Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (131 Viewers)

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Not true you are most infectious when you have symptoms. You are infectious about 3 days before and 10 days agree but the curve peaks when you have symptoms (if you have symptoms!!!!!)

I meant they likely had onset of symptoms while still in school. Badly phrased
 

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
Is it reasonably agreed that kids are basically invincible to this, you can't spread it following being infected and you can't pick it up twice yet?

If so couldn't you just throw a massive pox party for all the kids, supervised by adults that have recovered, then once they've got it and get better they won't be taking back to kill their grandparents?

I don't think anybody knows anything for sure, also starting to look like a lot of people will have side effects if they catch it & recover- Chronic Fatigue Syndrome & nasty stuff like that, which is why its not all about just looking at death rates, there are healthy young people who had it, recovered, but then can't walk up the stairs a few months down the line, permanent liver, lung & heart damage- loads of unknowns yet.
 

Liquid Gold

Well-Known Member
I don't think anybody knows anything for sure, also starting to look like a lot of people will have side effects if they catch it & recover- Chronic Fatigue Syndrome & nasty stuff like that, which is why its not all about just looking at death rates, there are healthy young people who had it, recovered, but then can't walk up the stairs a few months down the line, permanent liver, lung & heart damage- loads of unknowns yet.
Yeah it looks like there are really nasty long term consequences. One thing I can't understand is the bit I highlighted. How do they know this is permanent, obviously it's not even been around for 12 months so how do they know the organs won't recover given time, particularly the liver as it regenerates.
 

jimmyhillsfanclub

Well-Known Member
Most people give their real names though.

Oh Im' sure they do....I was being a little facetious tbh.
That said, the point kinda stands. Theres a wetherspoons in liverpool that has reported 12 cases amongst staff.....the wider problem is that these staff have in all likelyhood been infected for a good week or so (the first 2 staff cases were reported 10 days before the next 10)
during that week they've come into contact with hundreds of folk, many of whom were officially not even customers of spoons, but were in the shared outside area surrounded on all 4 sides by bars which had several thousand partying in it throughout the weekend......

We're doomed.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
I don't think anybody knows anything for sure, also starting to look like a lot of people will have side effects if they catch it & recover- Chronic Fatigue Syndrome & nasty stuff like that, which is why its not all about just looking at death rates, there are healthy young people who had it, recovered, but then can't walk up the stairs a few months down the line, permanent liver, lung & heart damage- loads of unknowns yet.
We do know for sure and have known since the outset that there is no immunity after having had the virus.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member

jimmyhillsfanclub

Well-Known Member
The news this morning had a Prof highlighting another issue......many folk, in 18-35 age range especially, do not "do" mainstream media so are not even aware of new or changing rules......

....so brace yourselves for the inevitable Matt Hancock tik-tok
 

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
Yeah it looks like there are really nasty long term consequences. One thing I can't understand is the bit I highlighted. How do they know this is permanent, obviously it's not even been around for 12 months so how do they know the organs won't recover given time, particularly the liver as it regenerates.

Thats what I thought too, I don't have the answer but I tried reading some technical stuff- most went over my head but seems to be due to the scarring on the organs that they can detect.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
Oh Im' sure they do....I was being a little facetious tbh.
That said, the point kinda stands. Theres a wetherspoons in liverpool that has reported 12 cases amongst staff.....the wider problem is that these staff have in all likelyhood been infected for a good week or so (the first 2 staff cases were reported 10 days before the next 10)
during that week they've come into contact with hundreds of folk, many of whom were officially not even customers of spoons, but were in the shared outside area surrounded on all 4 sides by bars which had several thousand partying in it throughout the weekend......

We're doomed.

Spoons strangely is one of the hottest on social distancing and contact tracing.
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
If that is correct a vaccine would be nearly impossible
Yeah. I'd personally pin my long term hopes on anti viral treatment, along with natural weakening. We don't seem to hear about any developments of the former however, it's all vaccine.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
Is it reasonably agreed that kids are basically invincible to this, you can't spread it following being infected and you can't pick it up twice yet?

If so couldn't you just throw a massive pox party for all the kids, supervised by adults that have recovered, then once they've got it and get better they won't be taking back to kill their grandparents?

No, none of the statements in the first paragraph are proven.

The comparison with chicken pox is wrong, anybody who has had chicken pox has immunity to it. This is not the case with Covid.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
Oh Im' sure they do....I was being a little facetious tbh.
That said, the point kinda stands. Theres a wetherspoons in liverpool that has reported 12 cases amongst staff.....the wider problem is that these staff have in all likelyhood been infected for a good week or so (the first 2 staff cases were reported 10 days before the next 10)
during that week they've come into contact with hundreds of folk, many of whom were officially not even customers of spoons, but were in the shared outside area surrounded on all 4 sides by bars which had several thousand partying in it throughout the weekend......

We're doomed.
Assume that's the one near Alma de Cuba
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
Was reading. A Twitter thread from a Doctor. Made me a lot more confident we can handle the same again much better this time. Was saying they’re stocked for PPE now, have solidnprocesses in place that everyone understands and follows, can keep other services running unlike before now they can cohort off the virus patients. Obviously also said it’ll be hell and they couldn’t cope without the peak being suppressed but really positive.

I think the long term answer is a mix of sensible measures like masks and hand washing and improved treatments and processes in hospital. I saw one study showing vitamin D treatment reduced mortality in ICU from something like 50% to 5%, lots of big improvements to be rolled out.

