The Final Run In (6 Viewers)

[Sky Blue Pete]

For Sunderland to get 88 points they need to win 10 and draw 1 of their last 12 games.
Rotherham need to with 9 and draw 1 of 12 games
We need to win 9 and draw 1 of 13 games

if we all do that we deserve to go up automatically.

If Sunderland lose tonight they have to go unbeaten to the end of the season

And because of that I think 84 is still sensible for automatics and that’s 8 wins out of 13 for us and 8 wins out of 12 for Rotherham and 9 out of 12 for Sunderland

For instance Peterborough to reach 84 need to win 10 out of 11

 

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[hill83]

Not even nervous

 

[covcity4life]

League One - Table calculator

one for you all to try
I had us 2nd on 85 points

you have to go back to previous weeks, to find the games that were initially postponed

1 Coventry City 44 23 18 3 67:41 26 87
2

Rotherham United 44 25 11 8 83:43 40 86
3

Sunderland AFC 44 24 13 7 69:36 33 85
4

Peterborough United 44 25 8 11 92:47 45 83
5

Portsmouth FC 44 24 10 10 69:43 26 82
6

Wycombe Wanderers 44 22 13 9 59:48 11 79


Thats with us drawing rotheram Sunderland,gills,ipswhich,pboro and oxford

So 6 draws and 7 wins

 

[Philosoraptor]

Can you expand some of these as they go out focus on phone screens.

They all fit nicely on an iPad. I don't have the means to measure a phone screen.

 

[shmmeee]

I think we’ll lose 2/3 more by the end of the season. Which will still be something like a club record for fewest defeats.

 

[Ricketts]

How do you lose two thirds of a game?

 

[wingy]

They all fit nicely on an iPad. I don't have the means to measure a phone screen.

Ha thanks I've figured it out
Are we missing the one where it indicates the 3 ,scenarios based on the.?xg

 

[Magwitch]

For Sunderland to get 88 points they need to win 10 and draw 1 of their last 12 games.
Rotherham need to with 9 and draw 1 of 12 games
We need to win 9 and draw 1 of 13 games

if we all do that we deserve to go up automatically.

If Sunderland lose tonight they have to go unbeaten to the end of the season

And have to play Rotherham last match.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

And have to play Rotherham last match.

So let’s make sure we’re not 2 points behind both on the last day

 

[BornSlippySkyBlue]

So let’s make sure we’re not 2 points behind both on the last day

My son and I were discussing scenarios last night and we decided this was what we didn’t want. Imagine them only needing a draw to both get promoted. Ha ha.

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

And us

And have to play Rotherham last match.

 

[Philosoraptor]

Ha thanks I've figured it out
Are we missing the one where it indicates the 3 ,scenarios based on the.?xg

Nothing to do with xG. Not a big fan of xG to be honest. My philosophy has always been that every position within a game has its own uniqueness. Whilst xG measures against trends, I'm a great believer in looking for the uniqueness in every position which increases the chances to win.

Zero sum and all that.

Whilst football is not zero sum by the nature of the game I would believe it has many characteristics of a zero sum game.

One side has the ball so they have the potential to attack and visa versa etc.

xG just seems to be a way to ground a beginning of what I would call an end game database by measuring a shots scoring potential etc.

Could be wrong though.

 

[RegTheDonk]

I for one am not talking about Oxford

Or Ipswich or Portsmouth or Fleetwood or Peterborough or Sunderland or Wycombe or Rotherham

I admire your balls.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

My son and I were discussing scenarios last night and we decided this was what we didn’t want. Imagine them only needing a draw to both get promoted. Ha ha.

Thing is if we were in that position we’d all have nothing against it. Let’s not give them the chance

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

I admire your balls.

Admire what?

 

[wingy]

Nothing to do with xG. Not a big fan of xG to be honest. My philosophy has always been that every position within a game has its own uniqueness. Whilst xG measures against trends, I'm a great believer in looking for the uniqueness in every position which increases the chances to win.

Zero sum and all that.

Whilst football is not a zero sum by the nature of the game I would believe it has many characteristics of a zero sum game.

One side has the ball so they have the potential to attack and visa versa etc.

xG just seems to be a way to ground a beginning of what I would call an end game database.

Yeah you usually indicate win draw defeat numbers that will effect the current 1705.
So what's up for grabs?

 

[stupot07]

For Sunderland to get 88 points they need to win 10 and draw 1 of their last 12 games.
Rotherham need to with 9 and draw 1 of 12 games
We need to win 9 and draw 1 of 13 games

if we all do that we deserve to go up automatically.

