First 15 games before injuries to our two strikers started....including losing the first game of the season W 9 D 3 L 3. Average of 2 points a game.
All league games so far this season
2 strikers W 12 D 6 L 5 =1.82 points a game
1 striker W 0 D 1 L 1 = 0.5 points a game
0 strikers W 1 D 1 L 2 = 1 point a game
So on the average we would have an extra 6 points.
A dodgy set of statistics - I would like to see a list of the games which you consider only had 1/0 strikers. You cannot write off facts just because they do not fit your narrative, e.g. Delfouneso is listed as a striker on
Aston Villa's own website.
And yes, it should come as no surprise that a point average drops if you lose a star player or two. It certainly happened with Dion and other talismen. Yet despite this, the team has continued to score (more on this below.)
You say it is all down to the defence. If we haven't got an outlet from midfield where can the ball go? Just wait for our opponents to get it back and attack us once again? So Craigus12, Lord, Robo, Weeman, Stu.........and Grendull who did his usual quote of 'Another one from the astute book of facts.' which was 'liked' by Mustard and Lord :thinking about: why is our defence worse when we have 1 or even 0 strikers if it isn't the fault of lack of strikers?
I don't know how much clearer I can make this for you.
Coventry now have an 86% chance of scoring in any game and a 17% chance of keeping a clean sheet.
Coventry have the 2nd best scoring record and the 4th worst defensive record.
I don't know how you can look at those facts and keep coming back to the strikeforce being the issue. And when I say 'strikeforce,' I may as well mean the goalscoring ability of the club.
You talk up the utopia of the first 15 games when we had a pair of healthy strikers. Well, in the time since then the team has still scored in 11 games out of 14, meaning they have a 78% chance of scoring ... but we have conceded goals in all 14 of those games, meaning they have had a 0% chance of keeping a clean sheet. 78% v. 0%. Think about that for a moment and then reconsider where the problem might be.
A few days ago I posted a message saying I didn't believe Coventry would reach the playoffs. Taking into account the games remaining, historical norms, required points, and seasonal form, it just didn't seem feasible. But this was not because we didn't have enough goal-scoring power - we don't just have the second best scoring record in the division, we have the joint second best scoring record in the entire Football League (that's 72 teams.) To go on about Cody McDonald's loss as being a dealbreaker ... christ. The reasons we won't make the playoffs are: 1) the 10 point deduction and 2) we have an open goal at the home end.