Well tell him to get out.All these projections are based on past performance but there is no guarantee that future results will reflect that.
That's the accountant in me speaking.
don't you mean 'when'?I think if we win our next two games, the title is ours.
I'm too lazy, can you update this pleaseRight, I've gone through all the remaining fixtures and mapped them for the current top 6.
Normal is home game
Italics away game
Red are against other top 6 teams
Blue are games against current bottom 6
We will catch up with Rotherham with games in hand after the Wycome game on 24th March.
View attachment 14253
Updated. 03/03/20
I'm too lazy, can you update this please
Or putting it less succinctly, if we play like Southend for our last 10 games and average one point every two games, we should finish 8th= with Sunderland on 72 points. If we can manage one point a game like Wimbledon, we should finish second behind Rotherham on 77 points. If we can manage just over a point a game, like Rochdale, MK or Accrington we should finish 2nd to Rotherham, equal on 78 points but with a worse GD. If we can average 1.3 points per game, like Blackpool or Bristol Rovers have done, we end up champions, two points clear of Rotherham on 80 points. This will all depend on all teams continuing to accumulate points at the same rate they have done so far.polish you're dancing shoes, we're pissing the league. Hope that's succinct enough?
Or putting it less succinctly, if we play like Southend for our last 10 games and average one point every two games, we should finish 8th= with Sunderland on 72 points. If we can manage one point a game like Wimbledon, we should finish second behind Rotherham on 77 points. If we can manage just over a point a game, like Rochdale, MK or Accrington we should finish 2nd to Rotherham, equal on 78 points but with a worse GD. If we can average 1.3 points per game, like Blackpool or Bristol Rovers have done, we end up champions, two points clear of Rotherham on 80 points. This will all depend on all teams continuing to accumulate points at the same rate they have done so far.
Now, if they all finish the season with 1.97 points* for their remaining games (which they won't!), and we start to perform like Southend (0.54 points per game) we would finish ninth, behind Doncaster, but still three points above Gillingham and four above Ipswich. (*1.97 is our points per game at present, 0.20 points better than Rotherham in second place)
If all teams average 2 pts a game for the rest of the season (which no team has managed so far, not even the mighty Sky Blues!) we should need to perform like Burton, Ipswich or Gillingham have so far to be champions, a point clear of Rotherham. If we only perform like Blackpool or Bristol Rovers have this season we will still get automatic promotion. But with every other team getting two points a game for the rest of the season, we shall just miss out on the play offs if we only perform as well as Wimbledon have done so far. No need to worry though, only one or two teams at the most will pick up an average of two points a game for their remaining fixtures. That means if the remaining teams continue to pick up points only at the same rate they are doing at present, we shall at least make the play offs, even if we perform only as well as Wimbledon have done so far. If we can perform as well as Bristol Rovers have done so far, we make the autos.
And if any team is going to average 2 points a game for their remaining fixtures, we must be favourites.
Is that succfcint enough.
But we don't, I presume you mean.What about if they take the form of the last ten games into the final ten rather than the form of the entire season?
But we don't, I presume you mean.
Yeah. Thinking specifically of Oxford who I saw are on a five game (at least) winning streak. I’d imagine their recent form is significantly better than their overall.
updated ^^^Right, I've gone through all the remaining fixtures and mapped them for the current top 6.
Normal is home game
Italics away game
Red are against other top 6 teams
Blue are games against current bottom 6
We will catch up with Rotherham with games in hand after the Wycome game on 24th March.
View attachment 14380
Updated. 11/03/20
Top manupdated ^^^
added goal difference to it as well
They are already.The weekend we play Lincoln is huge for the others. If we win that others coukd be almost out of the running on the same day.
I'm not so sure it's ideal. I consider Ipswich out of it now and they still have to play some of our contenders, so I'd prefer them to be putting a strong side out.Alan Judge out for the season. Ipswich's woes continue. Can only be a good thing for us and the others in the chasing pack.
I'm not so sure it's ideal. I consider Ipswich out of it now and they still have to play some of our contenders, so I'd prefer them to be putting a strong side out.
That seems to be a very pessimistic simulation.Sky sports fm simulation has us 3 rd
Sky sports fm simulation has us 3 rd
How????!!!!Sky sports fm simulation has us 3 rd
Did they do Championship?Sky sports fm simulation has us 3 rd
How????!!!!
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