Just to be clear as to what I did say
The club itself has no value as OEG t/a CCFC( - £1) what would need to be cleared in any deal is the debt due to ARVO. The capital outstanding is £8m plus rolled up interest. ARVO hold a charge over all assets of OEG Ltd and SBS&L. Could ARVO be cleared by 5 or 6m possibly, it depends on how keen they are to get out, or whether the news of Ryton gives them a prospect of a better return further down the line. The sticking point is ARVO not SISU but it would seem both are managed by Coleman & Seppala
other stuff
The Ryton land is as far as I know still owned by OEG and covered/charged to ARVO to secure the loans. It would require ARVO agreement to transfer that land to another entity even if it was an entity owned by SISU. It does not have planning permission yet so its value is current use at the moment. I would think that moving the Ryton ground out of OEG would significantly devalue the worth of CCFC. You can not have a professional football club without training ground arrangements - if they sold Ryton they have to buy a new ground or rent one, both options would lead to debt and increased overhead which affects cash flow profitability and worth.
I understand where Smurthwaite is coming from. You wouldn't offer it all up front if you were buying the shares in a normal situation, there would be long term income contracts, player assets, training ground arrangements etc etc that add worth. I query whether you buy the shares at all. If I was advising a client on buying this I would be looking for a one off payment and a clean break. I would seek to acquire the assets and the football liabilities and work with FL/FA to put it all in CCFC 2016 ltd. There is no way I would want ARVO/SISU anywhere near, no way I would want the ARVO (or any SISU related) charge to continue, no way I would want the preference shares, no way I would want the Sconset debt. But that would all be pretty much a deal breaker I would think, as would be the offer which would be £2m tops. I accept you have give some encouragement of perhaps a little now and more later in a normal situation. But is this a normal set up, doesnt a normal club have more than an internet presence ? Why would you pay a premium to get rid of SISU - its they who are in the hole not the potential buyers. Why would you pay them a reward for you turning it around when they have been abject and created the mess. People forget its not just about buying the club it is also about providing the working capital that follows. Got to take emotion out of it
You would not want to buy SBS&L and the only important creditor outside normal operations in OEG is ARVO. Sorry but anyone coming and looking at CCFC will have to hold their nerve and play a longer game - sorry guys but that means more heartache for the supporters, you have to play hardball because JS & co will look for weakness to drive a better bargain. Apparently according to some we are near break even, but that isn't break even is it, so there will be pressure for further funding, disposal of players etc which of course drives down overall business value and puts pressure on someone willing/needing to sell. SISU can probably just sit there, providing no more funding, but with the increase in player costs the lack of income solutions, lack of medium term security that is going to mean further decline for CCFC and the prospect of even smaller investor return - that would be their (SISU) choice
Just a thought 2008 SISU acquired the net assets less liabilities of CCFC for £570k cash then in 2013 Otium purchased the total assets of the club for £1.5m plus took on the football debts why in heavens name given the further decline, lack of assets, the fact we still don't make profits or breakeven would you even think about paying millions to acquire it. JS - well actually SBS&L or the ARVO/Sconset investors, might think they need more to go but that's their problem not a buyers problem and it is not going to happen.
As for them putting in £60m - we have been through this a number of times - they haven't. The SBS&L Group accounts show they haven't
I think nearly all of us agree with Smurthwaite on the building of a new stadium and how the original deal was set up.
The worry of course is that they (SISU) find a way to extract the development value of Ryton and go before providing similar standard facilities for the club. Anyone serious about progressing the club will want/expect decent training facilities. Ryton or its equivalent replacement is removed from this then CCFC is all but dead
Its all very well saying it would take 10m or 15m to keep JS happy for her to go , that actual value is irrelevant, but from a buyers point of view it is about what worth you get for £10m and the on going commitment they sign up for, they wont care if JS is happy or not. It can not be an emotional purchase but it must be an emotional commitment to the future from the get go