We are 7 points off with 30 to play for!
And you need to look at it from the outside, not from within I'm afraid. With the Sky Blue tinted spectacles.
31 points lost from winning positions.
Only 5 home wins out of 18 games.
4 home defeats on the trot.
I remember the same statements again and again before home games.
'The play-offs are on, but this Crewe game is a must win.'
We lose.
'The play-offs are still on, but this Yeovil game is a must win.'
We lose.
'The play-offs are still on, but this Swindon game is a must win.'
We lose.
We now need to win SEVEN out of TEN. We only have FIVE away games left. If we win all of those we still need to win two home games too.
People are already saying It's only Colchester and It's only Hartlepool. Well, it was only Carlisle and only Bury and only Scunthorpe and only Crewe.
I bet Colchester and Hartlepool are rubbing their hands with glee at the prospect of coming here.
Mathematically possible, yes, of course, but I would rate our chances as very, very, very slim indeed.
There are now 8 teams ahead of us and a further 3 that can overtake us with their games in hand.
Sorry. Yesterday was a game we dare not lose and pretty much a must win.
We are 7 points behind and 5 of the 6 teams in the top 6 have a game in hand on us too. 7 points behind means us making up 3 wins, or 2 wins and 2 draws while at least one other team completely falters and fails to win a single point and other teams falter too.
In the words of John Lennon, 'The dream is over.'
We need to keep going til the fat lady sings of course, but it now needs nothing short of a miracle to achieve a top 6 place.