I would like to watch it all again, because I was in love with Carolyn Seymour.
It's bollocks to say you have to look at other factors to try and understand why Iran can have a 10% mortality rate ut other places a 0% RATE.
You're fucki g done here mate. You're a weirdo who likes to pretend they are smart on a website. Back to infowars you go
Not correct. It is 2/100 infected. Out by a magnitude of 10. The early estimate, following very detailed statistical analysis and models is 2%, so 20 x flu. The same happened with SARS, the WHO gave an early estimate of 3%, but it ended up being nearly 10%. This is because people calculate deaths at a specific point in time against cases that have been identified at that same given point - which is completely flawed because many of those cases are on-going and death can come up to 41 days after the symptoms first appear. In other words, it is very likely to be greater than 2% when the dust settles. All covered in the link above.
Seems to be a relatively new thing on SBT. Randomly calling people weirdos in an attempt to discredit that person and insult. A technique usually employed by extreme narcissists to discredit others they don't agree with. SBT would be far better without this kind of thing.
As someone else has also pointed out it's amazing also the level of expertise on all topics on here - seems to be no topic that we can't find a resident expert on!
It isn’t because the vast majority of cases go unreported
Cheers, Torch.Drop me a PM then, Otis. There has also been nine series of Audio "adventures", so will stick that on there too. Caroline Seymour disappeared after the first TV series, but is in the audio episodes.
I am a bit obsessed with Survivors, still have the original novel too.
Cheers, Torch.
Hold on, you’re quoting scientific sources — surely the flat-earthers would do the opposite...Some cases, but not the vast majority, because if they did the outbreak would be far wider as they would have lost complete control. Most people have been traced. In any case, this is accounted for in the estimates. The current mortality rate of closed cases is 7%, but the projection is 2%.
Anyhow, I sincerely hope that you are right on this. So want to be wrong, and of course, I'm no expert anyway but the sources I'm looking at seem hard to discredit. Hopefully it'll be contained soon enough. My final word before I get accused of being a flat-earther again :woot:
No he is misrepresenting scientific evidence which us exactly what a flat earther would doHold on, you’re quoting scientific sources — surely the flat-earthers would do the opposite...
No he is misrepresenting scientific evidence which us exactly what a flat earther would do
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Bollocks, the world is whatever shape Fankaty Dabo wants it to be that morning.Oh come on now David. I had a little pop at you earlier for which I apologise, but I am doing nothing of the sort. I just posted a link to the data, the source of which is mainly the WHO. There was absolutely no misrepresentation at all.
And anyway, everyone knows the Earth is shaped like a Monster Munch.
But which flavour, Ferret?Oh come on now David. I had a little pop at you earlier for which I apologise, but I am doing nothing of the sort. I just posted a link to the data, the source of which is mainly the WHO. There was absolutely no misrepresentation at all.
And anyway, everyone knows the Earth is shaped like a Monster Munch.
But which flavour, Ferret?
I do know the sun is flamin hot.
Looks like he’s pulling the figures directly from the quoted source to me.No he is misrepresenting scientific evidence which us exactly what a flat earther would do
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No he is taking one set of data and claiming that is all. There are very different mortality rates in different places ranging from 0% to 10% which can not be down to chance. This means you will have to look at other reasons for the rates of mortality including the conditions people live in, the general health of the population and the standard of healthcare in that area. It's morally wrong to start trying to scare people when no one including the worlds best virologists have these answers yet.Looks like he’s pulling the figures directly from the quoted source to me.
At the end of the day even the experts aren’t sure what the mortality rate will be yet for lots of the reasons mentioned above, but according to this chap (he is a senior doctor with the WHO and has just visited China):
“Bruce Aylward, who led an international mission to China to learn about the virus and the country’s response, said the evidence did not suggest that we were only seeing the tip of the iceberg. If borne out by further testing, this could mean that current estimates of a roughly 1% fatality rate are accurate. This would make Covid-19 about 10 times more deadly than seasonal flu, which is estimated to kill between 290,000 and 650,000 people a year globally.”
