They're the right side of the curve though, unlike us. Our death rate is quite shocking when you compare to other countries.
Kept it out of the main cities, able to take measures that "democracies" aren't willing to in terms of lockdowns, forced quarantining etc.
US worryingly bending the wrong way.
Anyone know how long Italy have been in lockdown? Seems to be flattening out a bit there now.
Oh it is, but bending the right way at least. As they’re the Western nation furthest ahead it’ll be interesting to see what impact their measures have and hopefully gives us some idea of what we can expect.
China basically flattened out around two weeks after full lockdown I think, question is can the less harsh regimes in the West flatten it too and by how much.
So our peak is only 2-3 weeks away before the numbers start to slow down? I don't get how its changed from 10 weeks before we hit the peak to 2-3 weeks? Im guessing its due to our measures speeding up
I think that was before the government wanted to play guinea pig with the population.
My wife is one of your lot and feels your pain. Massive respect to the teachers who are holding the strain off the NHS to an extent at the momentHalf my fellow teachers are off and the rest of us are covering classes plus setting work for all those self isolating. The missus is now being asked to assign work on behalf of the teachers who are off. She has a colleague classified as weakened immune system so they have 12 weeks off which they are now boasting about as it effectively means no work till September.
Schools have got to shut for our collective sanity!
At some point how to factor in underlying health issues which are normally ranked poorly in UK.They're the right side of the curve though, unlike us. Our death rate is quite shocking when you compare to other countries.
So our peak is only 2-3 weeks away before the numbers start to slow down? I don't get how its changed from 10 weeks before we hit the peak to 2-3 weeks? Im guessing its due to our measures speeding up
The graph is exponential (see how big the distance from 10-1000 is compared to 2000-3000), so even a slightly visible change to the direction is quite a big numberYou rekon its flattening? It still looks to be rising quite sharply
As I said to you as soon as Germany hits the 10 and goes over the trend will look worse than Italy which tells you something. What does this world league table tell you? Especially the far right column?
Coronavirus Update (Live): 200,099 Cases and 8,010 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Outbreak - Worldometer
Grendel's favourite graph updated #flatteningthepeak
Only one reported case in Sheffield, which is mad for a big city like
The turn on the curve for the UK is in the right direction, another turn at that angle would be good
A better way?
Some interesting analysis and links. The “adaptive pulsing” idea is interesting and might be how life looks for the next several months.
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What worries me about this approach is surely you need extensive testing to see early when things are rising again. Relying on hospitalisations seems risky to me. Also whether people get more pissed off with off and on again than the certainty of always off. If people can be adult though I agree it’s the best plan.
I see the folk who can't read a graph properly are awake
That’s not the right way to measure this. Here’s the author of the graph:
If you are going to try and be funny at least be good at it.Yes what time did you wake up?
Did you create it? Cool I can add makes duff graphs to the rap sheet.But Grendel and David said we can't read graphs properly.
So you're telling me the guy who created the chart doesn't know how to read his own graphs?
My wife is one of your lot and feels your pain. Massive respect to the teachers who are holding the strain off the NHS to an extent at the moment
That is sad H, wish people weren't so selfish, you should easily be able to get out and get them a weeks worth of supplies if these idiots didnt stockpile. There's no need.Getting shopping for 3 elderly parents/in-laws (all with health issues) - set up a Sainsbury's home delivery account for my mum and stepfather. which accepted a payment for the service; it lets you place an order (took ages for them to do, bless - but showed them how it works) but then when you get to book a delivery slot it tells you that due to (unsurprising) high demand there are no delivery slots and no order and collect options from store. Naughty not having a statement at the beginning - and at this point they have already had your money for using their home delivery service. ?????
Also - a bit sad - my stepfather is adding bits to his online order, which he is (probably) never going to get. I bought him some cheese that they wanted, and he said - I've added that to the Sainsburys order, but we can use the 'extra!' (Don't think he's got it that his order won't materialise!)
That is sad H, wish people weren't so selfish, you should easily be able to get out and get them a weeks worth of supplies if these idiots didnt stockpile. There's no need.
Half my fellow teachers are off and the rest of us are covering classes plus setting work for all those self isolating. The missus is now being asked to assign work on behalf of the teachers who are off. She has a colleague classified as weakened immune system so they have 12 weeks off which they are now boasting about as it effectively means no work till September.
Schools have got to shut for our collective sanity!
That would be okMore vaccine available for the rest of us.
Suspect like the flu jab, vaccine will only be given to the vulnerable.
If you are going to try and be funny at least be good at it.
That’s not the right way to measure this. Here’s the author of the graph:
The point is the graph is designed to simulate a result and is pointless.
No it’s not and no it’s not. You just don’t understand what it’s for.
But Grendel and David said we can't read graphs properly.
So you're telling me the guy who created the chart doesn't know how to read his own graphs?
No it’s not and no it’s not. You just don’t understand what it’s for.
I agree. My grandkids go to a normal state school and a fair chunk of their homework is on line, using some portal where they set tasks and completion dates. A lot of it is referencing resources on line, rather than any new input in a classroom. There are already some lessons on there labelled "in case of closure" with a target date of a few months away, ready if they have to close.Forgive me if this is ignorant or stupid, but if some of those teachers at home are just self-isolating as a precaution they're still able to work. Why aren't they being given the task of setting work for self-isolating kids/marking etc? Surely those in the school covering for them have enough to do looking after the kids?
I won't have far to go, Otis. They're right outside my window! I cross the main road, walk a couple of hundred yards and start climbing!When there is.... run for the hills!!
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