How much does the club worth now ? Why have they been no buyers as yet.
How much does the club worth now ? Why have they been no buyers as yet.
The value depends on SISU's view on the next court case. They must think that there is a possibility of a significant return....circa £20M+ if they win the case.I am sure SISU would love £15m CD but cant think of any reason why anyone rational would pay that much.
Otium bought CCFC Ltd assets for £1.5m including Golden share, some continuing contracts £466k and a rates rebate of around £400k I think . So half of that £1.5m no longer exists. To add to that you have the trademarks and the value of the current squad £2m? and the current use value of Ryton plus equipment & fittings owned in Otium - £450k. There may be some debtors/cash but they will be more than matched by the normal trade creditors I suspect. Not sure there is any current goodwill to add as a premium - if there is it is not much. If I were an investor I wouldn't touch it at that price of £15m. Not sure I see more than £3 m value for any prospective purchaser and they would still expect SISU/ARVO to take the hit on their loans & preference shares at any value. Then there is of course the additional working capital for any new owner to put in at any purchase price plus undertaking to the FL
Then you start talking discounts because no long term base to play or for the Academy, the poor history, the uncertain market, the disconnect with fans etc etc
I would think SISU would snatch their hands off at £15m and run away very quickly....... not going to happen in my opinion. If it did you would have to question the business acumen of the purchaser I think, because it might point to problems to come
The value depends on SISU's view on the next court case. They must think that there is a possibility of a significant return....circa £20M+ if they win the case.
Why ?
The club is Otium trading as CCFC. You do not need to buy SBS&L
Otium is not involved in JR1 and is named on JR2 only
JR2 hasn't started and seems to be dependent on success in JR1.
The JR's do not achieve any funds for SISU they would need to win those cases then take a claim for damages to court and that will be well north of £20m
To pay £20m for CCFC must mean that you buy the rights to the slim chance of success in court by continuing the action - why would you do that? Why would you want to spend all that time learning the case, employing barristers etc on the very small hope it might work? Why would SISU give that up?
Not at all certain that Otium or its assets being sold stops SISU from continuing the JR1 or even JR2. So any compensation claim would still be SISU/ARVO/SBS&L for loss on their investment during the time they owned it
Can you actually sell such compensation rights on, especially as Otium not part of JR1? Would you if you don't need to own CCFC anymore to make a claim?
The court case is not actually dependent on CCFC anymore so adds no value to CCFC - if it ever did
Investment wise then SISU's annual evaluation for ARVO & Sconset has to be £nil doesn't it?
Then everything I said in the first post still stands
Bottom line it is not for sale, and has very little value to a purchaser. SISU can want any figure they like but they wont get it unless there is perceived value to back it up - there isn't and having come this far then SISU wont let go the compensation rights