Do you want to discuss boring politics? (167 Viewers)

Liquid Gold

Well-Known Member
I've been thinking the whole time that this was some big play to give him some credit at home and get some concessions from the west but this statement has me worried.

If he does invade it will end up a long protracted proxy war and that will get messy.
 

Tommo1993

Well-Known Member
So he’s basically written himself an invitation to deploy Russian troops into what is/was Ukrainian territory then?
 

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
So he’s basically written himself an invitation to deploy Russian troops into what is/was Ukrainian territory then?

Looks that way. Hoping it’s a final bluff but like LG I’m not sure if this is just a concessions play any more
 
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Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
Doesn't vlad haven't anyone who will say "just think about this now?"

He's basically just destroyed his own economy and he can't risk war as even an aerial conflict would see the west with their far more modern and better equiped forces win.
Of course he doesn't!

He probably runs the place like Stalin and anyone who dares question him won't be around very long. Considering the stuff he's tried to do abroad (Salisbury for example) imagine what the fuck he does in his own country with huge frozen wastes to 'lose' people in.

Biggest fears are:
1. He would try and get China's support, which could turn everything extremely ugly
2. Their nuclear arsenal. Up until today I'd have said even he wasn't mad enough for that. After today's performance...
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
Of course he doesn't!

He probably runs the place like Stalin and anyone who dares question him won't be around very long. Considering the stuff he's tried to do abroad (Salisbury for example) imagine what the fuck he does in his own country with huge frozen wastes to 'lose' people in.

Biggest fears are:
1. He would try and get China's support, which could turn everything extremely ugly
2. Their nuclear arsenal. Up until today I'd have said even he wasn't mad enough for that. After today's performance...

1)China hate Russia and they aren't stupid enough to get involved.

2) He's not going to use Nuclear weapons no matter how crazy he seems.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
1)China hate Russia and they aren't stupid enough to get involved.

2) He's not going to use Nuclear weapons no matter how crazy he seems.

Yeah, no way China will get involved.
I think the two provinces declaring themselves Russian has backed Putin into a corner, fuck knows where this will end now.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
Yeah, no way China will get involved.
I think the two provinces declaring themselves Russian has backed Putin into a corner, fuck knows where this will end now.
Did they declare themselves Russian, or independent? Not that it matters as they'll let Putin in, like Belarus does.

As for China, it's a way off, but if it became a massive fight do you think China would side with Russia or the West? Ideologically they're closer aligned to Russia, but the ego's between Putin and Xi would be difficult. it could be a marriage of convenience that would eventually end up with them fighting over control.

But of course we sided with communist Russia in WWII.
 

Liquid Gold

Well-Known Member
The whole time I thought his end game was to get international recognition for Crimea being Russian.

The two eastern provinces were agreed at a summit to become self-governing within Ukraine but the Ukranians backed out of that deal as it would stop them applying for EU membership.
 

Liquid Gold

Well-Known Member
Did they declare themselves Russian, or independent? Not that it matters as they'll let Putin in, like Belarus does.

As for China, it's a way off, but if it became a massive fight do you think China would side with Russia or the West? Ideologically they're closer aligned to Russia, but the ego's between Putin and Xi would be difficult. it could be a marriage of convenience that would eventually end up with them fighting over control.

But of course we sided with communist Russia in WWII.
China would happily sit back, make money of both sides and let both blocs get poorer and more divided while it looked after its own interests in the South China Sea.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
The whole time I thought his end game was to get international recognition for Crimea being Russian.

The two eastern provinces were agreed at a summit to become self-governing within Ukraine but the Ukranians backed out of that deal as it would stop them applying for EU membership.
Maybe Crimea has just emboldened him to go full out. We all know he wants to get the band back together.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
Did they declare themselves Russian, or independent? Not that it matters as they'll let Putin in, like Belarus does.

As for China, it's a way off, but if it became a massive fight do you think China would side with Russia or the West? Ideologically they're closer aligned to Russia, but the ego's between Putin and Xi would be difficult. it could be a marriage of convenience that would eventually end up with them fighting over control.

But of course we sided with communist Russia in WWII.

It doesn't matter what they say they are as unless Russia invades then the status quo there remains and if Putin invades he loses in the end.

