Oldskyblue58 do you think they have a chance of getting a appeal through and if they do you think they can win or have any grounds to entitle them to compensation ?
And that last paragraph is what is some conveniently try to bury.Personally no I don't think they can succeed. However very often going to court is a 50:50 chance and I am not a lawyer. The judge didn't leave much doubt on Friday, and the SISU case seems set in what happened after the decision where as to succeed it needed to be set in what happen before or during the decision. JR is about process leading to the decision
Fundamentally they have a problem in trying to link a lease valuation of another entity to a decision that took place months before. They then have to prove proper process was not adopted leading up to the decision 07/10/2014.
In terms of valuation it is what it was worth to CCC at the date of the decision not what it later became worth to another company. They are not it seems challenging the share transaction, but the lease extension value given to ACL 2006. Could they earn from it in the next 40years - no, so that limits value to CCC. Its fairly basic & standard valuation techniques a lease is generally worth to you a multiple of what you can earn from it and if accepting a lump sum a net present value of those incomes,
The lease worth to Wasps is entirely different. What they can earn from it is considerably more than CCC over the next 40 years, even 250years. Wasps trade from it they sub let it they have a right to income from it.
A lease with Wasps in place long term has to be worth more than a lease with no sports team long term
I wonder, although perhaps giving SISU too much credit, if the idea here is not to win the case particularly but to shine a light on the current valuation of the lease. If KMPG valued it at £600K - 1m that contrasts sharply to the value Wasps currently place on it. If that current value gets queried given that it is security for the bonds could that not be an issue?
What did KMPG actually value? It reads to me like they've valued the freehold with the existing lease in place. That would be worth little as with the lease in place for the next 40 years how do you generate any income? The councils own funding document for the Ricoh build acknowledges that stating that the value of the freehold will rise as the lease draws to a close.
The worth to CCC Oct 2014 is not the same as the worth to Wasps now for all the reasons I have kept repeating. The security is based on two different valuations provided by independent expert valuers. Investors are not going to be looking at SISU say so when they have published evidence
KPMG valued two things
- the shares
- the lease extension - and yes based on what could be earnt from the lease given CCC had already earnt 21m
Personally no I don't think they can succeed. However very often going to court is a 50:50 chance and I am not a lawyer. The judge didn't leave much doubt on Friday, and the SISU case seems set in what happened after the decision where as to succeed it needed to be set in what happen before or during the decision. JR is about process leading to the decision
Fundamentally they have a problem in trying to link a lease valuation of another entity to a decision that took place months before. They then have to prove proper process was not adopted leading up to the decision 07/10/2014.
In terms of valuation it is what it was worth to CCC at the date of the decision not what it later became worth to another company. They are not it seems challenging the share transaction, but the lease extension value given to ACL 2006. Could they earn from it in the next 40years - no, so that limits value to CCC. Its fairly basic & standard valuation techniques a lease is generally worth to you a multiple of what you can earn from it and if accepting a lump sum a net present value of those incomes,
The lease worth to Wasps is entirely different. What they can earn from it is considerably more than CCC over the next 40 years, even 250years. Wasps trade from it they sub let it they have a right to income from it.
A lease with Wasps in place long term has to be worth more than a lease with no sports team long term
"Last Train To Transcentral" will not leave the Ricoh station until an hour after full timeShe's unjustified, she's ancient and she comes from moo moo land.
I wonder, although perhaps giving SISU too much credit, if the idea here is not to win the case particularly but to shine a light on the current valuation of the lease. If KMPG valued it at £600K - 1m that contrasts sharply to the value Wasps currently place on it. If that current value gets queried given that it is security for the bonds could that not be an issue?
What did KMPG actually value? It reads to me like they've valued the freehold with the existing lease in place. That would be worth little as with the lease in place for the next 40 years how do you generate any income? The councils own funding document for the Ricoh build acknowledges that stating that the value of the freehold will rise as the lease draws to a close.
The lease extension was valued at the 600k to 1m quoted. It was then down to the valuation being met.Is the issue that the lease extension had been agreed before the transaction? Was there not a council meeting to discuss this? KPMG valued a 41 year lease at 600k to 1m? Is the issue that they could/should have sold the lease to ACL prior to the sale to Wasps thus increasing it's value?
I wonder, although perhaps giving SISU too much credit, if the idea here is not to win the case particularly but to shine a light on the current valuation of the lease. If KMPG valued it at £600K - 1m that contrasts sharply to the value Wasps currently place on it. If that current value gets queried given that it is security for the bonds could that not be an issue?
What did KMPG actually value? It reads to me like they've valued the freehold with the existing lease in place. That would be worth little as with the lease in place for the next 40 years how do you generate any income? The councils own funding document for the Ricoh build acknowledges that stating that the value of the freehold will rise as the lease draws to a close.
I'm sure "with still no masterplan" is a line from that song too!She's unjustified, she's ancient and she comes from moo moo land.
Playing for time, to prolong things in the hope wasps default on their Bond ? I'm not sureThe court case is disturbing. One thing sisu are experienced at is arguing in court.
This was lame, lazy and was never going to be considered.
Going to court is clearly the motivating factor - not winning. Imagine if they won in principal but were granted no compensation.
Remaining on the battlefield is their only strategy and has been for a long time.
Playing for time, to prolong things in the hope wasps default on their Bond ? I'm not sure
But their performances in court thus far are so poor, you can only assume they are not
Really trying.
So if the court battles rumble on for as long as they can possibly push them, what sort Of timescaleThe strategy is just to remain in court whatever the outcome or Seppella has completely lost her direction - either way it doesn't bode well - and it's likely to be the former.
So if the court battles rumble on for as long as they can possibly push them, what sort Of timescale
do we think we are looking at before reaching some sort of conclusion, 3, 4 or more years, at which
point there is likely to be very little left of CCFC as a professional outfit.
