Do you want to discuss boring politics? (187 Viewers)

Grendel

Well-Known Member
I wonder what the Office for Budget Responsibility will make of it.

Rachel Reeves on Sunday said it’s not happening

A U turn already
 

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
It would be a bizarre thing to make spending commitments to in favour of much more pressing matters elsewhere. They do understand how shallow their majorities are right?

Theres going to be a lot of calls on cash. They desperately need growth to continue to improve and BoE rates to be cut asap to give them some wriggle room
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Theres going to be a lot of calls on cash. They desperately need growth to continue to improve and BoE rates to be cut asap to give them some wriggle room
And they’ve hamstrung themselves by their ridiculous comments on tax made during the election.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
Think he has to. He’s underestimated the depth of feeling on the topic, and his argument to not afford it is flimsy at best considering he’s happy to essentially issue blank cheques to Ukraine.

He’s really misjudged it. Using it as a sign that he won’t cave to the left. It’s going to change. Everyone in the party hates it.

If the left and right hands could work together he should have agreed with the left that they’d go after something else and leave him to do this. But worrying about this stuff in your first month is amateur hour. The mongs who got him through the election need to be jettisoned and he needs to actually govern now.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
I wonder what the Office for Budget Responsibility will make of it.
Who gives a fuck really? The tenure of that office has coincided with a prolonged fall in living standards, anaemic wage growth, significantly impaired public services and public realm. It should be abolished or its remit changed so that it measures against outcomes rather than a fabricated 'budget'.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
Who gives a fuck really? The tenure of that office has coincided with a prolonged fall in living standards, anaemic wage growth, significantly impaired public services and public realm. It should be abolished or its remit changed so that it measures against outcomes rather than a fabricated 'budget'.

Passing all economic policy to the OBR is batshit too. Why are we even electing politicians if the BoE and OBR make all the decisions?
 

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
It’s a citizens god given right to elect a mentalist that trashes the economy.

This is economics, there are no experts, just people with opinions and ideologies. The idea there’s such a thing as a neutral fact based observer is a nonsense.

I said at the time that people should be concerned about the power of the markets/OBR etc (even though I thought truss was crazy). People ignored it at the time because it didn’t fit with their ideology 🤷‍♂️.

I do think people jumping up and down three weeks into a new government before a budgets even been announced is a bit OTT though. If reeves and starmer get this right and ride the new government/stability wave, they’re likely to see a natural continued increase in growth* which will give them more to play with. Not sure many in the party and it’s supporters have the patience though

*inflation is also currently under control which should mean rate cuts and cheaper borrowing as well, which should free up more cash
 
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Deleted member 5849

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I said at the time that people should be concerned about the power of the markets/OBR etc (even though I thought truss was crazy). People ignored it at the time because it didn’t fit with their ideology 🤷‍♂️.

I do think people jumping up and down three weeks into a new government before a budgets even been announced is a bit OTT though. If reeves and starmer get this right and ride the new government/stability wave, they’re likely to see a natural continued increase in growth* which will give them more to play with. Not sure many in the party and it’s supporters have the patience though

*inflation is also currently under control which should mean rate cuts and cheaper borrowing as well, which should free up more cash
Personally I'm just liking the fact the news headlines aren't about something ridiculous daily, anything else is a bonus!
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
I said at the time that people should be concerned about the power of the markets/OBR etc (even though I thought truss was crazy). People ignored it at the time because it didn’t fit with their ideology 🤷‍♂️.

I do think people jumping up and down three weeks into a new government before a budgets even been announced is a bit OTT though. If reeves and starmer get this right and ride the new government/stability wave, they’re likely to see a natural continued increase in growth* which will give them more to play with. Not sure many in the party and it’s supporters have the patience though

*inflation is also currently under control which should mean rate cuts and cheaper borrowing as well, which should free up more cash

Oh no I agree. And hopefully the OBR stuff is just a sop to the idea of stability and like most self imposed government rules will last just as long as it’s politically expedient.
 

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
Oh no I agree. And hopefully the OBR stuff is just a sop to the idea of stability and like most self imposed government rules will last just as long as it’s politically expedient.

The problem will be without some independent assessment such as the OBR the markets will increase the cost of borrowing. Rightly or wrongly it’s for the government to put their case to the OBR how they believe any policy choices will help improve the economy, growth etc and/or indicate they have a semblance of perceived control over spending and debt

ps give Torp and Reeves at least until October/November
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
If economics was settled we wouldn’t have politics.
I remember listening to an economics podcast where they were discussing how the drop out rate for economics degrees was high compared to other courses and the general consensus was that the more you study economics the more apparent it becomes that its all smoke and mirrors

And that was from a bunch of economists!
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
Who gives a fuck really? The tenure of that office has coincided with a prolonged fall in living standards, anaemic wage growth, significantly impaired public services and public realm. It should be abolished or its remit changed so that it measures against outcomes rather than a fabricated 'budget'.
I agree with you, but the government has said that they will be looking for OBR “approval” of spending plans (budgets).
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
I said at the time that people should be concerned about the power of the markets/OBR etc (even though I thought truss was crazy). People ignored it at the time because it didn’t fit with their ideology 🤷‍♂️.

I do think people jumping up and down three weeks into a new government before a budgets even been announced is a bit OTT though. If reeves and starmer get this right and ride the new government/stability wave, they’re likely to see a natural continued increase in growth* which will give them more to play with. Not sure many in the party and it’s supporters have the patience though

*inflation is also currently under control which should mean rate cuts and cheaper borrowing as well, which should free up more cash
Higher than inflation pay rises for state sector employees, however justified, may well be inflationary as the private sector demands the same.
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
Hasn't been deflationary all the years I've had a below inflation pay rise
If you are a state employee, as I was, you will know that when times are good, state pay is held back as an example to the private sector and when times are bad, state pay is held back as an example to the private sector. Pretty much heads they win, tails you lose. In reality, that public pay restraint has built up a lot of issues (e.g. doctors and nurses industrial action) without curtailing inflation - thus compounding the impact of public sector pay restraint.

Unfortunately, I can’t see trades unions in the private sector taking the view that addressing those years of pay restraint should be viewed as a special case. Inevitably there will be demands for private sector pay rises at similar or greater levels - that will, in all probability, lead to greater inflation.
 

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
I know there's a lot about politicians being self serving and money grabbing, but isn't it pretty terrible that a former Prime Minister couldn't afford his care when sick
It’s pretty terrible that anyone can’t afford their care in old age without selling assets. Unless they don’t have any at which point the state steps in.

He wasn’t in a different position to anyone else.
 

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