So who realistically are the teams left fighting for 5th and 6th (2 Viewers)

[Skybluedownunder]

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Thankfully Bristol & WBA have some tough fixtures


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[Skybluedownunder]

What’s the chances the arse fulls out of Sunderland and we sneak 4th?

If we would have beat Derby I’d have been inclined to say there’s a chance but now I don’t believe so


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[Terry_dactyl]

I’d be well happy (obviously) if everything stays as is.

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

I'm not so sure. Bristol City v WBA will be massive. I can see the winner of that joining us in the playoffs. As things stand a draw would be excellent for us.

If they get more 2 more points than us, fair play to them. Looking at their remaining games, there’s no easy games remaining for them.

Bristol don’t tend to travel well and away games at Burnley, QPR, Luton and Leeds… they will drop points.

 

[Evo1883]

The blue shows the PPG average of the teams they have left to play

 

[Lamps]

Important not to lose v Boro and WBA. Two draws fine, do that and we'll be in imo

I would like to think we would have our playoff place confirmed by the Middlesbrough game.

 

[SkyBlue_Bear83]

Suggest us and West Brom, Middlesbrough could sneak in ahead of one of us if they get there shit together.

 

[Lamps]

If they get more 2 more points than us, fair play to them. Looking at their remaining games, there’s no easy games remaining for them.

Bristol don’t tend to travel well and away games at Burnley, QPR, Luton and Leeds… they will drop points.

I agree with you. It's exactly what I have been saying myself. But after their game with Burnley the next 5, although not an easy run, are all winnable. Their harder games are at home until they play Leeds at the end of April.

We could do with Burnley giving them a pasting. Put the GD in our favour and get some kind of result in our game against Sheffield United.

 

[Captain Dart]

Based on yesterday I can see us beating a slightly creaky Sheff.Utd.
That for me would seal it.

They will beat us I think, they are fighting to secure automatic promotion.

 

[SBT]

No reason to fear any of the teams currently below us, or Sunderland obviously. Whoever finishes third would be a formidable test over two legs, but they'd also have to dust themselves off after missing out on promotion, so there's that.

We hopefully have 11 games left, and if we win the last three then we're promoted. This run has been extraordinary, and I think the players still have more to give, but can we do it again?

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

I agree with you. It's exactly what I have been saying myself. But after their game with Burnley the next 5, although not an easy run, are all winnable. Their harder games are at home until they play Leeds at the end of April.

We could do with Burnley giving them a pasting. Put the GD in our favour and get some kind of result in our game against Sheffield United.

There’s every chance we could beat Sheff U or Burnley. They’ll obviously be difficult games but we go into the Sheff U game in as the in-form team in the league. I’d be happy with 2 draws but if we score first in either game, I’d back us to win.

Last season, we beat Leeds and Leicester but lost every other game against the teams around us!

 

[Adge]

We also play WBA at the CBS which could be a huge game

Yep-this one could be pivotal.

 

[fernandopartridge]

Can't see anyone below Boro at this point, although I think Boro themselves are also pretty shite and will fall away.
I don't think a great deal of WBA or my pre season dark horses Bristol City, but both are tough to beat and thus probably more suited to running the course.
I think we're a better team than both as it happens but we need to prove it.

Middlesbrough looked very fortunate to get a draw at Luton who missed two or three decent chances. It's hard to see them putting a decent run together, but, they do have some decent attacking players so not ruling them out yet. Anybody below them I think are too far away.

 

[Robinshio]

wednesday now out of it
2 from 4

if we beat WBA I think it is then 8 points from the other 7 games of which 5 are very winnable and would not rule us out of the other 2

Before yesterday (us and other teams) I thought it was 50/50 Now Im more with the bookies at 80/20

 

[clint van damme]

The blue shows the PPG average of the teams they have left to play View attachment 42090

Where'd you get this from Evo?
I'm assuming it's available for all teams?

 

[fernandopartridge]

If they get more 2 more points than us, fair play to them. Looking at their remaining games, there’s no easy games remaining for them.

Bristol don’t tend to travel well and away games at Burnley, QPR, Luton and Leeds… they will drop points.

They've got four very winnable home games

 

[Evo1883]

Where'd you get this from Evo?
I'm assuming it's available for all teams?

Championship run-in analysis

English Championship stats

www.soccerstats.com

 

[Robinshio]

They've got four very winnable home games

really
watford / wba / sunderland/ preston
if we had those 4 at home together with their away games we would be thinking 11 points would be a good return

 

[procdoc]

For me that’s Wednesday out of it now

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

They've got four very winnable home games

Their home form is impressive and has been for a long time but even they beat the likes of Sunderland and WBA, it does us no harm because we’re in competition with those teams too.

Watford, WBA, Sunderland and PNE are not easy games. Besides, it’s their away form that generally lets them down and at this stage of the season they probably can’t afford to win-lose. They’ve won one away game this side of the new year.

 

[Robinshio]

Their home form is impressive and has been for a long time but even they beat the likes of Sunderland and WBA, it does us no harm because we’re in competition with those teams too.

