well-Known Member
Attachments
SeaSeeEffCee
Well-Known Member
Forest (H) - 1-2 to 2-1 (+3)
Barnsley (a) - 0-0 to 0-1 (-1)
Blackpool (a) - 0-2 to 1-0 (+3)
Reading (h) - 3-2 to 2-1 (0)
QPR (a) - 0-3 to 0-2 (0)
Middlesbrough (h) - 0-2 to 2-0 (+3)
Cardiff (h) - 1-0 to 1-0 (0)
Millwall (a) - 2-1 to 1-1 (-2)
+6 on equivalent fixtures from last season. Peterborough (h) next who replace Rotherham’s results so that’s a 3-1 win from last season.
Barnsley (a) - 0-0 to 0-1 (-1)
Blackpool (a) - 0-2 to 1-0 (+3)
Reading (h) - 3-2 to 2-1 (0)
QPR (a) - 0-3 to 0-2 (0)
Middlesbrough (h) - 0-2 to 2-0 (+3)
Cardiff (h) - 1-0 to 1-0 (0)
Millwall (a) - 2-1 to 1-1 (-2)
+6 on equivalent fixtures from last season. Peterborough (h) next who replace Rotherham’s results so that’s a 3-1 win from last season.
Gibbo
Well-Known Member
6 points off = 11 now, and that would place us notionally around 13th & 14th. Comparing the like for like games is the best way to look at it imho.
Mild-Mannered Janitor
Kindest Bloke on CCFC / Maker of CCFC Dreams
Mirrors the 39-43 spell we needed to survive, great that we have it at the start this year and does give a far better platform and the fitness/quality of play is streets ahead of last year but the key for me is the game vs game performances which have been encouraging so far.
Sky Blue Pete
Well-Known Member
Key thing for me is the performance
We’ve also removed the mistakes and penalties which is great
edgy
Well-Known Member
Sky_Blue_Dreamer
Well-Known Member
Is there any chance we can have dotted lines for how much was needed for promotion and play-offs last season?
HuckerbyDublinWhelan
Well-Known Member
Wouldn’t that Blackpool difference be 0 - we beat the play off winners 2-0 and also beat Blackpool. No points difference
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
Based on where they finished in the Championship not L1 I think.
skybluesam66
Well-Known Member
from our remaining games
1 ppg = 57 points 2 points more than last season
1.2 ppg (which is what we averaged last season) = 64 points (our best since relegation from the PL = 66 points - so we are in that territory if we now play at last seasons level)
1,5 PPG = 74 points - which should be good enough for play offs
we probably would need to keep on current trajectory for autos
1 ppg = 57 points 2 points more than last season
1.2 ppg (which is what we averaged last season) = 64 points (our best since relegation from the PL = 66 points - so we are in that territory if we now play at last seasons level)
1,5 PPG = 74 points - which should be good enough for play offs
we probably would need to keep on current trajectory for autos
skybluesam66
Well-Known Member
8 points
we were still on 22 points after 20 games
SeaSeeEffCee
Well-Known Member
Forest (H) - 1-2 to 2-1 (+3)
Barnsley (a) - 0-0 to 0-1 (-1)
Blackpool (a) - 0-1 to 1-0 (+3)
Reading (h) - 3-2 to 2-1 (0)
QPR (a) - 0-3 to 0-2 (0)
Middlesbrough (h) - 0-2 to 2-0 (+3)
Cardiff (h) - 1-0 to 1-0 (0)
Millwall (a) - 2-1 to 1-1 (-2)
Peterbough (h) - 3-1 to 3-0 (0)
Luton (a) - 0-2 to 0-5 (0)
Fulham (h) - 0-2 to 4-1 (+3)
Up to +9 from last seasons equivalent fixtures. Next three are Blackburn away (+1 last season), Preston away (0) and Derby at home (+3).
Barnsley (a) - 0-0 to 0-1 (-1)
Blackpool (a) - 0-1 to 1-0 (+3)
Reading (h) - 3-2 to 2-1 (0)
QPR (a) - 0-3 to 0-2 (0)
Middlesbrough (h) - 0-2 to 2-0 (+3)
Cardiff (h) - 1-0 to 1-0 (0)
Millwall (a) - 2-1 to 1-1 (-2)
Peterbough (h) - 3-1 to 3-0 (0)
Luton (a) - 0-2 to 0-5 (0)
Fulham (h) - 0-2 to 4-1 (+3)
Up to +9 from last seasons equivalent fixtures. Next three are Blackburn away (+1 last season), Preston away (0) and Derby at home (+3).
I replaced the relegated/promoted teams with their equivalents from last season based on table positions, so Fulham, who finished 18th in the Prem, swap with Norwich who finish top of Champ. Best relegated team swaps with best promoted team and so on. Blackpool swapped with Sheff. Weds who finished bottom last year, and who we lost to away from home.