The EU "divorce bill"
The conclusion is that opinion is divided and the legal arguments are not tested. But you say we owe nothing. Who are we to believe?
The conclusion of what? The link you put up states this
'The divorce bill is not binding until parliament approves the withdrawal agreement'.
In the link I provided it said the majority, but not all of the legal people say that it can't be held up by law. So a few say it can.
We have agreed to pay our liabilities up to when the latest EU budget ends. That is in 2020. The plan is to leave in 2019. Remind me how much we put into the EU each year. Then IF it ended up in a court of law and IF it was decided that we still had to pay our liabilities they would still have to show what our liabilities are. As I also stated we have also agreed to help fund the ECB. Can you explain to me how that comes up to 39b?
So yes it is certainly in the best interests of the EU to come to an agreement on trade and everything that comes with it. This is on top of the jobs it would safeguard in the EU. As you know Germany isn't as strong as people think. We can debate this if you want to do it honestly. Italy is in trouble as we all know. A lot of Italians rely on us. A no deal would make the situation worse in Italy. A lot of the North of France relies on trade between the EU and UK. This is on top of the jobs elsewhere in France that relies on us. And as we all know things are not good in France at the moment. Macron has had to give in and give to the poor. He gave to the rich and hit the poor previously. They are now in danger of not hitting financial targets set by the EU. Not normally a problem but this has changed because what is going on between the EU and Italy.
And before you say your normal comments this isn't biased comments. This is how it is. Yes the EU has held the upper hand. But just about nobody wants the deal offered to May by the EU. You also can't deny this.
And I still say the same as I have been saying for a couple of years. The EU wants to do what they can to keep us in the EU. They need our money to keep their project going. This is including what we have to give them each year as well as the jobs our trade provides. So I see them as either relenting close to the date we leave or we leave without a deal.
You have seen the comments that Tusk has made. He was in charge of Poland when their people lost their life savings in a ponzi scheme that he did nothing about. His son was involved in it. And he says they won't fight to keep Poland in the EU lime they are fighting to keep us in. This is without mentioning yet another one at the top of the EU with skeletons in the closet.
So put all this together and if you are honest you will understand why I say I don't have a clue which way all this will go.
So a quick roundup.
The EU is trying to make us stay in the EU. It may still work. Yes you have the areas like City of London and Brighton that voted 70% to 75% to remain in the EU. But the vast majority of areas in England voted to leave including Coventry which was 55.6% against 44.4% leave. Yes you do have Scotland where every area voted remain. But the Tories and Labour don't have seats at risk like they do in England to go against the people.
Then you have this people's vote thing. It is as if they are saying that the people didn't vote last time. The call is mainly led by rich self important people.
Yes many of us are better off with us staying in the EU. But you need to consider that many of us are not better off staying in the EU.