Villa won't go down because the teams below won't pick up enough points.
Tried to look at run ins with a level head, ignoring Portsmouth/Doncaster who are virtually down.
Peterborough (currently 48 points) - Leeds (L), SAINTS (D), WATFORD (W), Derby (L) = finish on 52 points
Millwall (47) - LEICESTER (D), Coventry (L), Ipswich (L), BLACKPOOL (D) = 49
Barnsley (47) - CARDIFF (D), Hull (L), Bristol C (L), BRIGHTON (D) = 49
Notts Forest (46) - BLACKPOOL (L), Reading (L), Hull (D), PORTSMOUTH (W) = 50
Bristol (43) - Birmingham (L), WEST HAM (D), BARNSLEY (W), Burnley (D) = 48
Therefore we need 9 points from our last four. Cannot see us winning at Southampton. Therefore we have to win the next three games or we are down IMO. Unfortunately my head rules my heart.
If the gap is not cut on Saturday I'm starting to plan for next season.