We have 14 games left. We need to amass something like 26-28 points to make the playoffs. In our last 14 games our tally was 27 points. Improbable? To simply repeat our points haul from the last 14 games. Really?
To elaborate on why this is very unlikely...
1. Over the past couple of decades, 74 points or fewer has been good for a playoff spot around 25% of the time. So generally speaking, we have a 1 in 4 chance of your points goal being the threshold.
2. Yes, CCFC have got 27 points in the last 14 games. It has been a great run that has yielded a clip of 1.92 points per game. The team at the top of the table, Bournemouth, have an average of 1.81 points per game. So we have to maintain form for a considerable period of time that is way, way beyond what even the table-toppers are achieving. And even if CCFC continue that terrific run of form, it would only take them to 74 points which, as we know, is rarely enough for a playoff spot.
So - very unlikely. A nominal chance. I wish it weren't so, but the start to the season is a weight around the ankles.