duffer
Well-Known Member
Tbh you'd get awful odds on us to stay up, probably something like 1.5, so isn't worth my money. Like I said everyone is entitled to their own opinion, and I wasn't saying I'm right and you're wrong.
I'm just annoyed at what is stereotypical of City fans (and people from the city), that is them just disregarding our chances (without researching/thoroughly looking at all the components that come into play). How many times do you here someone say 'oh typical city' when we lose/draw a game, without taking into account the reasons for the loss/draw.
All fair enough that, I wouldn't disagree with any of it. Although the thing about footy, as you've said elsewhere, is that you can do all of the research you want and still not get it right. I've got some fantastic statistical tools at my disposal, courtesy of the work I used do. I used to work with some properly clever people, statisticians and mathematicians, but we never came up with any decent system (on horses or football) for making reliable profit. (We gave it some proper thought too!).
So, I think you're right not to bet on this, but I'd accept there's a case for thinking that we might do better than many here (including me) think. I sincerely hope you're right and I'm wrong.