Here's a question though. Should ACL agree to a temporary rent agreement (assuming the terms are acceptable to them) on the understanding that the club will remain there only while they build a new venue?
That would pose a dilemma for them I guess. To not agree, and the door seemingly closes on the prospect of the club playing in Coventry - and with it go the revenues the club would generate for them while in residence. Say yes, and they open themselves up to criticism that they are complicit in SISU's grand plan for a SISU Lego Superdome in Keresley, and ultimately their own demise (without a significant change to their business model).
Depends if ACL feel they have a Plan B or C. I think it is pretty clear they want CCFC to stay because that was why the stadium was built. However there must, if they know there are alternatives, be a point where they take their business in a different direction.
Everyone focusses on the Turnover lost but is that the important figure ? No one is sure what margin ACL makes on the CCFC business or the effect losing that may have on the whole site. It has been said the the income derived from CCFC is now only 9% of the Ricoh Arena turnover can that be lost or replaced without damaging profitability. TF said that the margins made on CCFC F&B were not very good at 10% of less than £1m could that be replaced with other business making better margins at say 30% if so then they only need to make up approx one third of the turnover lost to stand still. That leaves the rent to make up - already suggested they would decrease to £400k which gives them a return so is the breakeven on that lower? Dont think the "trade gap" is as big as some would have us believe.
So to answer your question - if ACL believe they can cover the "trade gap" then a short term deal is irrelevant to them. There is no real benefit as it closes off other opportunities. Therefore if they do feel confident that they have a profitable business without CCFC I would guess they will only be considering deals of 10 years plus. (complies with League requirements)
Even if they are prepared to consider a 3 year deal they have to be certain how that affects their plan. It might well work out for CCFC but it blocks ACL income opportunities too. Yes they will get a rent, and other incomes but in 3 years time they are back at where we are today..... or worse having to extend for an unknown period. How do you plan around that? Does that actually leave ACL vulnerable ? In cold hard business terms does that equal the best choice for ACL? It might well suit SISU but ACL are not there to run CCFC.
Yes it is a dileamour but equally what happens if ACL say no deal on rent or CVA that will leave SISU with some serious dileamours of their own whilst leaving ACL 3 years to build a business/ reputation not reliant on CCFC which in turn will take future non football income away from any new ground
Of course no deal could mean curtains for both .......... but I do not think that will be the case (curtains i mean not sure there will be a deal)