Watford, WBA, Sunderland and PNE are not easy games. Besides, it’s their away form that generally lets them down and at this stage of the season they probably can’t afford to win-lose. They’ve won one away game this side of the new year.

it is 36 points from 19 - only the top 4 better
Only 1 other team as good - now who may they be ???? #pusb

 

[bigfatronssba]

I love that we're doing this.

This is the first time I can ever remember that we're running down the clock to see if we get there. This is something that happens to other clubs, not us.

Even the year we got there it was a case of chasing the "big clubs", now its us being one of them and cementing our position

 

[SBT]

There’s every chance we could beat Sheff U or Burnley. They’ll obviously be difficult games but we go into the Sheff U game in as the in-form team in the league. I’d be happy with 2 draws but if we score first in either game, I’d back us to win.

Last season, we beat Leeds and Leicester but lost every other game against the teams around us!

I wouldn't fancy playing Burnley over two legs. Their ability to shut a game down would be absolutely toxic to us.

 

[Gynnsthetonic]

Anyone below Middlesbrough has gone in my opinion. Games running out, there's 2 in a week after the international break then 2 over Easter. We'll be in a situation soon where only 3 teams can catch us

 

[play_in_skyblue_stripes]

I love that we're doing this.

This is the first time I can ever remember that we're running down the clock to see if we get there. This is something that happens to other clubs, not us.

Even the year we got there it was a case of chasing the "big clubs", now its us being one of them and cementing our position

We can at last count ourselves as being a big club again. We might only be in level two but
definitely one of the major clubs in this division. Attendances prove this. Currently 5th highest at home but chasing down Sheffield United 4th rapidly.

 

[Balli001]

They've got four very winnable home games

Even then we would only need to win half of our games to stay ahead

 

[fernandopartridge]

Even then we would only need to win half of our games to stay ahead

I mean tbf a 50% win rate although a regression from the last 12 games is greater than our last 15 and obviously better than a long term historical norm.

 

[Lamps]

Anyone below Middlesbrough has gone in my opinion. Games running out, there's 2 in a week after the international break then 2 over Easter. We'll be in a situation soon where only 3 teams can catch us

It wouldn't take much to pull clear. Win our next game and there's a good chance of making a 5 point gap to 7th as they are playing Burnley away.

 

[skyblue_55]

Would we take a point from both Sheff Utd & Burnley before hand ?
Wilder is an arrogant manager & Parker has the most boring team in the division.
We have now got Hadji back & although 2 main midfielders are still out , we have enough to cause any team problems & I think it’s about time other clubs started to worry about us for a change .
The league’s in form team & getting consistent results , wins not draws , to keep us in 5th position .
CTID

 

[robbiethemole]

I can only see Baggies,Brizzle and us for the last 2 places and yesterday will have put a marker down about our credentials.

 

[Lamps]

Would we take a point from both Sheff Utd & Burnley before hand ?
Wilder is an arrogant manager & Parker has the most boring team in the division.
We have now got Hadji back & although 2 main midfielders are still out , we have enough to cause any team problems & I think it’s about time other clubs started to worry about us for a change .
The league’s in form team & getting consistent results , wins not draws , to keep us in 5th position .
CTID

2 hardest games left? Yes I'd take 2 points right now. That would be 5 points from Sunderland, Sheffield United and Burnley. That's nearly 2 points a game average. Good chance it would keep us in the top 6 with easier games to come.

 

[napolimp]

Bristol City don't have a single nice looking tie left on paper, except maybe Preston at home on the final day. Luton could be fighting tooth and nail for survival. Wouldn't want to have their fixture list.

 

[South Of The River]

Alright me luvs.

I gotta be honest, I didn’t think either of us would be in the play off conversation when we played each other at your place a little while ago, but here we are! Exciting isn’t it though? Fair play to you lot, you’re on some run.

Our fixtures do look tasty but I’m hoping Leeds and Sunderland won’t have anything to play for by the time we play them. Sunderland are already looking ahead to be fair. WBA at home for us looks massive and our home record has been pretty good this season.

Wouldn’t mind seeing us both make it

 

[Robinshio]

Alright me luvs.

I gotta be honest, I didn’t think either of us would be in the play off conversation when we played each other at your place a little while ago, but here we are! Exciting isn’t it though? Fair play to you lot, you’re on some run.

Our fixtures do look tasty but I’m hoping Leeds and Sunderland won’t have anything to play for by the time we play them. Sunderland are already looking ahead to be fair. WBA at home for us looks massive and our home record has been pretty good this season.

Wouldn’t mind seeing us both make it

wouldnt be the 1st time we have shaken hands on a result

 

[Paxman II]

Looking at the fixtures, we can afford to lose one of Burnley or Sheff utd. Think Middlesboro' are the team that might sneak it based on them WBrom and Bristol fixtures. Think we will get 15 points without too much trouble unless we fall apart. That's around the 74 point mark and should be good enough. There is even a possibility at this stage Leeds could be a play off team!
Likely Sheff or Burnley and we play both of them next so we can get an early idea of how to handle them.