Source:
'It's no worse than the flu': busting the coronavirus myths
No he is taking one set of data and claiming that is all. There are very different mortality rates in different places ranging from 0% to 10% which can not be down to chance. This means you will have to look at other reasons for the rates of mortality including the conditions people live in, the general health of the population and the standard of healthcare in that area. It's morally wrong to start trying to scare people when no one including the worlds best virologists have these answers yet.
He is refusing to take into account the likely ness that as the virus presents as a mild cold in most healthy adults there will e alarge number of undetected non fatal cases.
#MIKEDROP
That’s kind.ThanksFirst series is great, second OK, third is rubbish. Basically they had a tiny budget for the third series, so it was just like Emmerdale, concentrating on self sufficiency and that. I have them as video files, so if you want them on a memory stick, send me a PM.
That’s kind.Thanks
If the EFL was cancelled I'm sure the Premier League would be too and I doubt UEFA would agree to moving the Euros so the leagues can finish.I think they’d extend the season into the summer
That was the radio 4 discussion they don’t know why it’s not a usual u shape curve. The experts I mean.
Awful rate amongst older age groups
I didnt see the 1970's original series but really liked the 2008 to 2010 progs. Shame that the BBC didnt commission a 3rd series to finish the story.Reminds me of one of my favourite series from the 70s...
Written by Terry Nation who created Dr Who.
Think the euros unlikely to happen if everything stopsIf the EFL was cancelled I'm sure the Premier League would be too and I doubt UEFA would agree to moving the Euros so the leagues can finish.
I didnt see the 1970's original series but really liked the 2008 to 2010 progs. Shame that the BBC didnt commission a 3rd series to finish the story.
Can clearly remember the 1st episode in 2008 where the character played by the extremely horny actress, Julie Graham, has just rolled her dead husbands body up in a carpet, dragged the corpse into the garden and setting fire to him. Days later, she meets another survivor (male) and shags him in a small lake ! One way of getting over your grief I guess....
Totally agree. I enjoy that rendition very much too and Julie Graham was great. It ended all very abruptly.Yes, I quite liked the later series too. There are some similarities, but they had a bigger budget so could show more devastation rather than just countryside as in the original series. Series 2 ended on a pretty good cliffhanger too. Shame they didn't commission a third series.
Actually in your case what happens is you never appear until the outcome is known and then gloat you knew the outcome anyway
Switzerland’s banned large gatherings (over 1000 people I think) today. I’m not sure if their league is now on pause or if they’ll play games behind closed doors.
Thanks for proving my point Grendel.
Repeat misinformation about people often enough to discredit that person if they don't agree with you vs. engaging in a rational and fact based debate.
We see this type of extreme narcissism globally in our very damaged politics today so it's not so surprising I guess it's reflected on here.
Most people I expect would prefer SBT to be about a healthy and engaging exchange of views on tactics, team news, transfers with lots of banter thrown in vs. oneupmanship and always needing to be right or discrediting the other person. I've also been guilty of this to be honest as well but I'm not going to get drawn into it going forward. Not a good use of the message boards.
Repeating misinformation about those who do not share your views is honestly pretty unhealthy but as above it seems to be a present symptom of today's climate.
Thanks for proving my point Grendel.
Repeat misinformation about people often enough to discredit that person if they don't agree with you vs. engaging in a rational and fact based debate.
We see this type of extreme narcissism globally in our very damaged politics today so it's not so surprising I guess it's reflected on here.
Most people I expect would prefer SBT to be about a healthy and engaging exchange of views on tactics, team news, transfers with lots of banter thrown in vs. oneupmanship and always needing to be right or discrediting the other person. I've also been guilty of this to be honest as well but I'm not going to get drawn into it going forward. Not a good use of the message boards.
Repeating misinformation about those who do not share your views is honestly pretty unhealthy but as above it seems to be a present symptom of today's climate.
I don’t think you speak for most people I’m sure most people can speak for themselves
Your utopian vision for this forum sounds about as much fun as having to watch 24 hour back to back episodes of Terry and June
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