Fergusons_Beard
Well-Known Member
Only needed the point (and so did Morecambe to stay up) because Mansworld were 3 points away from us.
In the end We, Lincoln and Mansfield all drew the last games.
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So what’s permutations please (8 Viewers)
- Thread starter Sky_Blue_Daz
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Only needed the point (and so did Morecambe to stay up) because Mansworld were 3 points away from us.
In the end We, Lincoln and Mansfield all drew the last games.
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Mucca Mad Boys
Well-Known Member
Thankfully, we're not chasing a win unlike Millwall, Blackburn, Sunderland or WBA. I personally wouldn't trade places with any of those teams.
Next week is a bit of a nothing game for Middlesborough too, they have home field advantage going into the playoffs (second leg at home). Would Middlesborough want to face Sunderland in the playoff semis (the most likely opponent if we miss out) with the unpredictability of a derby? If they think they can beat us in a two legged tie, they ought not to batter us.
Personally, I think we'll play out a 0-0 with Middlesborough as it suits both teams.
covcity4life
Well-Known Member
Even if we lose I can see Sunderland or Millwall not winning. Just one of them losing should be enough right? Unless Blackburn win today
Astute
Well-Known Member
Don't forget WBA. If we lose they win with a GD swing of 5 they would go above us.
Can't see it happening though.
CoventryUSA
Well-Known Member
If Blackburn wins today
Coventry Win = 5th place
Coventry Draw = In the playoffs
*With a draw, Coventry moves to 70 points. Only Millwall and Blackburn would be able to surpass Cov. However, they play each other. If there is a winner in that match, Cov moves to 6th. If they draw, Cov stays in 5th place.Coventry Loss = Out of the playoffs if two of the following three occur:
1. Winner in Millwall/Blackburn OR Millwall / Blackburn Draw AND Cov loses by 4+ goals2. Sunderland Win
3. West Brom win and there is a net gain on GD of 5. For example, Cov loses by 2 goals and West Brom wins by 3 goals.
If Blackburn draws today
Coventry Win = 5th place
Coventry Draw = In the playoffs
*With a draw, Coventry moves to 70 points. Only Millwall would be able to surpass Cov. If Millwall wins, they move to 5th and Cov to 6th.Coventry Loss = Out of the playoffs if two of the following three occur:
1. Millwall Win OR Blackburn wins and erases a 15-goal differential (....not happening) OR Millwall / Blackburn Draw AND Cov loses by 4+ goals2. Sunderland Win
3. West Brom win and there is a net gain on GD of 5. For example, Cov loses by 2 goals and West Brom wins by 3 goals.
If Blackburn loses today
Coventry Win = 5th place
Coventry Draw = In the playoffs
*With a draw, Coventry moves to 70 points. Only Millwall would be able to surpass Cov. If Millwall wins, they move to 5th and Cov to 6th.Coventry Loss = Out of the playoffs if two of the following three occur:
1. Millwall Win OR Millwall / Blackburn Draw AND Cov loses by 4+ goals2. Sunderland Win
3. West Brom win and there is a net gain on GD of 5. For example, Cov loses by 2 goals and West Brom wins by 3 goals.
Covcraig@bury
Well-Known Member
Middlesbrough wing back sent off against Rotherham and losing 1-0
thekidfromstrettoncamp
Well-Known Member
Keith Stroud upsetting both sets of supporters with his decisions now there a suprise .
thekidfromstrettoncamp
Well-Known Member
Rotherham Win
thekidfromstrettoncamp
Well-Known Member
Have you got a few Shekels and I'll see what I can do? Sure agent Hyam can sort things out.
MikeyMoo
Well-Known Member
Championship Predictions
Cov given a 50% chance of a win or draw vs Middlesborough by Nate Silver et al. If we lose (the other 50%), two other teams need to win to get past us; draws are not good enough for the rest. There's a 22.8% chance both Milwall and Sunderland win (putting the latter ahead of us on either GD or GS), giving an 87.2% chance Cov make the playoffs. Blackburn's GD gap of 15 is too much to overcome; but there is a small (less than 1%) chance that WBA wins, AND we lose, AND they manage a 5-goal turnaround in GD on us, AND either Milwall or Sunderland win; or (and even less likely) that Milwall draw AND Cov lose by 5 or more goals AND either Sunderland or WBA wins). That gets 538 to an 87% chance of Cov making the playoffs. The betting markets have settled on 1:9, i.e. an 89% chance. Hope this helps settle the nerves, though I know it's unlikely...
Cov given a 50% chance of a win or draw vs Middlesborough by Nate Silver et al. If we lose (the other 50%), two other teams need to win to get past us; draws are not good enough for the rest. There's a 22.8% chance both Milwall and Sunderland win (putting the latter ahead of us on either GD or GS), giving an 87.2% chance Cov make the playoffs. Blackburn's GD gap of 15 is too much to overcome; but there is a small (less than 1%) chance that WBA wins, AND we lose, AND they manage a 5-goal turnaround in GD on us, AND either Milwall or Sunderland win; or (and even less likely) that Milwall draw AND Cov lose by 5 or more goals AND either Sunderland or WBA wins). That gets 538 to an 87% chance of Cov making the playoffs. The betting markets have settled on 1:9, i.e. an 89% chance. Hope this helps settle the nerves, though I know it's unlikely...
Astute
Well-Known Member
The bookies have a Middlesbrough win at 6/4. They make a living out of getting the odds right although it can also change a little by the volume of money going on the result.
If the bookies thought Middlesbrough had a 50% chance of a win you would get less than evens. Either 4/5 or 10/11. They are offering over 50% more.
There is always a team that drops out on the last day and I think it will be us as everything has been going for us of late and just think Sunderland will win away at Preston and Millwall will beat Blackburn. It could be just me being used to the old coventry way of blowing it.But FFS I hope I'm wrong will struggle to watch it Monday.
Astute
Well-Known Member
And on the other hand there's always a club that gets into the top 6 at the end of the season with a great run.
That is us. 1 defeat in the last 16 games. When we finally got into the top 6 last week there were teams just below us with a couple of games in hand. We're the form team. Most clean sheets. Playing good football. Nobody will want to play us now.
Astute
Well-Known Member
As long as they don’t win 16-0
MikeyMoo
Well-Known Member
538 have dropped to odds to 49%, but that's still a long way from 40% (6/4) as you say. It may reflect the Bookies' feeling that Middlesborough will be resting players?
Sky Blue Pete
Well-Known Member
Suppose they are on a poor run of form too
Astute
Well-Known Member
Skybet Middlesbrough 6/4