because it is
It's not though, is it?
Last season (as we can't count this season for obvious reasons), exactly half of the Championship teams averaged lower than 20k attendance.
Given our attendance history and everything that's happened over the last 15 years with a largely apathetic fan base, 18-20k is pitched spot on.
The two Wembley games are not indicative of what could get on a weekly basis (not that I'm saying you said that)...they're were likely classed as once in a lifetime games...albeit we've had two in 3 years.
It’s too small. 18k means 15k home seats after away fans, take out the JSBs/ family area/ VIP/ corporate bits/ press etc and you’ve got probably about 12,000 general sale home tickets.
There seems to be a mindset of “if you haven’t gone to games recently then fuck you, you can’t be in our special club- no outsiders allowed”. And I’m someone who clocks up about 20,000 miles to watch us season and I’ll have no issue getting a season ticket, so it’s not about fear of missing out.
Do you want to have it so that nobody can ever be attracted to come and watch us and become the fans of the future? That’s how it would be with a capacity that low, and don’t quote the “we could easily expand” line, it’s not that easy and it’s not cheap. There are many thousands who can talk about the first game they went to which made them supporters, I haven’t met too many yet who was lyrical about that time they watched iFollow and got hooked on the sights, sounds & feeling that a live game gives you.
Then that idea supports a stadium for our fan base. If you want to go and watch us play the Chelsea’s... then go and watch us against Rochdale. It helps maintain the average
I'm just pointing out the realism of the situation. There will be people who aren't that bothered about watching us, but want to watch Chelsea. Just as people will be more interested in seeing a winning team than one that isn't. Not saying it's right, just the way it is.
It's a balance. If we have it too big then it'll just feel soulless like the Ricoh. Too small then we don't maximise revenue.
The reality is that our highest average attendance since leaving the premier league is 21k. That was first year in the Ricoh when it was a novelty and was higher than the average during our premier league years.
ffs- the reality is also that since that time the club has been on an utter freefall, with zero to attract anyone to games apart from the hardcore fans and the insane.
You cannot use those seasons to predict anything with certainty.
Yeah 2 Wembley wins and a league win.
BUT WE WANT TO PLAY CHELSEA!!!!!!!!!!!!
This is the point, "Hardcore" or "insane" for going to matches when we aren't winning every week. That is just a football fan.
ffs- the reality is also that since that time the club has been on an utter freefall, with zero to attract anyone to games apart from the hardcore fans and the insane.
You cannot use those seasons to predict anything with certainty.
In the Championship I agree with your 24k figure (or at least 22k), but we need to show them it whether Ricoh or St. Andrews (not suggesting over 20k at St. Andrews but probably need to be averaging 12 - 15k).
The reality is that our highest average attendance since leaving the premier league is 21k. That was first year in the Ricoh when it was a novelty and was higher than the average during our premier league years.
In the Championship I agree with your 24k figure (or at least 22k), but we need to show them it whether Ricoh or St. Andrews (not suggesting over 20k at St. Andrews but probably need to be averaging 12 - 15k).
Their second season saw an average of 26,212 after ground expansion...Tbf Birmingham is hardly the place to show our potential in Coventry. Again, Brighton maybe better, pent up demand. Initial average at Falmer 20,003, highest attendance 21.5k, 1k off capacity (away fans?)
The average needs higher gates to be the average, of course.
Equally the club aren't just going to make assumptions over required capacity based on guesswork. They can only go off historical evidence which shows that for the past three decades 21-22k has been our peak average.That’s just not how it works “we need to show them”. The crowds are low because Brum is logistically harder than Cov for most Cov fans, not because fans need to fan harder.
It’s the clubs job to attract customers, not a customers moral obligation to attend.
Equally the club aren't just going to make assumptions over required capacity based on guesswork. They can only go off historical evidence which shows that for the past three decades 21-22k has been our peak average.
And on the point from your other post about attendances going up, are they? Championship average attendance has hovered around 17-18k for the past 20 years. It only really ever goes above that when either Villa or Newcastle are in the league and Leeds are having a good season.