Still might mean severe long term issues for some, but all tips the balance a little closer to normality.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
I’ll come back on this.I have friends involved and one of the reasons herd immunity was rejected was that we have no guarantee of immunity having had the virus. I have clearly not understood what they were saying as well as i thought though
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Antibodies wear off,but Tcells retain memory?

When infected you should be producing memory cells also-if the actual virus doesn’t confer this then I don’t see how a similar but different one will in a vaccine. In fact the Oxford vaccine didn’t seem to prevent reinfection, it just reduced things to asymptomatic.
 

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
I’ll come back on this.I have friends involved and one of the reasons herd immunity was rejected was that we have no guarantee of immunity having had the virus. I have clearly not understood what they were saying as well as i thought though

Herd immunity was a massive mistake- you need enough people to be immune (we had no idea if anyone was immune), and/or a vaccine to introduce immunity, nobody has either. Now it seems that you're not immune even if you have had it, you can get it a few months down the line after recovering, so in that case no vaccine= no herd immunity, and we have to learn to live with it, manage it & come up with new/ more effective treatments. I am not a doctor by any means but my money would be on more effective treatments coming way before a vaccine. We haven't got a cure for the common cold yet, there was no vaccine for things like swine flu was there? So I don't see how we can suddenly magic up a vaccine for whats being called the most complex & mystifying virus ever to descend upon mankind.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
Herd immunity was a massive mistake- you need enough people to be immune (we had no idea if anyone was immune), and/or a vaccine to introduce immunity, nobody has either. Now it seems that you're not immune even if you have had it, you cam get it a few months down the line, so in that case no vaccine= no herd immunity, and we have to learn to live with it, manage it & come up with new/ more effective treatments. I am not a doctor by any means but my money would be on more effective treatments coming way before a vaccine.
I’m not either
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Herd immunity was a massive mistake- you need enough people to be immune (we had no idea if anyone was immune), and/or a vaccine to introduce immunity, nobody has either. Now it seems that you're not immune even if you have had it, you can get it a few months down the line after recovering, so in that case no vaccine= no herd immunity, and we have to learn to live with it, manage it & come up with new/ more effective treatments. I am not a doctor by any means but my money would be on more effective treatments coming way before a vaccine. We haven't got a cure for the common cold yet, there was no vaccine for things like swine flu was there? So I don't see how we can suddenly magic up with a vaccine for whats being called the most complex & mystifying virus ever to descend upon mankind.

A vaccine that makes everyone asymptomatic (as approx half of people infected already are) is probably the best bet, then antiviral if we’re really stuck.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
A vaccine that makes everyone asymptomatic (as approx half of people infected already are) is probably the best bet, then antiviral if we’re really stuck.

Would that mean those vulnerable wouldn’t show symptoms or what? Basically what’s functionally the difference between immunity and not having symptoms?
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Would that mean those vulnerable wouldn’t show symptoms or what? Basically what’s functionally the difference between immunity and not having symptoms?

That’s what I took from the stuff I’ve read and would I think be an acceptable condition of ‘return to normal’. The problem is then supply to the world population
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
Ok so my friends reply makes sense

Ok what we know:
* if you've had covid once you can get it again as little as 4 months later, perhaps less. The shorter the time between infections, the more likely it is to be milder second time, in fact very likely to be asymptomatic, which is great for the person involved and terrible for infection control as they can still be infectious i.e. a silent carrier.
* some of the vaccine strategies hope to achieve full immunity (i.e. can't get ill and can't carry) but others, and perhaps the ones which will be ready first, may only prevent you getting ill but you can still carry it.
* there's no hope of herd immunity unless you can get to a point where ~60% of people can't *carry* it, hence definitely not possible without a vaccine.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
Eye opening article as I was under the impression players were being tested. Turns out the EFL have scrapped that, although they claim its not down to cost.

Spurs weren't happy the Orient players weren't being tested so paid for the tests themselves and the majority of the squad came back positive.

Mansfield aren't happy as they played them last weekend. The manager had said players might be missing due to a bug going round the squad but said it defiantly wasn't covid related.

 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
One issue with closing pubs at 10pm means you are likely to have more people drunk and on the streets of town and city centres together. Later opening hours stagger the amount of people leaving at 1 particular time. This could create more unsocial distanced interaction.
 

Liquid Gold

Well-Known Member
One issue with closing pubs at 10pm means you are likely to have more people drunk and on the streets of town and city centres together. Later opening hours stagger the amount of people leaving at 1 particular time. This could create more unsocial distanced interaction.
It's going to be absolute chaos. People cramming their drinks in before closing ending up incredibly pissed and then chucking them all out into the same area at the same time.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
Eye opening article as I was under the impression players were being tested. Turns out the EFL have scrapped that, although they claim its not down to cost.

Spurs weren't happy the Orient players weren't being tested so paid for the tests themselves and the majority of the squad came back positive.

Mansfield aren't happy as they played them last weekend. The manager had said players might be missing due to a bug going round the squad but said it defiantly wasn't covid related.


According to the internet that tie is still on and it kicks off in 5 and a half hours. Weird
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
It's going to be absolute chaos. People cramming their drinks in before closing ending up incredibly pissed and then chucking them all out into the same area at the same time.

Aye, from 9pm it'll be wall to walljager bombs and then at 10pm off you go.They'll all also end up kebab shops at the same time
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
Judging from the precedent set by UEFA and the Czechia vs Scotland game teams/nations will have to fulfil games no matter what.
Seems mad if true
 

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