Fwiw, and imho etc., I think Simon's done a good job here with both his recent interviews.
In essence, to me, it seems that both Labovitch and the new ACL chap, Robinson, have said something along the lines of "we've got a plan, and the future's rosy". When challenged as to the fiscal realities aren't they are both just going to say "wait and see"?
On that basis I think judgement as to the probabilities for success for the Ricoh without CCFC, and CCFC without the Ricoh is something we've got to determine for ourselves.
Personally, I think ACL have got the better chance - mostly on the basis that I just can't see how the figures for a new stadium coupled to the existing debt add up. But that is just my opinion, others may differ.
Of course, I think the best solution is that SISU pull their heads out of their arses and take the cheap rental deal and then negotiate from there. But they won't, at least until the JR is all done, imho.