Championship - Attendance figures
This statistic shows the attendance of the Championship of the 19/20 season. Clubs are listed by overall attendance descending.www.transfermarkt.co.uk
If Huddersfield and Brighton can do it...It was my impression they had. Clearly not I’m wrong. I still think you’d see citys averages higher than 15 k. We were above that every season in the Championship and over 20k in the Ricoh for several years. A new ground, a club on the up rather than spiralling down with admin and god know what else looming.
I stand by my statement that thinking we wouldn’t breach 20k upon promotion back to the Prem is ridiculously pessimistic. Going back twenty years and picking a slice out of history makes no more sense than going back to the 60s and claiming we need 35k.
So if it's sold out every week they won't have an issue in not being able to go?That’s just not how it works “we need to show them”. The crowds are low because Brum is logistically harder than Cov for most Cov fans, not because fans need to fan harder.
It’s the clubs job to attract customers, not a customers moral obligation to attend.
If we ignore the fact it's our club for a minute, if you were looking at this what would suggest that 20k currently with the opportunity to increase to 35k is too small?
View attachment 15993
The club will have far more data on ticket sales than we have. I know we like to think SISU are clueless but does anyone really think they're goi g to build a 15K stadium if the data tells them they can sell 25K tickets every week? People seem to have taken the lowest figure that was mention in a meeting months ago when we were in League One and decided that is what the capacity will be.Another thing to remember is that it's not just "games we would sell out" but how much by: games against Leeds when we were in good form got 27-28k. If you're shutting out 7-10k fans a few times a season you're losing money as well as disappointing fans.
The club will have far more data on ticket sales than we have. I know we like to think SISU are clueless but does anyone really think they're goi g to build a 15K stadium if the data tells them they can sell 25K tickets every week? People seem to have taken the lowest figure that was mention in a meeting months ago when we were in League One and decided that is what the capacity will be.
Even if everything goes perfectly we're looking at 5 seasons before any new stadium. Plenty of time to show the club the fans will turn up for Championship football.
That’s just not how it works “we need to show them”. The crowds are low because Brum is logistically harder than Cov for most Cov fans, not because fans need to fan harder.
It’s the clubs job to attract customers, not a customers moral obligation to attend.
So if it's sold out every week they won't have an issue in not being able to go?
If we ignore the fact it's our club for a minute, if you were looking at this what would suggest that 20k currently with the opportunity to increase to 35k is too small?
View attachment 15993
100% agree with this. The product is good at the moment, so hopefully that helps.
Yep. The club have been doing their part the last few years and it’s a shame that’s been tainted by the ground situation because I’d have expected an average of 14/15k last season.
Yep, that was roughly Dave Boddy's estimate from memory.
Well for starters they did hire Russell Slade, Andy Thorn, oversaw Northampton and led us into the current mess around grounds, and we could go on for a long time before even arriving at Ken Dulieu and ‘choose the subs by text’ proposals. There is a significant archive of horrendous blunders that they have built up over the last 13 years, I know that doesn’t go down well but, well, thems the facts.
And that leads us to now, where current thinking seems to be “we will fuck the club up and create huge divisions within the fanbase, oh and by the way unless you pack out whatever ground we decide to rock up at, we’ll build you a tiny ground because the figures show that the club has very few fans”.
However- you’re right, it’s not an issue right now.
You are however (again) ignoring the good will that the club has built over the last few years and their change in approach to the whole running of a football club. If it comes to 3 years time and we are mid/playoffs in the championship they will build a bigger capacity, if we aren't then they will not it's as simple as that.
You are stuck on the past and ignoring the good things that have happened over the last 3 years to make a judgement on what will happen in 5 years time. We as fans need to show that there is an appetite for a stadium bigger than 20k, realise (this time) it isn't the fault of the football club if we can't play on cov in the short term and look forward to the long-term when we have our own stadium that can be made bigger if the demand is there
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