***Relegation Thread*** (10 Viewers)

[Deleted member 4439]

No, need a point, since Leyton are only 5 points behind and with same GD.

 

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[Broken Hearted Sky Blue]

Stop stressing , we are not going down.
lets all get behind the boys and have a part Saturday.

Whats wrong with a whole saturday?

 

[Deleted member 4439]

Carl Baker back from injury for Dons, and scores.

 

[Deleted member 4439]

Preston 3-1 up

 

[The CableGuy]

3-1 Preston! :laugh:

 

[Deleted member 4439]

Baker scores again, 3-0

 

[hill83]

Baker scores again, 3-0

Nothing to do with our relegation battle.

 

[covmark]

Nothing to do with our relegation battle.

Nah, but come on, it's captain Bakes!

 

[The CableGuy]

Yes! Orient beaten!

 

[Deleted member 4439]

Nothing to do with our relegation battle.

Personally, I think it's a factor....along with Moussa, Clarke and Wilson...

 

[hill83]

Nah, but come on, it's captain Bakes!

Ah, Bakey McBakington of Bakertron. What a guy.

 

[hill83]

Good results all round. Let's not fuck it up Saturday and I can focus on getting that champions league badge on my arm finished.

 

[LJC_CCFC]

If only we had Baker, we'd have just qualified for the semi-finals of the UCL. Shame that.

 

[Otis]

So as it stands we need to lose remaining games and teams below must win both?

I know. Scary isn't it.

Do you think we will do it? I'm really worried.

 

[The CableGuy]

Speaking of relegation, Millwall look like they're coming down from the Championship.

 

[torchomatic]

A draw and we're ok. It needs us to lose and LO and NC to win both of theirs. Ain't gonna happen. I know we're not mathematically safe but after tonight I feel a lot better.

 

[hill83]

A draw and we're ok. It needs us to lose and LO and NC to win both of theirs. Ain't gonna happen. I know we're not mathematically safe but after tonight I feel a lot better.

Don't forget Colchester

 

[SkyBlue_Bear83]

So as it stands we need to lose remaining games and teams below must win both?

If you assume we lose both games then Crawley will overtake us, assume Port Vale will get the one point they need to overtake us. That leaves Colchester, Notts County, Leyton Orient, Crewe and Coventry fighting for 3 relegation spaces. So we need to be in the top 2 of the 'league' of 5 of which we currently sit top, so we would need to be overtaken by two teams to drop into the relegation places. Colchester must get 9 points to overtake us, Notts County and Leyton Orient will need 6 points to finish ahead of us and Crewe will need 1 point from one game to finish ahead of us.

So if 2 of the 5 teams get the required points that would send us 4th from bottom, so only one of the 3 teams (Colchester, County and Leyton Orient) will NEED to win all of there remaining fixtures and a then a point for Crewe in there final game will be enough to send us down, if Crewe lose on the last day then that means two of those 3 teams will need to win all of there remaining fixtures.

This is all assuming we lose both matches and Port Vale get one point from the final 2 matches.

 

[SkyBlue_Bear83]

A draw and we're ok. It needs us to lose and LO and NC to win both of theirs. Ain't gonna happen. I know we're not mathematically safe but after tonight I feel a lot better.

Not quite, only one of them need to win both matches if Crewe get the required point to overtake us in there final game.

Assuming we lose both matches and Port Vale get 1 point from the final two matches.

 

[LJC_CCFC]

 

[colin101]

If you assume we lose both games then Crawley will overtake us, assume Port Vale will get the one point they need to overtake us. That leaves Colchester, Notts County, Leyton Orient, Crewe and Coventry fighting for 3 relegation spaces. So we need to be in the top 2 of the 'league' of 5 of which we currently sit top, so we would need to be overtaken by two teams to drop into the relegation places. Colchester must get 9 points to overtake us, Notts County and Leyton Orient will need 6 points to finish ahead of us and Crewe will need 1 point from one game to finish ahead of us.

So if 2 of the 5 teams get the required points that would send us 4th from bottom, so only one of the 3 teams (Colchester, County and Leyton Orient) will NEED to win all of there remaining fixtures and a then a point for Crewe in there final game will be enough to send us down, if Crewe lose on the last day then that means two of those 3 teams will need to win all of there remaining fixtures.

This is all assuming we lose both matches.

Thanks for this, after reading I am clear as mud

 

[LJC_CCFC]

Can't see Orient or County winning another game tbh.

 

[BackRoomRummermill]

leyton have same GD so if we get a point that leaves us on 53 and they if they win both on 53 also. They would be ahead of us on GD

We need to win Saturday to be sure

 

[skybluetony176]

Couldn't really have asked for more tonight. I have a feeling it's going to be a very cagey game on Saturday.

 

[SkyBlue_Bear83]

Thanks for this, after reading I am clear as mud

Basically only one of the teams inside the relegation zone need to overtake us if teams who are outside of the relegation but currently below also overtake us.

So only one of Notts County, Leyton Orient or Colchester need to win all there remaining fixture if Crewe, Crawley and Port Vale all also overtake us.

 

[Johnnythespider]

Basically only one of the teams inside the relegation zone need to overtake us if teams who are outside of the relegation but currently below also overtake us.

So only one of Notts County, Leyton Orient or Colchester need to win all there remaining fixture if Crewe, Crawley and Port Vale all also overtake us.

More chance of me winning the euro lottery than one of those three winning all their remaining fixtures.

 

[Otis]

Basically only one of the teams inside the relegation zone need to overtake us if teams who are outside of the relegation but currently below also overtake us.

So only one of Notts County, Leyton Orient or Colchester need to win all there remaining fixture if Crewe, Crawley and Port Vale all also overtake us.

Crewe can only overtake us if they beat us. If they draw they can't catch us, no matter what happens in the last game.

 

[bradwellskyblues]

We are safe county at gillingham and orient play blades and I think we will win on Saturday,now it's over to sisu to secure Mowbray and start to move forward

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Crewe can only overtake us if they beat us. If they draw they can't catch us, no matter what happens in the last game.

Well we could ship 20 against Crawley.

 

[Silsden]

A draw at Crewe sees us safe, as Crewe cannot catch our goal difference and its very unlikely Notts County will make up 7 goals difference on us in the last 2 games

 

[Otis]

Well we could ship 20 against Crawley.

Only if we play Andy Webster.

 

[Gazolba]

The bottom line is if we finish in the bottom four, we deserve to be relegated. I cannot see it happening and I'm pessimistic by nature.

 

[m.okeefe]

the 3 remaining teams at the bottom will not make 51 points trust me :thinking about:

 

[covmark]

More chance of me winning the euro lottery than one of those three winning all their remaining fixtures.

116000000 to 1 to win the euros, not sure you'd get those odds from the bookies

 

[SkyBlue_Bear83]

Crewe can only overtake us if they beat us. If they draw they can't catch us, no matter what happens in the last game.

Yep the original post I was replying too was asking if we lose both of our games would 52 points be enough so I was working under the assumption Crewe would beat us and several scenarios if we finished on 52. I think 52 will be enough now myself but not 100% definitely