TBC when I say conclusion I just mean completely exhausted, I don't believe they can win.
It was August 2013 when the initial hearing into JR1 took place. So on that basis if JR2 follows a similar timescale that will end around November 2020.So if the court battles rumble on for as long as they can possibly push them, what sort Of timescale
But who's going to collapse? Certainly not a City Council, it's not like they even haveIn terms of legal action they don't want to win. Want they want is everyone else to collapse and they are still standing. It's world war 1 trench warfare. Throw some wayward bombs but stay in the battle.
No one can seriously dispute this now.
Alright, a laptop enables me to type an anal response, that I hope to God is the end of thisQuite right. My mistake. Strange that it's in pretty much every news article covering the takeover though from the CET to the BBC.
The strategy is just to remain in court whatever the outcome or Seppella has completely lost her direction - either way it doesn't bode well - and it's likely to be the former.
If the aim was only to remain in court - presumably to annoy their opponents - then maybe Wasps or CCC or the court bring some action for wasting the court's time or malicious use of the court.
If the aim was only to remain in court - presumably to annoy their opponents - then maybe Wasps or CCC or the court bring some action for wasting the court's time or malicious use of the court.
The valuations have been for the same item but in a different condition. So the valuations will be different.What this whole episode demonstrates is that valuations are largely driven by the preferences of the person who is paying for the valuation. The firms providing the valuations are basically corrupt. And I say that as a former employee of KPMG.
Like consultants, can't help but feel they're paid to tell you what you want to hear!What this whole episode demonstrates is that valuations are largely driven by the preferences of the person who is paying for the valuation. The firms providing the valuations are basically corrupt. And I say that as a former employee of KPMG.
The valuations have been for the same item but in a different condition. So the valuations will be different.
We should all be able to remember Fisher constantly going on about getting an independent valuation of the arena when we were playing in Northampton. The arena had no tenant and no sign of one either. The arena was making a loss. So of course the valuation would have been a lot lower.
So a valuation was done. The valuation for ACL came to about 5.5m which included taking on the debt in place. SISU had already valued it as nothing....but would give Higgs 1m as they are a charity. They also didn't want to take on the debt secured on the lease. No problem here as something is only worth what someone is willing to pay. And to many SISU were the only ones that would be interested in the arena.
Then Wasps come along. They are happy with the valuation. They do what SISU don't. They negotiate. A valuation is done for a lease extension. But as the valuation for an empty stadium is low so is the valuation of the lease extension. They agree to pay the top valuation of 1m.
So Wasps take over CCC's half of the lease. SISU know their plan has gone disastrously wrong. They agree to bring our club home on a cheap rent. SISU put in a bid for the 50% belonging to Higgs. But it includes clauses. SISU say they want to work with Higgs. They want nothing to do with SISU. And anyway the deal is already done. So Wasps have 100% of ACL. So they then pay the top end of the lease extension valuation. They have a paying tenant. The arena has the best attendances since it was built. And it is being used by 2 clubs. F&B goes up. Car park revenues go up.
Time for another valuation. The last one was for an empty unused stadium making a loss. This one is for something totally different. Of course it would be for much more. Nothing corrupt.
Enter JR2. Wasps didn't pay enough allegedly. Yet they paid more than SISU were willing to pay. They paid more than anyone we know was willing to pay. They paid the top end of what it was valued at when empty.....as it was.
Depends what type of consultant you mean.Like consultants, can't help but feel they're paid to tell you what you want to hear!
It isn't down to Rhodri. It is down to his customer. And in JR1 they eventually found a judge who thought they might have a case. And the same might happen with JR2.Exactly what the judge said. SISU comparing apples with pears.
Tim saying he wouldn't have taken the Wasps deal because of the outstanding loan should have ended SISUs line of argument.
I would say that if goes further, someone should seriously question Rhodri as to why he allows his client to pursue this aggressive and excessive litigation which, even from our SBT knowledge, has no chance of success- unless someone has a smoking gun hidden away somewhere.
Consultants at work spring to mind. One place I used to be at many years ago, was having a big reorganisation, changing how we were constituted, and consultants wrote us a report saying this was the best way forward. TPTB then changed their minds, so we had some new consultants who, amazingly enough, ended up with a report telling us that no no no, we should stay as we were!Depends what type of consultant you mean.
Consultant fees are high. I have gone private for a bad wrist/hand injury. When I have an appointment that lasts about 10 to 15 minutes. It is to check the progress of my injury. The cost is £110 :jawdrop: But at least I normally get to hear what I don't want to hear :wideyed:
Had them same people in where I work. They normally come out with we have too many people doing a certain job. So it gets implemented. Then management want to know why production has gone down as the experts told them what was best. And those of us that have been doing the job for years don't know as much as them :banghead:Consultants at work spring to mind. One place I used to be at many years ago, was having a big reorganisation, changing how we were constituted, and consultants wrote us a report saying this was the best way forward. TPTB then changed their minds, so we had some new consultants who, amazingly enough, ended up with a report telling us that no no no, we should stay as we were!
To lay personit's the same with valuations and, tbf, signing accounts off as going concerns. 'Corrupt' is too strong as it's the general process, but you can't help but feel there are certain box ticking exercises. Of course the total, total basket cases would never get through as people have to justify themselves if it all goes pear shaped, but it's probably safe to say the extreme outliers can be pushed to the client's advantage.
Wasps (and SISU, for that matter!) know how to play the game.
It isn't down to Rhodri. It is down to his customer. And in JR1 they eventually found a judge who thought they might have a case. And the same might happen with JR2.
Who knows if he has told SISU that there isn't much chance of winning? After all he wanted to be able to change the grounds of JR2 as they went along in court.
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