IrishSkyBlue
Facebook User
This going to be interesting, its in our hands keep winning with a few results going our way a draw between wycombe and notts be good for us.
The Run In (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter IrishSkyBlue
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Londonccfcfan
Well-Known Member
I like that chart of run in.This going to be interesting, its in our hands keep winning with a few results going our way a draw between wycombe and notts be good for us.
Colin Steins Smile
Well-Known Member
There are numerous permutations ready to come into play here, but I think that if we could get to over 84 points, that could give us a chance of automatic promotion. I'd welcome others views on this. We still have a chance!
steve cooper
Well-Known Member
Notts C found to their cost yesterday how difficult games involving teams fighting relegation can be. Of our remaining fixtures only 2 teams are genuinely fighting for something, Notts C & Lincoln are currently the only teams we play with a realistic chance of the playoffs, Newport & Crawley still have a mathematical although slim chance, and the remaining games are against mid to lower table teams who are not threatened with the relegation fight, and not likely to be.
bawtryneal
Well-Known Member
All 5 teams fighting for third spot are at home last game of season
Luton and Accrington both with tough away games. Luton at Notts County
Luton and Accrington both with tough away games. Luton at Notts County
steve cooper
Well-Known Member
Without bothering to look at Luton & Accrington, its looking to me like:This going to be interesting, its in our hands keep winning with a few results going our way a draw between wycombe and notts be good for us.
Wycombe 82 points
Notts C 78 points
Exeter 80 points
Mansfield 78 points
6 wins required by us to have any realistic chance of autos I think, and possibly a draw as well unless we can rack up at least a couple of 3-0 wins
Terry_dactyl
Well-Known Member
This going to be interesting, its in our hands keep winning with a few results going our way a draw between wycombe and notts be good for us.
Nice. I’ve saved that and will be probably looking at it on the hour, every hour until we’re all sorted.
IrishSkyBlue
Facebook User
To me for most teams next 3 games are crucial and will give a better picture and outcome for where we are we just need keep winning.
Otis
Well-Known Member
No, no, no, no!!!! Grendel has spoken and says it has to be a Notts County win.This going to be interesting, its in our hands keep winning with a few results going our way a draw between wycombe and notts be good for us.
He says we definitely want Notts County to win and that it's vital Notts County win.
Please keep to the script!
Otherwise, cheers for the clarity.
skybluesam66
Well-Known Member
so I have it like this (but as you can see 3 points would split 3-7)
Accrington 91
Luton 88
Wycombe 82
N county 78
Exeter 83
Mansfield 80
Coventry 81 Playing Wycombe in the play offs.
I didnt even look, but very similar to what Steve Cooper has
Accrington 91
Luton 88
Wycombe 82
N county 78
Exeter 83
Mansfield 80
Coventry 81 Playing Wycombe in the play offs.
I didnt even look, but very similar to what Steve Cooper has
Otis
Well-Known Member
Yep, that's pretty much as I have it too. 6 wins and draw I think will be enough.
Tough ask though to win 6 out of 8 and only lose 1.
Let's just keep ticking them off one game at a time.
Otis
Well-Known Member
You may well be right, but Notts County have been one of the best teams right up until recently and there is always the possibility that beating Wycombe, who have the best away record in the league might just give them that renewed boost.
There is no guarantee we will overtake them, but are much likely to do so if they continue to slump. A win for them against Wycombe might just give them the shot in the arm they are looking for.
For me the key is for all teams above to drop points wherever possible.
I think it is also much better for us to be above Notts County when we come to play them. They win on Friday that may well not be the case, the difference being when we come to play them if we are above them a draw will probably suffice. If we are behind them we may feel we have to win.
We can catch Wycombe over 8 games.
Speedies_Chips
Well-Known Member
See it, say it, sorted.
It is hard to see that both Luton and Accrington won't both achieve automatic promotion, and they are both guaranteed at the very worst a play off spot. I think people are overlooking the threat from both Lincoln and Swindon, especially Swindon who have a very favourable run in,the only top team they face is Accrington on the final day who may already be up by then. If Lincoln can beat Exeter on Friday they will be right back in the mix.
To me there are 7 teams chasing 5 spots, and at this moment it is hard to see which 2 teams will miss out.
To me there are 7 teams chasing 5 spots, and at this moment it is hard to see which 2 teams will miss out.
Otis
Well-Known Member
I agree and agree on Swindon, which is why I was quite happy in some ways with Exeter beating them on Saturday. The more points behind us the better and that defeat kept them from keeping parity.
I am concerned about both Lincoln and Swindon, but at the same time it is now about what WE do as a team and as long as we keep getting positive results we will stay above both.
skybluesam66
Well-Known Member
you would say the same looking at our fixtures
Many managers have said we are in the best 3 teams in the division
Out of the remaining games, only Notts County away "should" be a problem - but with 4000 of the SBA who knows
We have 8 winnable games . We need to win a minimum of 6 - and for the play offs probably 4
Londonccfcfan
Well-Known Member
Yes definitely first choice would be a draw, close call second place id want Notts win.
If only because that reduces the forecast likely 3rd place points finish possible.
Otis
Well-Known Member
Yep. Spot on that.
Londonccfcfan
Well-Known Member
Cheltenham are currently on fire at the moment, and their ground was never an going to an easy fixture before their good run.
Otis
Well-Known Member
They draw, that's 2 points less they both can achieve as their final totals
Liquid Gold
Well-Known Member
If we get two of the required wins this weekend then I might start to believe.
Otis
Well-Known Member
Same here.
I do think having to win 6 out of 8 is a bridge too far, but win the next 2 and that requirement then comes down to 4 wins needed and it will look a lot more doable.
Plus inflict a bit of phsychological damage right now not further down the line . Yes Otis I disagree too ,purely on the basis Wycombe best case scenario of nominal 5 wins allows us 1defeat.
Add a Draw at County and we can't ,you have prrdicted we are likely to lose one.
Londonccfcfan
Well-Known Member
if we win all 8 remaining games (which we wont do) that would give fair shout of winning the league or definitely finishing 2nd!
88 points is still 14 points away from where Luton are now. and they have only 7 games. so they will still need 2ppg to get near 88 points!
Otis
Well-Known Member
Yep. I think may well lose 1 on the way.
Londonccfcfan
Well-Known Member
The more I think about it..........
Otis
Well-Known Member
But we have 8 games left. 6 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat.
That gives us 83 points.
I can see Wycombe drawing a few. Notts County, Lincoln, Chesterfield, to name but 3.
Londonccfcfan
Well-Known Member
We did say winning 10/11 from last 14 was too much of an ask. but we are on course. having won 4 and drawn 2 of last 6.
6 from 8 I think will almost guarantee 3rd place with a good goal difference. (Really hoping Wycombe lose or draw vs Notts).
Otis
Well-Known Member
Yep. Draw first, but would then take a County win. We don't want a Wycombe win.
Yes Swindon's next 4 fixtures are Morecombe h, Crawley a, Carlisle h, and Yeovil h. All those games they will probably start favourites to win. After that they still have Grimsby at home to come hopefully they will slip up in one of these matches.