Fixtures are almost irrelevant.
The table looks much better for us than it should only because Portsmouth had 10 points deducted and Forest went on a freak run of poor form. Forest averaged 1.17 ppg in the first half of the season, then averaged 0.38 ppg over the next 13. Then they played us and seem to be back on the rise.
I'm with Otis in assuming that Forest will now pull away. Millwall have a six-point lead on us and know how to get points away from home, so I'd bank on them being safe, getting results if needs be.
It comes down to having to best both Bristol City and Portsmouth. Considering that our strategy is currently based on winning most home games and getting nothing away from home, I think the writing's on the wall. Even the most hardened optimist ought to be able to see that such a strategy can only decline in effectiveness.