If Sunderland lose tonight they have to go unbeaten to the end of the season

To be fair all 3 of us have won 9, drawn 2 and lost 1 of our last 12 games. Your above Scenario is not beyond the realms of realistic expectations

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

To be fair all 3 of us have won 9, drawn 2 and lost 1 of our last 12 games. Your above Scenario is not beyond the realms of realistic expectations

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk

True

 

[Philosoraptor]

Yeah you usually indicate win draw defeat numbers that will effect the current 1705.
So what's up for grabs?

Rotherham is kind of interesting. They had a weighting on (1500) at the start of the season because they were new to the division. Also, given that they haven't drawn many games it's probably the one team which the system measures less accurately.

 

[Londonccfcfan]

1 Coventry City 44 23 18 3 67:41 26 87
2

Rotherham United 44 25 11 8 83:43 40 86
3

Sunderland AFC 44 24 13 7 69:36 33 85
4

Peterborough United 44 25 8 11 92:47 45 83
5

Portsmouth FC 44 24 10 10 69:43 26 82
6

Wycombe Wanderers 44 22 13 9 59:48 11 79


Thats with us drawing rotheram Sunderland,gills,ipswhich,pboro and oxford

So 6 draws and 7 wins

I like how we win it with 87 points. 87 is unlucky for some. But a lucky number for us!

 

[Gazolba]

You can't assume games against lower-level teams will necessarily be easier.
The teams at the bottom will be scrapping to avoid relegation, which is just as much an incentive as trying to make the play-offs.
I still think our lack of goal-scoring could come back to bite us.
Sunderland are going to force their way into the top two, so we need to keep pace with them and Rotherham.

 

[ccfcricoh]

You can't assume games against lower-level teams will necessarily be easier.
The teams at the bottom will be scrapping to avoid relegation, which is just as much an incentive as trying to make the play-offs.
I still think our lack of goal-scoring could come back to bite us.
Sunderland are going to force their way into the top two, so we need to keep pace with them and Rotherham.

I do agree with you, but, i think Tranmere, Southend and Bolton are already doomed and Wimbledon will be safe by the time we play them, so no teams scrapping for points.

 

[Johhny Blue]

I admire your balls.

Easy there big 'Fella

 

[steve cooper]

You can't assume games against lower-level teams will necessarily be easier.
The teams at the bottom will be scrapping to avoid relegation, which is just as much an incentive as trying to make the play-offs.
I still think our lack of goal-scoring could come back to bite us.
Sunderland are going to force their way into the top two, so we need to keep pace with them and Rotherham.

Who do we play that are likely to be involved in a relegation scrap?

 

[Astute]

People keep thinking Wycombe are going to fall away but in truth they haven't and have a favourable run in!

They were out clear at the top of the table. They have lost 7 and drawn 1 in their last 13 games. They have scored 14 goals but let in 23 goals in this time. Yes just 16 points in the last 13 games and -9 goals.

 

[Warwickhunt]

Gillingham holds the key methinks! The fat controller has got them working in a we shall not lose mindset and they play us, Rotherham & Sunderland.

 

[Frank Sidebottom]

How do you lose two thirds of a game?

I'm sure I've heard Strachan say that before.... Possibly after this game.
COVENTRY 3 SUNDERLAND 2

 

[skybluesam66]

Looks better now

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

So still 84 we need 20 from 11.

Rotherham - 22 from 10
Portsmouth - 25 from 11
Wycombe - 25 from 10
Sunderland - 26 from 10
Oxford - 27 from 10
Peterboro - 28 from 10

And teams are playing each other

 

[Frank Sidebottom]

So still 84 we need 20 from 11.

Rotherham - 22 from 10
Portsmouth - 25 from 11
Wycombe - 25 from 10
Sunderland - 26 from 10
Oxford - 27 from 10
Peterboro - 28 from 10

And teams are playing each other

We'll get 25-30, No sweat.... might drop points at Wimbledon, But we'll be promoted by then.

 

[MalcSB]

Since the table was produced, we have 4 points from two games, Rotherham 2 points, Wycombe nil point and Sunderland 1 point (tee hee). And our four points were against two “red teams” ( as were Sunderland’s one). We are doing well.

 

[mark82]

I wouldn't write Fleetwood out of the automatic promotion mix yet.

 

[Mild-Mannered Janitor]

Fleetwood have Ipswich midweek, let’s hope that’s a tough draw for both and I think Fleetwood have another tough one midweek the week after, they’re a canny tactical side, if they win those games then I think they could make close to autos.

 

[Liquid Gold]

Playing Ipswich after they've been through the battle with Fleetwood works in our favour no matter the result.

 

[Paxman II]

Fleetwood, no chance. Ipswich have blown it. Wycombe, no chance.
I see Rotherham slipping up and think it will be Portsmouth or yes, Sunderland in behind us.