Look the finances are not great have never said differently and still of that opinion. But you are applying the ccfc context to wasps and the two are not in the same situation.
There is no relegation for wasps so thats not going to hit them for at least 3 seasons, good chance never will.
The bond refinance I would think has just got a bit easier in some respects
- every business expects bad results following covid so 2021 results expected to be bad, but grants received will show as a profit and will help. But for reasons below 2022 onwards should improve.
- the business has diverse sources of income
- major costs are being brought down eg cheaper players
- no relegation
- the major asset has probably gone back up in value due to things like ccfc returning
- the deal with ccfc is more commercial than before and more activity.
- the deal with delaware gives wasps a bigger share of stadium event incomes
- the risk of legal action appears to have receded
- business partners investing infrastructure
- rugby side has it own elite base
-stadium now sponsored long term
- ccfc now contribute to stadium overheads
- better deals with suppliers due increased activity
Not an exhaustive lists but you get the picture.
Wasps have always known from day 1 that profits would not repay the bonds. Investors will like all of the above. Refinancing doesn't mean paying it all off it could be simply replacing
Interest rates are low and there are lots of ways to raise finance. Wasps now have a track record no matter how bad it got of paying the interest of 6.5% pa. That's a positive to the financing, shave off a percent or two and that significantly affects the finances. But it doesn't have to be loans or bonds or could be a mix of things
When ccfc dropped through the Leagues because amongst other things, costs too big, no other income sources, no major assets other than players, other clubs preyed on ccfc because we were desperate and transfer fees squeezed, no large central distributions due to league level, fans issues etc Not really the same at all
Perversely success for ccfc is good for wasps and costs them nothing for 10 years.
Still don't see wasps or ccfc going bust any time soon. Both are not out of the financial pit yet though, both have very different options.