I would have loved to have just got my estimated grades with some generosity with no exams and revision.
Will they be paying you overtime for working over Easter too?
What would you prefer?
Half of it’s probably cargo delivering toilet paper and pasta so the same dumb asses who have stocked up can continue to stock up and the other half is military personnel going back to their home countries ready to impose marshal law and shoot anybody seen walking the streets.
Its not just the mortality rate though is it? It’s the R0, the incubation period, the hospitalisation rate and the lack of a vaccine.
Stepping up testing to 25,000 a day, it is obvious that if that is ramped up then confirmed cases will go up compared to when they were testing say 5,000.
Isn't that more to do with airlines having to use or lose their landing rights
Another genius post from David! You may have noticed that there is something happening out there?Isn't that more to do with airlines having to use or lose their landing rights
No I was talking why a lot the planes flying will still be flying.Another genius post from David! You may have noticed that there is something happening out there?
I was awaiting the return of the Piers Morgan graph.*runs*
Without meaning to put a dampener on it and be overly negative, if you read the Imperial College piece on it, they seem to be predicting 18 months. I am not saying that's right and I am sure the usual suspects will find someone who has said it will be done in 2 weeks. But people far more qualified in it than I am have managed to come to the conclusion that it will only be over when we have a vaccine. Perhaps not worth worrying about as there isn't a lot we can do, but worth preparing for.Exactly.
Then what if (hopefully it doesn't happen) your son has it after you and your wife think you have had it. What if he gets a bit of a cough?
There's no way to know without testing every single person. Even then, if somebody tests negative they may catch it the day after.
What worries me is that these people on the TV aren't talking about days or weeks, on TV just now somebody was saying "this time next year we might be through the worst of it".
How does this happen in 2020?
Without meaning to put a dampener on it and be overly negative, if you read the Imperial College piece on it, they seem to be predicting 18 months. I am not saying that's right and I am sure the usual suspects will find someone who has said it will be done in 2 weeks. But people far more qualified in it than I am have managed to come to the conclusion that it will only be over when we have a vaccine. Perhaps not worth worrying about as there isn't a lot we can do, but worth preparing for.
Wasn't the imperial study plugging reported death rates into their flu pandemic simulation for transmission without intervention?Without meaning to put a dampener on it and be overly negative, if you read the Imperial College piece on it, they seem to be predicting 18 months. I am not saying that's right and I am sure the usual suspects will find someone who has said it will be done in 2 weeks. But people far more qualified in it than I am have managed to come to the conclusion that it will only be over when we have a vaccine. Perhaps not worth worrying about as there isn't a lot we can do, but worth preparing for.
You could see the restrictions in a country be lifted then reimposed in cycles until a vaccine is producedLike with China, yes there are no cases but has a large scale of immunity been built? If the restrictions are lifted there will surely be another outbreak therefore without a vaccine this could become a repetitive thing
I was awaiting the return of the Piers Morgan graph.
It was for both. It showed what it looked like it there was zero intervention and what happens if there was intervention. It gave you astronomical deaths with zero intervention and then the amount they reckon they could save with measures like isolation. The overall summary was that the only way it would be stopped would be via vaccine though, and it takes 14 months to test a vaccine to ensure there are no fatal side affects (no idea how they come up with 14 months?!)Wasn't the imperial study plugging reported death rates into their flu pandemic simulation for transmission without intervention?
Looking stupid? You are managing that on your own.No I was talking why a lot the planes flying will still be flying.
If you had taken some time off from trying to noshoff Richard Branson you would not look so stupid.
You could see the restrictions in a country be lifted then reimposed in cycles until a vaccine is produced
Yes I posted about this the other day/
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You could see the restrictions in a country be lifted then reimposed in cycles until a vaccine is produced
I’m sorry with the results?I want us to all be in or all be out.
Am I missing something with the scale on the left hand side. You can’t change a scale half way up surely!!!??I was awaiting the return of the Piers Morgan graph.
It's logarithmic, which is fine for non linear numbers but gives the impression of data points being similar when they are notAm I missing something with the scale on the left hand side. You can’t change a scale half way up surely!!!??
Mate you've had a mare with this and your alternative facts mumblingLooking stupid? You are managing that on your own.
Just finishing him off.
Am I missing something with the scale on the left hand side. You can’t change a scale half way up surely!!!??
Mate you've had a mare with this and your alternative facts mumbling
David,(me suppressing a smirk) flights are not happening becausing of slots being lost.Mate you've had a mare with this and your alternative facts mumbling
They were mate, the uk government wrote to the eu about it. It's a fact mate sorry but you've fucked this one up.David,(me suppressing a smirk) flights are not happening becausing of slots being lost.
but I am having a mare? Dribble dribble David.
Q. Why do you look stupid David
A. Refer to above
Briefly from here:
1. We will be open for all of Easter under the same arrangements as the next few weeks.
2. Teachers are likely to be asked to provide grades for GCSE and A level students.
3. Due to the right to appeal being maintained we have been asked to estimate as high a grade as realistically possible.
I can’t describe how I feel at this moment but I have already bollocked students celebrating what is going on.
The exponential argument is mathematically nonsense and the idea that it would be too hard to read is saying I want people to read the graph the way I want them to.Oh no, not this again!
It's a logarithmic scale and is explained on the guy's twitter feed why he uses it. But basically:
"In the initial outbreak phase, a virus like this spreads exponentially not arithmetically, i.e a log scale is the natural way to track the spread"
Also...
The graph would be unreadable on a linear scale:
"2) If we show case numbers on a linear scale, it would look like UK, US etc have little to worry about: they’re down here and Italy is way up there! You’d also be asking readers to calculate an exponential curve in their head to see if two countries are on the same trajectory ???"
The exponential argument is mathematically nonsense and the idea that it would be too hard to read is saying I want people to read the graph the way I want them to.
David, old chap, stand down. Flights are not happening because of potential loss of slots. Under normal flying circumstances yes I would agree but these are not normal circumstances. I am actually isolated in Riyadh until this virus thing is over and means that flights can resume.They were mate, the uk government wrote to the eu about it. It's a fact mate sorry but you've fucked this one up.
Ok I think I understand but it means Italy looks like it’s plateauing rather than increasing at an exponential rate at the momentIt's logarithmic, which is fine for non linear numbers but gives the impression of data points being similar when they are not
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