Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (79 Viewers)

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
What's the difference between pillar one and pillar two?

  • Pillar 1: swab testing in Public Health England (PHE) labs and NHS hospitals for those with a clinical need, and health and care workers
  • Pillar 2: swab testing for the wider population, as set out in government guidance
 

D

Deleted member 5849

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  • Pillar 1: swab testing in Public Health England (PHE) labs and NHS hospitals for those with a clinical need, and health and care workers
  • Pillar 2: swab testing for the wider population, as set out in government guidance
OK. I'd like to think that even our government wouldn't be mental enough to not report the latter.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
Do we know if they’re reporting Pillar 1,2 or both in the briefings?
Just reading about it. They've only been passing on full data on pillar 1 which is ridiculous as pillar 1 and 2 are exactly the same test, only difference is pillar 1 is carried out by the NHS and pillar 2 by private companies.

Of course no daily briefings anymore so they can't be questioned on this.
Central government could be sitting on data that masks the real number of coronavirus infections at a local level, a Financial Times investigation has revealed.

The number of new cases in the regions only includes pillar 1 data from hospitals and not pillar 2 from commercial labs and home tests.

It means that in places like Leicester, which has been forced back into lockdown this week, up to 90 per cent of new cases could have been missed by the local authorities, leading to a delayed response.

Local leaders have criticised the slow response from the Government and Public Health England (PHE) in sharing case and testing data for the city.

Leicester mayor Sir Peter Soulsby said he had been trying “for weeks” to access data on the level of testing in the city and was only given access last Thursday.

According to the most recent data, published on Monday, there have been 1,056 cases in Leicester since the outbreak began.

But Leicester City Council said that the latest figures it has received show there have been 3,216 Covid-19 cases confirmed in the city since the start of the pandemic.

A Public Health England official, who declined to be named, said non-publication was a ministerial decision.

“The Department for Health and Social Care need to make the decision to publish — and they should — but we can’t push them because we are their arms-length body.”

Kate Ardern, who leads health protection and emergency planning for Greater Manchester, said the information being sent to local authorities from tests conducted under pillar two lacked the granularity or timeliness needed to pre-empt an outbreak.

For the past two months she and colleagues had been making their concerns known to officials and ministers, she said.

“If I don’t know who is being tested, and getting positive tests, in the community because one of the major elements of the testing system isn’t currently sending me complete and reliable intelligence . . . it actually hampers our ability to get ahead of the curve on outbreak management,” said Ms Ardern.
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
155 deaths today, 690 new infections.
So deaths are relatively stagnant but infections are going down a bit... do you think this is because a drop in testing? Or conversely more people are dying in proportion to positive tests (and I know there is a time lag to factor in terms of positive test to death) - I wonder why?
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
So deaths are relatively stagnant but infections are going down a bit... do you think this is because a drop in testing? Or conversely more people are dying in proportion to positive tests (and I know there is a time lag to factor in terms of positive test to death) - I wonder why?

All things being equal you’d expect mortality to drop as time goes on and we learn to deal with the symptoms better. I can only assume it’s a change in testing. This is generally why I always go for deaths over cases.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
Oh I agree, I was just commenting on the national data.
It seems a very odd thing to refuse to hand over. Going by the fact the Leicester mayor has said they have been trying to get hold of the data for weeks it seems unlikely its just an oversight and more that it has been withheld but what possible benefit can there be in doing that?
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
All things being equal you’d expect mortality to drop as time goes on and we learn to deal with the symptoms better. I can only assume it’s a change in testing. This is generally why I always go for deaths over cases.
Definitely right to go with deaths. The testing data seems to be all over the place and when they won't release the number of people actually tested its virtually impossible to draw any reliable conclusions from the data they do publish.

Do they publish the number of people admitted to ICU and / or hospital? That might be a useful indicator, assuming the underlying data is solid so you can split out covid-19 cases from everything else.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
We're still waiting for our new hospital in Liverpool......its only 3.5 years overdue, with the remedial works currently being undertaken to rectify the clusterfuck left by Carillion expected to cost nearly as much as the original budget.....

...Our governments have always been shit at infrastructure budgets & forecasts, but this current bunch of shysters are on a different level of incompetence.

But all their mates are making a packet, so in their own eyes there doing a great job.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
Is this a new study? Researchers and clinicians in London discovered this weeks ago.

The linked article is dated 19th June so maybe not, I hadn’t heard of studies showing antibodies decreased. I think I got it at the start of lockdown which means my immunity is probably gone soon, just as lockdown ends. Concerning.
 

SkyBlueCRJ

Well-Known Member
The linked article is dated 19th June so maybe not, I hadn’t heard of studies showing antibodies decreased. I think I got it at the start of lockdown which means my immunity is probably gone soon, just as lockdown ends. Concerning.

Yeah it definitely is concerning. It's interesting as scientists/researchers/clinicians have hypothesising for months whether antibodies may not be long lasting or be the answer to squashing the virus. This was one of the reasons why the WHO were up in arms about the prospect of the UK pursuing the herd immunity tactic, as not only would it likely cause hundreds of thousands of preventable deaths but there was no evidence at the time to suggest that it would successfully muscle out the virus whatsoever.

Whilst the UK hasn't appropriately managed this crisis at all well, the latest findings show how devastating the situation could have gotten if our government's initial approach was left unchecked.
 
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Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
Yeah it definitely is concerning. It's interesting as scientists/researchers/clinicians have hypothesising for months whether antibodies may not be long lasting or be the answer to squashing the virus. This was one of the reasons why the WHO were up in arms about the prospect of the UK pursuing the herd immunity tactic, as not only would it likely cause hundreds of thousands of preventable deaths but there was no evidence at the time to suggest that it would successfully muscle out the virus whatsoever.

Whilst the UK hasn't appropriately managed this crisis at all well, the latest findings show how devastating the situation could have gotten if our government's initial approach was left unchecked.
Oh goody praise Johnson and his cronies for saving us all
 

SkyBlueCRJ

Well-Known Member
What a fuck up

still, so long as Dom can go on a bender, Boris ladddd!


This is the issue and why I think the re-opening of the pubs should've been postponed for another month. If the police can't enforce guidance, how does the government expect pub staff to ensure social distancing is adhered to after a few pints have been knocked back.
 

Johnnythespider

Well-Known Member
This is the issue and why I think the re-opening of the pubs should've been postponed for another month. If the police can't enforce guidance, how does the government expect pub staff to ensure social distancing is adhered to after a few pints have been knocked back.
Not sure I'd want to be working in that environment, is it table srevice only or will there be screens up around the bar
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
This is the issue and why I think the re-opening of the pubs should've been postponed for another month. If the police can't enforce guidance, how does the government expect pub staff to ensure social distancing is adhered to after a few pints have been knocked back.

I guess they would say that as people are ordering through an app, staff can easily decline to serve people after a certain point. We’re giving it a try next week.
 

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