China will side with whoever is best for them and that is not Russia. There hated each other when they were both Communist.

It's shit storing weaponry to claim China will ever get involved. China has far too much to lose if it is at odds with the west
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Doesn't vlad haven't anyone who will say "just think about this now?"

He's basically just destroyed his own economy and he can't risk war as even an aerial conflict would see the west with their far more modern and better equiped forces win.

Would he press the nuclear button over it?
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
China would happily sit back, make money of both sides and let both blocs get poorer and more divided while it looked after its own interests in the South China Sea.
You're probably right.

That was the U.S. plan for WWII. Kept out of it for ages, then swept in at the end to look like heroes and because they had tons of money from getting involved later on it loaned it to others to rebuild, thus giving them huge leverage over everyone else and end up pretty much running the world as a result
 
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Deleted member 9744

Guest
China would happily sit back, make money of both sides and let both blocs get poorer and more divided while it looked after its own interests in the South China Sea.
Suspect China will now feel emboldened to steam into Taiwan.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
Did they declare themselves Russian, or independent? Not that it matters as they'll let Putin in, like Belarus does.

As for China, it's a way off, but if it became a massive fight do you think China would side with Russia or the West? Ideologically they're closer aligned to Russia, but the ego's between Putin and Xi would be difficult. it could be a marriage of convenience that would eventually end up with them fighting over control.

But of course we sided with communist Russia in WWII.

You're correct, they declared independence though I think its fair to say that's probably not their long term goal.
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
No it makes it harder as now they are openly rather than convertly in the Donbass region it's harder for them to try and go unnoticed.

Well he says they're there for 'peacekeeping', which is believable enough for the average Russian as it will be if he says the peacekeeping forces came under attack. Be honest, you don't know what's happening next-nobody does.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
Why does Putin think a conflict that pits Russia, Belarus and South Osettia against Nato and the EU is going to work out well in the end for him?

Has he lost the plot since he no longer has a US president he can bully around?
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
Doesn't vlad haven't anyone who will say "just think about this now?"

He's basically just destroyed his own economy and he can't risk war as even an aerial conflict would see the west with their far more modern and better equiped forces win.

Think about this ... Germany had the most advanced army in the world in 1939 .. Russians will fight to the death to protect their country .

It's a war best left alone

They wont just roll over, it's why the west always give them a wide birth and not countries like Iraq

You only have to look at Vietnam to understand technology doesn't win every war
 
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shmmeee

Well-Known Member
Think about this ... Germany had the most advanced army in the world in 1939 .. Russians will fight to the death to protect their country .

It's a war best left alone

They wont just roll over, it's why the west always give them a wide birth and not countries like Iraq

You only have to look at Vietnam to understand technology doesn't win every war

Not their country though. Do Ukrainians want this? Can’t fight a guerrilla war without civilian support.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
Think about this ... Germany had the most advanced army in the world in 1939 .. Russians will fight to the death to protect their country .

It's a war best left alone

They wont just roll over, it's why the west always give them a wide birth and not countries like Iraq

You only have to look at Vietnam to understand technology doesn't win every war
no one is invading russia but in convential warfare in the ukraine the us/nato win everytime
 

xcraigx

Well-Known Member
Zelensky due to speak soon. What can he possibly say and what can Ukraine realistically do without inviting a full on invasion, which may well happen anyway.

The US embassy that had moved from Kiev to Lviv in the far west a few days back are now leaving the country due to safety concerns so clearly the US believe Russia won't stay in the East.
 

SkyBlueCharlie9

Well-Known Member
Putin is mad but has been toying with West for years as part of his long term vision....and we've been implicit in sitting back.... Salisbury, Russian footy fans at 2016 Euros, Olympics, World Cup, sending warships/subs up the channel, oligarks, gas supplies, Crimea, Belarus etc.etc. He is very dangerous!
 

Earlsdon_Skyblue1

Well-Known Member
I fear this is only going one way now. Putin´s comments are extremely alarming. Thoughts with them all. I really hope this doesn´t escalate any more, but it seems like one man has lost the plot and is thirsty for trouble.

My football manager is from Ukraine and he has gone back to get his family out.
 

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