Are we going to "shit" our way up!? (5 Viewers)
- Thread starter shepardo01
- Start date
Mucca Mad Boys
Well-Known Member
That’s not at all how xG works
No, there’s game state to take into account which adds context to xG.
Our chances were better chances than Wednesday’s whichever way you look at it and after their equaliser, we created the two best chances of the half.
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
They weren’t though. Look at the actual shot xGs and the big chances metric. You can’t just divide the total xG by shots and claim we had loads of good chances.
Marty
Well-Known Member
What Luton blueprint? Barely signed anyone with any pedigree.
Just off the top of my head I'd be looking to sign.
Sargent and Sainz at Norwich
Whittaker at Middlesbrough.
I really like that Ampadu at Leeds but doubt he would want to come. Struggling to think of any other top CBs of the top of my head.
What is it now about 130mill for a season in the prem? Spend 80 mill on a team that will go straight back up after relegation with some good prospects waiting in the wings and the rest towards increased wage budget and infrastructure/facilities.
I doubt 5th or 6th beats 3rd or 4th in the play offs over two legs anyway this season, the top 4 are just so much better than the rest.
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
I think this strategy ignores the mental effect on a team of getting hammered every week tbh. Buy PL players and assume you can sell them again if you get relegated and those you don’t use the parachute payments to keep.
Mucca Mad Boys
Well-Known Member
The point has been missed entirely. If you had two teams with equal xG and one team had 22 shots and the other has 8… who do you think created the better chances?
What were Wednesday’s big chances? They hit the bar and forced a few decent saves from Dovin.
clint van damme
Well-Known Member
They've basically used the money to finance their new ground.
It was also going to be a phased opening but the revenue they've earned means one of the phases can now be brought forward and will start generating revenue earlier than planned.
What they've done should really help the club long term, though a double relegation could be a bit of a spanner in the works.
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Nuskyblue
Well-Known Member
Not surprised tbh, in the most part we have been more solid.
Lamps
Well-Known Member
I'd like to see Leeds and Burnley go up automatically. Leeds are just a level above the rest and Burnley don't let goals in. .
We're at the top of the form tables just under Leeds. EMC is back and Wright coming back in the next few weeks. Easily two of our best players and will be fresh at the end of the season.
Or how about looking at the playoffs a couple of seasons ago. Luton and ourselves were the underdogs yet both made it to the final.
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
Came across this floating around.
Which suggests since Jan we’ve been one of the lower half in terms of conceding chances and dropped a bit in terms of creating them.
Basically Lampard is ruining xG as a stat.
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
Am I the only one who doesn't give a shit about xG and all the other stats, there is only one that matters every game and that is the score
Score doesn’t even matter. I just tune in in May to see the league table.
fernandopartridge
Well-Known Member
How did we not have the best chances in the game?
Lamps
Well-Known Member
We've recently played 4 of the 6 teams in the 'good teams' area. Lost to Leeds but beat the other 3. WBA also there and they're not doing well recently. Only won 3 games this year and that's supposed to be when the data for this is from. Drawn 3 and lost 3. 12 points from 9 league games.
We're 6 wins, a draw and 2 defeats in the same period. 19 points from 9 games yet not a good side? Just shows you can make stats say what you want them to.
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
You mean Simms chance then yes. I think the next two were there’s but not 100%
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
From the top of my head we had 2 goals, 1 chalked off when it shouldn’t have been, 1 saved off the line and Tats denied by a superb save.
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
So Tats header saved superbly wasnt a massive chance? Dovin didn’t have to make a save that good. A lot of their shots were from distance
ovduk78
Well-Known Member
It's the current stick to beat players with, it used to be assists which is another meaningless stat
Lamps
Well-Known Member
When our xG was very high we kept losing. Now it's low we keep winning.Am I the only one who doesn't give a shit about xG and all the other stats, there is only one that matters every game and that is the score
Nick
Administrator
Because he just wants to make out we should have lost every game, it's weird as fuck.
Dovin didn't have to pull off a save anywhere near as good as the one from Saka's header.
It's just weird. Even when we win.
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
Tatsus header was 0.08. Simms first was 0.13. They had a 0.39 a 0.16 a 0.15 and a 0.13.
Look I’m not Google go look yourself.
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
Yes the big Footmob anti Lampard agenda strikes again FFS
ovduk78
Well-Known Member
From the highlights I can't remember Sheff Wed having a chance as good as Simms' 1st & Saka's header, they all seemed to be at an angle with defenders in between player shooting & Dovin
Nick
Administrator
They didn't but I'm sure he will find some shit stat he can obsess over and repeat 6000 times.
fernandopartridge
Well-Known Member
TBF it was higher than theirs from open play yesterday and overall fairly even
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
You’re so weird with your constant crying about me. Someone asked a question, I replied with the answer.
Lamps
Well-Known Member
We scored all 3 and had a good goal wiped out. Their GK made the best save of the game as you said.
Then some people wonder why not much notice is taken from these 'stats'
shmmeee
Well-Known Member
Again this is because we had one 0.87 chance. You guys would argue the sky was pink if I said it was blue I swear.
Lamps
Well-Known Member
That's my point. Close but they didn't have the clear chances we did.
Nick
Administrator
It isn't crying about you, it's pointing out that you're just constantly trying to push the same narrative.
You did the same when Rudoni missed the sitter at home going on we had no good chances. Then "oh I didn't see it".
Stick to obsessing over politics all day on social media.
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
If you think Tatsus header wasn’t a better chance than all of those I have nothing to say
Shannerz
Well-Known Member
Are we talking sunset here?